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United State’s new enemy – China December 2, 2010

Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, Economics, Global Affair, Military, Politics, Taiwan.
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The American’s war machine under the Department of Defense (DOD) has found a new enemy because it has to justify its enormous budget of more than $700 billion every year.

Just about how big is American’s defense spending every year? How about 46% of the total defense spending in the world.

Of course, the new enemy is China via North Korea.

Now that American combat troops have left Iraq, the top brass in DOD looked around the world and didn’t like what they see in China because China is threatening US’s standing in the world even though China’s defense spending is about 1/10 to 1/8 of what US spends every year.

The DOD get together with the State Department and devise a plan to open a new battle ground to block the expansion of China along the Pacific Ocean and India Sea, stretching from South Korea all the way to India.

The United States conducted several naval exercises with Korea navy in Japan Sea and East China Sea after the sinking of Cheonan. The United States deployed aircraft carrier USS George Washington to Korea and threatened to conduct a naval exercise in Yellow Sea.

Due to the tension between North and South Korea and the threat projected from China, Japan also beg the United States to intervene.

Taiwan has long been willing to be a small pawn in the US-China competition and its president has elevated the rhetoric of begging US to sell more advanced attacking weapons to Taiwan. The US has long been using this as a bargaining chip in dealing with China for more than a decade now.

The State Department also look at other disputes in Asia and decided to  make new friends with Vietnam and India with high level visits by Clinton, Obama and battleship. Of course, the sole intention of their visits was to further isolate China.

The United States could not compete with China on foreign trades. China will not raise the value of Renminbi according to US’ terms and China owns a big chunk of American’s foreign debt. About the only things US can do is to show its military power in order to intimidate China and to put China in a corner with the help of Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam and India.

The line in the sand, or sea, has been drawn by the US against China. The US has started another war,albeit a cold war, to justify its defense spending.

Of course, China is not a 省油的灯 “sheng3 you1 de1 deng1,”

好戏还在后面呢。”hao3 xi4 hai2 zai4 hou4mian4 ne1。”

欲知后事如何,”yu4 zhi1 hou4 shi4 ru1 he1,”

请听下回分解。 “qing3 ting1 xia4 hui1 feng1 jie3。”

 

Cold War between US and China October 12, 2010

Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, Global Affair, Military, Politics, Taiwan.
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United States defense budget accounts for 46.5% of the total defense spending in the world.

But according to an article in New York Times, the United States is “alarmed by harsh tone of China’s military.”

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/10/12/world/asia/12beijing.html?_r=1&th&emc=th

The article maintained that “The Pentagon is worried that its increasingly tense relationship with the Chinese military owes itself in part to the rising leaders of Commander Cao’s generation, who, much more than the country’s military elders, view the United States as the enemy.”

The key words here are “in part” because what is not spelled out here are the military exercises that US navy have conducted with South Korea and Japan naval forces in recent months in and around China’s Yellow Sea and East China Sea under the pretense of teaching North Korea a lesson. They were intended to be a show of force to tell China that you are under our watch at all times.

During the recent Diaoyutai incident, the US has reiterated US’s position under Japan-U.S. security treaty to protect Japan if a military conflict erupted between China and Japan over this island even though the US does not necessarily agreed that the island belongs to Japan.

According to an article in New York Times,

The other problem is that, technically, the U.S. would be obliged to bail Japan out if there were a fight over the Senkakus. The U.S. doesn’t take a position on who owns the islands, but the  specifies that the U.S. will help defend areas that Japan administers. And in 1972, when the U.S. handed Okinawa back to Japan, it agreed that Japan should administer the Senkakus. So we’re in the absurd position of being committed to help Japan fight a war over islands, even though we don’t agree that they are necessarily Japanese.

http://kristof.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/09/10/look-out-for-the-diaoyu-islands/

The US has in recent months accelerated shipments of military supplies and advance weaponry to Taiwan in the name of defending the small island against China’s military advance. Its clear intention was to use Taiwan as a pawn to block China’s expansion into Pacific Ocean with Taiwan acted as a willing partner. The US, however, has held back on the shipment of F-16 C/D fighter jets to Taiwan purely as a bargaining chip in dealing with China’s expansion economically and militarily.

The America also injected itself into the long standing territory dispute between Vietnam and China in South China Sea after decades of silence on this issue. Its Secretary of States and Secretary of Defense suddenly found Vietnam a friendly country with promises of providing Vietnam with nuclear technology and the construction of a nuclear reactor power plant in Vietnam, all in the name of protecting American’s national interests in South China Sea. What interest is the US talking about?

What’s really going on behind the close doors between US and Vietnam are secret discussions of setting up a permanent naval port in Vietnam for American’s navy ships in South China Sea.

On India, closer military cooperation between US and India was the primary objective of the high level visit by US defense secretary Robert Gates to India earlier this year. His goal was made very clear by his speech:

“In coming years, we look to India to be a partner and net provider of security in the Indian Ocean and beyond.”

