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He just doesn’t care August 12, 2017

Posted by hslu in 美國, Putin, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, US Government.
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To save money on the payroll, Trump has to fire all 755 state dept employees expelled by Putin.

Source: Yahoo News

Being a business man, Trump should know this at least. Apparently he doesn’t. Maybe he want to let them go.

Well, the State Department budget will be cut by 25% anyway. The layoff of 755 in one fell swoop will help to speed up the process a lot.

Let’s get the pink slips flying. American’s State Department has done a lot of bad things to other countries in the world for 70 years already. A 25% cut across the board in that department is a good start.

The next target: DoD?

Trump vs Kim: A pictorial primer August 3, 2017

Posted by hslu in Global Affair, Japan, Military, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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First of all, take your pick to put the contest into context.

  1. 30 somthing vs. Grandpa.
  2. Happy face vs. sad face.
  3. 80後 vs. 歐吉桑

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Trump to Kim: 

We’ll take you out by force. 

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Trump to Graham: 

Tell Kim that I an dead serious about what I intend to do to Kim.

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Kim to Trump: Take this and shove it.

Self explanatory. No further explanation is needed.

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Trump to China:

It’s China’s fault because you are not doing your job and I, the president of the most powerful nation in the milky way galaxy and the leader of the world won’t allow it. Go talk to Kim and tell him to behave.

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China to Trump: 

It’s not my problem. You started it and it’s up to you to solve it. 

Btw, China has a saying about you: 解鈴還需系鈴人. Use Google translation to figure out what we mean. You might learn something.

Well, China declares that North Korea is not a Chinese problem. It is a U.S. problem. China also points out that it was Trump who started the conflict in the first place. Trump can solve the North Korea problem himself and China will step aside and watch with amusement.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Trump to Tillerson

Damn it, Rex. It appears our show of force isn’t working. Tillerson, do something! Let’s fly you to Pyongyang to talk to Kim instead. Rex, it is up to you now. Go do your job or I’ll fire you.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Tillerson to Kim:

I am going to use the good cop/bad cop routine to deal with you.
First of all, Trump was just kidding when he said that he’ll kill Kim. Actually, he didn’t mean it. He want to be friends with Kim. He said a lot of stupid things like dreaming up phone calls from Boy Scout and president of Mexico. Don’t take Trump too seriously. He has a big mouth and lousy memory. He dreams a lot too.

Trump has a change of heart because Trump has all the fire power at his disposal but can’t fire a single shot. It’s all because of you (Kim). You doesn’t give a damn about Trump’s empty threats and keeps firing missiles to the sky. Can’t you just take a break and stop firing misdiles for a week or two. Trump needs some quiet time and peace of mind. Leaders around the world see him as a joke. Just ask France’s pretty face. He won’t let Trump’s hand go.

My job here is to find a ladder for Trump to climb down from without losing too much face? Can you just do that for old Rex. We can talk about having ExxomMobil do some work for you in private after dust settles. You know I have great 關係 at XOM.

 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

So what now, Trump? 

What are you going to do with Carl Vinson, Ronald Reagon and 20+ warships currently carrying out drills around Korean Peninsula? Was it 60+ warships instead of 20+? Isn’t there is a third aircraft carrier coming to Korean water to form an “armada”? 

What will happen to your “ironclad commitment” to protect South Korea and Japan since North Korea keeps sending missiles into the sky? You know that “IC” phrase is very catchy. It has that powerful ring to it when you say it so forcefully.

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Trump:

Wait for my tweets. That’s when I tell the truth. I have a country to run.

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Kim

Busy working on another ICBM test.

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China

Working on 一帶一路

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Russia

Hacking into U.S. 2018 election headquarters and dig more dirt on Hillary and Bill. They deserve to go to jail. Chinese call this: 吃幾天牢飯。

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2nd Korean war July 31, 2017

Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, 美國, Global Affair, Japan, Military, Putin, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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Source: BBC News

Is it a S. Korean problem?

No doubt about it. 

Instead of raining cats and dogs, DMZ, Seoul and a big chunk of S. Korea will see bombs of all sorts raining down from the sky before the U.S. can surgically nuetralize threats from N. Korea missile sites. There might be nuclear, bio and chemical varieties.

S. Koreans won’t like Trump’s call for actions either because millions of S. Koreans have relatives in the north. They don’t want to see them die from American bombs. 
Will S. Korea invade the North without U. S. participation? 

No.

Will S. Korean soldiers kill N. Korean soldiers and vice versa?

No, if they have a say. They are all Koreans after all.

So, let me get this straight:

After Trump tweets out the order to bomb the hell out of N. Korea, it is the Koreans who will suffer the most and it is the Koreas which will endure the most damages. 

It isn’t a good picture and it doesn’t make any sense for Mr. Moon at all.

Is it a problem for Japan?