Can you not clearly see the intention of the United States which is to block China’s expansion militarily and diplomatically? The United States looked for areas of dispute and potential conflicts between China and its neighbors. It then make itself a partner with China’s neighbors and in the process further divide Asia into two camps: China and everyone else.

How can China not seeing the US as a potential enemy given the diplomatic and military maneuver by the US in recent months?

What’s going to happen is an arm race in the region because every country is entitled to defend itself militarily. China will certainly do so to rid its “sick man of Asia” image once and for all. It is also likely that the pressure from the US will push China and Russia closer in the near future and the cold war will take on a new meaning before you know it.

The United States has 10 aircraft carriers and hundreds of naval ships cruising around the world every day. It has thousands of nuclear war heads and countless fighter jets in airbases all over the world. It has advance military technologies no other country can match in years or even decades.

But, what right does America have to object other country’s military expansion?

They do not, period.

The United States is exercising its military power over other countries for a simple reason: that’s all it has now!

The United States is losing the global war on energy as it imports 70% of its daily crude supply. The trend can not be reversed any time soon and the United States is sending $380 billion dollars to foreign countries every year. If you want to know what wealth transfer is all about just look at this amazing sum of money flowing from our pockets to oil-rich countries. Year after year! With no end in sight! The Iraq war cost the US $700 billion in nine years. We are giving away two Iraq wars every two years with some changes to spare!

The United States is losing the global war on economics as its morphs into a service centered economy.

The United States is losing the global war on capitalism as it moves slowly to socialism with national health care system. In the process, it will drags down its medical instrument industry and drug companies; two areas of innovation and research.

The United States is losing the global war on currency as US dollar is weakened by the introduction of Euro and renminbi within the next twenty years.

The United States is losing the global war on manufacture as new plants popping up all over the world except in the US.

The United States is fighting the global war of terrorism as more and more terrorists looking for ways to come to America as we speak. This global war on terrorism is America’s to lose because of increasing discrimination against Muslims in the US.

The only area that the United States is decades ahead of every one else is its military capability. But the paper tiger is struggling to hang on to its military might in order to exert influence in the world. But its military power is built on a house of cards because the United States is broke.

In short, the good times are gone for the United States. It may not be forever. But it is damn close!

The really sad thing about this is that the US has limited ways to get out of this malaise simply because of its enormous debt, federal deficit and trade deficit in the years to come.

Taiwanese people like status quote, why? September 21, 2010

Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, Economics, Global Affair, Politics.
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Taiwan is a second class “nation” on the world stage due to political pressure from China. According to a recent poll, slightly more than half of the Taiwanese people are willing to maintain the status quote indefinitely instead of unifying with China or declaring independence.

I have to admit that I fail to see the rationale behind this mindset.

Why the status quote?

Is it because that your pockets are filled with money from all that exports to China that you don’t care about your status on the world stage? According to the latest data, China accounts for 40% of Taiwan’s export market.

Is it because that this quasi mother-child relation on economics is enough to keep the unemployment rate low enough that most of you do not feel the pain?

Is it because that diplomatic advancement is simply a pipe dream given the strength of China in recent years? Didn’t President Ma said that Taiwan can “handle” diplomatic isolation as long as Taiwanese have jobs to go to and money to spend once economic isolation is removed.”

Is it because that declaring independence is a non-issue now because ECFA has taken effect as of 9-12-2010? Don’t you know that, with a closer tie on economy and other areas of your daily life, Taiwan’s life line will be firmly in the hands of China to the foreseeable future?

Why not unify with China?

Is it because you do not trust Chinese government and its ability to strike Taiwan at any moment?

Since Ma took office, officials from Taiwanese government at many levels have called for China to remove roughly 1,200 missiles that are aimed at Taiwan. This is utterly non-sense because it sounds like what Chinese said “自欺欺人zi4 qi1 qi1 ren2.” Why should China do that? What does China get in return? Will Taiwan come to the negotiation table to discuss conditions of a  unified China if these missiles are removed back to Central or Western China? These missiles can be reset at moments notice if China likes it.

Is it because the current leader is satisfied with being the head of a nation, second class or not, instead of a governor of a small state in China?

Is it because that no Taiwanese president, certainly not Ma Ying Jiu, from KMT wants to be the last president of the ROC Dynasty that may 遗臭万年 “yi2 chou4 wan4 nian2”?

Is it because Taiwan has found a new mother to play child with? Didn’t the United States wants to sell Taiwan advanced weapons to counter China’s insurgence? Even the president called for such a sell in order to “balance” with China’s military power? Is he kidding? Without the backing of the United States, Taiwan would have long been part of China already. Taiwan is willing to be a pawn and a front line foot solider of the United States in the cold war between the US and China in the decades to come?

Is it because that being a front line foot solider of the United States gives Taiwan a false sense of importance on the world stage?

This is what I have to say to those 50+% of Taiwanese people:

Forget about the status quote. Independence is not achievable given China’s “One China” stance. Use ECFA as a blue print, seek the best comprises from China politically across the negotiation table and move towards a peaceful one China goal in the next decade. It will be good for China and it will be for Taiwan.

Believe me:

The United States is not a friend of Taiwan. It sees China as its new enemy and has aggressively seeking partners such as Japan, Vietnam and India, to fight against the insurgence of China.

Taiwan and China should join hands to counter the attack from the US instead of fighting each other.

Ugly American Foreign Policy on Display in Hanoi August 25, 2010

Posted by hslu in China, Global Affair, Islam, Obama, Politics.
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Saigon was captured by North Vietnamese army on April 30, 1975 and the United States was soundly defeated. At the end of the Vietnam War, 58,159 American soldiers lost their lives,  1,719 soldiers were declared missing; and a whopping 303,635 were wounded.

Now that Hillary with the approval of Obama wants to offer Vietnam nuclear fuel and advanced American nuclear technology. What’s alarming is that the deal could lead to allowing Hanoi enriching uranium in Vietnam.

All this effort because of America wants to block China’s expansion because United States has nearly lost the economic war against China.

This is the type of American foreign policy on full display.

This is American foreign policy. This is the type of game America plays.

To hell with Iran because Iran is not a friend of America.

Hmm, what will Iranians have to say about this?

Have you heard of any objections from the United States when Pakistan and India were developing their nuclear weapons?

Of course not, Pakistan and India were friends of the United States.

Where did Israel get its nuclear technology and weapons from? It came from the United States.

Haven’t I said “三十年河东, 三十年河西?”

The lost of Saigon was 35 years ago.

Now you know what I meant.

Second Cold War has Begun: U. S. vs China August 1, 2010

Posted by hslu in China, Economics, Global Affair, Politics, Taiwan.
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The United States has found a new enemy after Cold War with Soviet Union: China and it is doing all it can to block China’s expansion.

South Korea

The sinking of a South Korean warship has given the United States a perfect excuse to step up its military presence in Far East.

On the face, the target of the joint military exercise with South Korean around the South Korea Sea is Kim Jong-il of North Korea. But everyone knows that the primary target is China.

Japan

In addition to the closer ties with South Korea, the United States also found a perfect reason to keep its military bases in Okinawa despite objections from local residents stemming from among other reasons rapes of Japanese girls and killing of local residents by US soldiers. In the midst of this particular conflict, the obvious victim was the former Japanese Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama who resigned because he broke his campaign promise of moving US air bases away from the Okinawa Island. Besides two air bases on Okinawa Island, the United States has three other air bases, two naval bases and an Marine base in other parts of Japan. Moreover, the Seventh Fleet of the United States is permanently stationed in Yokosuka including  50–60 ships, 350 aircraft and 60,000 Navy and Marine Corps personnel.

Taiwan

Although Taiwan under President Ma is making closer contacts on the economic front with China, the United states is not going to give up its friendly relationship with this island nation even though the US recognizes it as part of one China. In the end, I think the United States will sell F-16C/D fighter jets to Taiwan as a way to enhance the blockage of China on the eastern front. Although Taiwan becomes a pawn in this continuing struggle, the United States has an upper hand because Taiwan does not want to unify with China yet.

Southeast Asia

Diplomatically, Hillary Clinton last week visited Hanoi to attend a Ministerial meeting and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Regional Forum. This is the second time she has attended these meetings. Clinton said that the United States is committed to being an active partner in the region and advancing shared interests and values. The United States is looking into more opportunities to maintain a closer economic and if warranted military ties with Southeast Asian countries such as Philippines, Indonesia and four lower Mekong River countries: Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, and Vietnam. Here, the potential sticky point is the development of South China Sea where exploration and production of hydrocarbon has created some hotly debate

Iraq and Afghanistan

The circle is almost complete with the American military presence in Iraq and Afghanistan. Although Obama wants to reduce American’s troops in Afghanistan starting 2011, the fact of the matter is that the US will be there for a long time because Afghan is America’s second Vietnam.

Now that the US has shown its hands, the next move is China’s.

China’s Move

And I have no doubt that China will answer with further expanding its military power and continuing technology development in the ares of fighter jets and air carriers. At this moment, China is no match against the US militarily. However, China has money and the will to develop its military and space technology while the US is buried under back bending deficits and national debt. China’s economy is growing at 10% per year while the US is experiencing anemic recovery and nearly 17% unemployment rate.The United States has dismantled NASA and changed NASA’s mission to making Arabs happy while China is plotting to send a man to moon in 10 years’ time. The United States has put the Mars program on back burner but China is determined to make China a force to be reckoned with. As Chairman Mao famously declared 55 years ago that:

“我们不但要有更多的飞机大炮,而且还要有原子弹。 在今天这个世界上,我们要不受人家欺侮,就不能没有这个东西。

“Not only do we (China) need more air planes and artillery pieces, we also need the atomic bomb.” “In this world today, to avoid being bullied, we cannot be without it.”

Today, in the mind of current Chinese leaders, “这个东西” is space technology and a strong naval force: air carriers and submarines.

In ten years, China’s military force will still be no match to US’s military might. But China will make enough progress to challenge United States’ dominance.

The second Cold War has begun.

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