Definitely. Japan had twice occupied Korea in the past, slaughtered many Koreans and ruled Korean people for centuries. For that, Koreans hate Japan and that’s why N. Korea wants nothing less than total revenge against Japan if a war breaks out between the U.S. and N. Korea. 

Then there is the issue of Japan denying the roles of comfort women during WWII. 

Once war breaks out, N. Korea will try to do all it can to inflict damages to Japan and its people one way or the other. 

Is it a problen for Russia?

Nope. There might be nuclear fall outs in Russia if nukes start to fly. Russia will contunue to supply all the weapons N. Korea wants and provide intelligence data which N. Korea needs to fight the war.

Putin should benefit the most from the war between the U.S.A. and N. Korea.

Is it a problem for China?

To some degree. China may see thousands of N. Korean migrants crossing over the Yalu River if Trump decides to bomb N. Korea. Nuclear fall outs in China can’t be dismissed either. 

But, N. Korea will not invade China and it will not send missiles to the direction of China either. It is annoying to China because of all the tweets from Trump but the war isn’t a problem for China per se.

In the end, China will stand behind N. Korea in spirit but will not fight for the country like it did in the first Korean war. If N. Korea requests weapons, China will provide them so that Kim’s regime can defend itself.

After the war, China will offer N. Korea interest free loans and help N. Korea re-build. China’s excess capacity gets new orders and N. Korea gets new factories, new roads and new railroads. It’s a win win situation.

Is it a problem for the U.S.?

Yes. 50+K American soldiers in DMZ and Camp Humphreys will be in harms way. Nukes, bio and chemical bombs could come down on them. Andrews AFB will become a busy place. Body bag makers will see a rush of new orders. Bomb makers will work overtime to re-stock the pile. U.S. economy gets a small boost. 

American ship and carriers in the vicinity of Korea and Japan and other regions in the Pacific Ocean may face threats from N. Korean subs even though these subs are old and out dated. 

American soil will be spared just like all world wars in the past. But, N. Korean spies will try to cause damages to American assets in the world. 

Can America do a surgical attack on N. Korean targets just to give Kim a warning?

No. 

The U.S. won’t. It has to do a “shock and awe” job in the beginning to eliminate major threats from the N. Korea. 

To do that, America has to amass a large number of fighter planes before bombing starts. If America wants to invade N. Korea either with S. Korean troops (preferred by America, of course,) or American soldiers, they need to move soldiers to the DMZ. That will give N. Korea ample chance to strike the first blow to American soldiers and South Korean urban centers. It can get pretty ugly very fast.
Is it a problem for North Korea?

Certainly. Millions of N. Korean soldiers and civilians will die if the 2nd Korean War drags on. Infrastructure in N. Korea will for sure be damaged.

Will Kim die? Probably not. He’ll be hidding in the bunker which can stand direct hits from Mother of all bombs. 

Will Kim be captured? Not likely unless America sends in foot soldiers into Pyongyang to mop up the floor clean after devastating N. Korea.

Whose war is it anyway?

So, is Kim more of a problem for S. Korean people or is it a problem for Trump and America?

The answer is clearly the latter. Koreans don’t want a war. Moon want a dialog with Kim and it is Trump and American generals who are more eager to start a war between two Koreas. 

So, why is Trump so eager to stir up the pot? Because Trump is in trouble at home with low voters approval ratings and Mueller. The real reason for Trump’s N. Korea tweets is that by kicking the N. Korea conflict up a notch it might divert media’s attention away from Russian investigation. 

A bigger question

Shouldn’t S. Koreans have more to say about a war between the two Koreas instead of Trump?

Moon should make it very clear to Trump on this important point unless Trump is sending American soldiers into the North too.

A Black Swam from the Korean peninsula?

So, is the 2nd Korean war a “black swan” event for the world financial markets to worry about?

Not by the action of three major indices. All three are either at or near all time highs. 

The only logical conclusion one can make is that despite all the tweets from Trump, the 2nd Korean war won’t happen.

The real fight has just begun July 30, 2017

Posted by hslu in Congress, Election, Liberal Media, Military, Politics, Social Issues, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, US Government.
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Some Americans are proud of their government. They believe that it is the best there is in this world; balanced power-sharing scheme, independent-minded branches and free of corruptions. Whether that’s the case in reality is open to discussion.

There are three independent branches: the administration, the legislature and the judicial. Each has its own distinct power and each works on its own. The term Americans often cite for how their government works like a well-greased machine is “checks and balances.”

Well, the Administration has some say on domestic issues but its hands are tied because the Congress holds the string to the purse. But, in foreign policy and starting wars against other countries, Congress has little leverage on what the Administration choose to do.

Congress is where politics is being played on almost every issue regarding how tax money is distributed: defense, social welfare, education, energy, art, science and many other areas.

These two branches are well-tuned political machines and both are not shy to play dirty politics to the fullest just to gain a little advantage over the other party. 

America’s judicial system is supposed to be apolitics. The judges are supposed to interpret the law without any personal bias or political inclination. These “saints” in black robes hold tremendous power and usually have the final say on almost every issue affecting people’s lives.

That’s where politics are being played to the fullest between the liberals and conservatives.

Wow, if that happened, the defeat of Hillary by Trump will set liberals back by decades. 

We’ll see if Trump can keep his seat.

“Managing Iran” meant regime change in 1953 July 29, 2017

Posted by hslu in China, Global Affair, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Politics, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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How the CIA toppled Iranian democracy

http://flip.it/HHR_P8

Source: Businesd Insider

Here is an example of America messing around a foreign country’s government with disastrous outcome. 

Source: Business Insider

Source: Business Insider

Source: Encyclopædia Britannica

Unfortunately, the U.S. is still paying a hefty price for that transgression more than half a century later.

America’s unlawful conducts are still going on in other parts of the world probably in the name of national security. 

I guess the international bully just never learned.

BBC News: The end of the Anglo-American order? July 6, 2017

Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, Economics, Energy, Global Affair, Globlization, Middle East, Oil, Shanghai, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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I saw this on the BBC and thought you should see it:

The end of the Anglo-American order? – http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-40227270

With China being the largest crude oil importer in the world, with Renminbi being accepted by central banks as a reserve currency and with Saudi Arabia and some OPEC countries don’t like what America is doing in the Middle East, is it likely that we will soon see crude oil being traded at Renminbi instead of the U.S. dollar? 

Of course I am not talking about all oil trades will be settled on Renminbi but what about bi-lateral oil trades between Saudi and China and Nigeria and China. You know which side Rusdia stands on this. 

The Renminbi bilateral swap lines between China and 33 (wiki data) other countries will be replaced with a new trading platform next year. In the past, these swaps were cleared by SWIFT which is under America’s influence. The new platform will be under China’s control and will be located in Shanghai away from SWIFT.

The world order is fast changing in front of our eyes if you care to look.

Will South Korea’s Moon reshape its military relations with US? July 6, 2017

Posted by hslu in Cold War, Global Affair, Military, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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http://asia.nikkei.com/Politics-Economy/Policy-Politics/Moon-reshaping-South-Korea-s-military-relations-with-US?page=2

I didn’t know until now that South Korea doesn’t have control of its own military at time of military conflict.

Totally inconceivable.

With a nominal GDP of almost $1.5 trillion (ppp ~$2 trillion) and a 2.7% GDP growth rate, South Korea no doubt can afford a modern military force.

It goes to show that when someone else is feeding you, you (S. Korea) become lazy and easily satisfied with what you have. I call this 不長進。

At the same time, while America deliberately makes South Korea relying on the U.S. to keep North Korea at bay, America has the perfect reason to stay in Korean peninsula to keep an eye on China and Russia.

South Korea should take a look of what Israel is doing to defend itself from its enemies.

S. Korea’s GDP is almost 5 times bigger than that of Israel.

Let’s see what Moon can do in the next four years. Trump is tired of paying for it. Why don’t you take it over and let the U.S. go?

A new world order is emerging June 11, 2017

Posted by hslu in 美國, Global Affair, Globlization, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Obama, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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A matter of fact discussion of shifting of the balance of power in the world is clearly stated in the following article. 

The end of the Anglo-American order? – http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-40227270

American exceptionism is fading because Trump has been building a wall to isolate the U.S. from its former allies while digging a hole to bury the America alive. Of course, we can not forget Obama’s ‘appeasing’ foreign policy and the wars the U.S. have been and still are wagging against Muslim countries.

The American century will not be seen again and a new world order has already taken shape without Trump and the U.S.. 

Some highlights from the article are here:

America the hyprocrite June 5, 2017

Posted by hslu in 美國, Global Affair, Islam, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Obama, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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It’s about time that America stops being a hypricote and a snob of the world.

The reason is simple: America hasn’t followed the ‘America value’ when dealing with its own citizens and other nations in the world.

Let’s face it, America for years has violated human rights at home and at many areas in the world. It has never earned the respect from other nations for being the holder of the standard of justice. But America continues to claim moral highground and self-rightousness while criticize other nations, almost 200 nations in 2013, for human rights violations without uttering a word of its own transgressions.

Over the years America was pround of itself for having laws and hiring quotas to prevent social injustice against minorities. But what actaully happens in everyday life in the United States tells a vastly different story. Racial discriminations and mis-treatments against blacks, Latinos, Muslims and Asians at work and in public in the U.S. are everyday occurances. Police brutalities against blacks are sometimes deliberate, always troublesome and widely seen on TV by millions of people around the world. 

Source: BBC News

Source: BBC News

When appearing in front of a mic or a video camera, many white American politicians (and talk show hosts and entertainers) are die hard human right defenders. In private, they often show their true colors as racists and look down on other races. 
Remembered what B. Clinton said to T. Kennedy and what H. Reid said in private about Obama? If you don’t or choose to ignor them, let me remind you for the sake of human rights in America. Their comments sadly illustrate ‘white supremacy’ mentality ingrained in the American culture. 

First, this shows what B. Clinton said about Obama to T. Kennedy:

Source: the Gateway Pundit

This shows what H. Reid thought of Obama:

To further illustrate this point, one can clearly see ‘white supremacy’ in the following picture which shows the confirmed members of Trump’s cabinets: 13 white males (72%), 4 women (22%) and one black (6%.)

Source: Alternet.

Other actions by the U.S. government against its own citizens and other people of the world include massive cyber survaliance on emails and cellphones of common U.S. citizens and many if not all world leaders and the use of torture at Abu Ghraib.

Trump’s executive order on travel bans to the U.S. from several muslim countries and building a physical wall along the U.S. and Mexico border were blatant violations of human rights against muslims and Latinos. The real sad truth about Trump’s action was that the same sentiments are shared by millions of Americans who helped elect Trump to become the 45th preident of the U.S. in the first place.

And what has America done to secure its national interests in the world in the past? With its massive military machines, of course. The purpose of U.S. military in any conflict is to secure dominance in air, sea, land and space. To support this objective, America has deployed in more than 150 countries and has at least 662 overseas bases in 38 foreign countries plus many others in Iraq and Afghanistan.  

While banishing other countries for their poor human right records, oppressed actions against their own citizens by autocratic monarchy governments in the Middle East were conviniently and unabashedly brushed aside by the U.S. government because many of these Islamic countries are strategic partners of the U.S. in the Middle East. America often criticizes its enemies for their poor records on human right violations but dismisses equally bad actions by their friends.

Many military actions and missile and drone attacks taken by the U.S. military against other nations aren’t viewed as legitimate or morally defensible because they were carried out for American’s self interests. Most noticeable were America’s covert, but sometimes public, frequent, forceful and always deadly interventions in the Middle East over the past decades. Civilian deaths caused by American military machines have been ignored by the U.S. government because they were viewed as colleteral damages of American’s war on terror. In fact, US military forces have been responsible for thousands, possibly millions, of civilian deaths in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, Pakistan, Yemen and other regions around the world in the past decade. One might want to ask: ‘Has any of these countries invaded or attacked the United States?’

Over the past six or seven decades, America has done enough bad things around the world. Finally, it knew that the status quo can not continue. Obama’s leading from behind and Mr. Tillerson’s comments are proofs that America has finally realized that America’s glamour of self-righteousness is fast contracting. Its aggressive military and political interventions against many under-developed nations have created enough enemies for the most powerful nation in the world. For that, America is now paying for the consequences. 

America’s march to the bottom continues.

Anti-Trump sentiments, THAAD and Moon May 12, 2017

Posted by hslu in 美國, Economics, Global Affair, Middle East, Muslim, Obama, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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Trump believes that being the president of the most powerful nation in the world entitles him to demand other nations to do whatever he wants. 

It doesn’t work that way.

Trump wanted South Korea to pay $1 billion for the deployment of THAAD which angered South Koreans because THAAD wasn’t really designed to protect South Korea against missiles from the North. America forces THAAD on SK because it needs to monitor China and Russia as America “pivoting to the East.” In the end, the State Department quietly announced that America tax payers will pay for the deploytment. Trump ate his own words again.

In fact, 56.5% of South Koreans, according to a recent poll, want the deployment of THAAD suspended and leave the decision to the new government. 

But, after SK and the U.S. agreed in July 2016 to deploy one THAAD battery in SK, U.S. sent two mobile launchers to a U.S. military base in SK in March 2017 because America wanted to speed up the installation before a new government comes into power in May 2017. 

However, THAAD deployment has been under fire from the get-go because it was made without parliamentary approval and discussions by the public. The heavy-handed approach by the U.S. government against the will of majority of the South Korean people angered the opposition party which swept Moon Jae-in (文在寅) to the office. Of course, Park’s indictment decimated her party which also helped Moon won the election.

Trump’s bullying personality and his unorthodox foreign policy maneuvers destablized the balance of power in many countries and upset other nations’ politics because Trump’s ascent to power emboldened the populist movements worldwide.
This isn’t good for the U.S. because the strategic alliances cultivated by the U.S. over the past five decades are in danger of breaking apart. Many new governments, e.g., Phillippine and South Korea, may adapt anti-U.S. foreign policies and several pro-America royal family rulers in the Middle East might face renewed oppositions at home. 

None of that is good for the United States. America is threading dangerous water now. It will get worse and the end isn’t near at all.