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美國的民主政治 vs 中國的集權統治 October 18, 2017

Posted by hslu in China, 美國, Democracy, Election, Global Affair, Globlization, Health Insurance, Islam, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Obama, Obamacare, Putin, Racial Bias, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, 川普, 民主.
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大學好友寄來一篇有關美國民主政治和大陸集權統治的文章。看完後,想到臺灣最近坎坷的民主政治和困苦的經濟環境,忍不住感慨萬分。

中國數千年,朝代變遷,不論什麼政治體系,甚至包括一人獨裁的專制體系,那一個不是順民者昌,逆民者亡的?我時常說,能夠爲人民着想的政府,爲人民創造幸福的未來,讓人民安居樂業,社會安定的政府就是一個好的政府。

這篇文章是復旦大學中國研究研究員宋魯鄭在中國十九大開會前夕寫的。文章刊登在BBC News 中文網站上。值得一看。

Source: BBC News 中文版

http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/chinese-news-41645713

Source: BBC News 中文版

 

 

爲了給其他同學提供一些背景資料,我把美國近20年的政治變化簡短的摘要下來給他們參考。以下是我寫的摘要:

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謝謝高教授轉來的文章。

作者對“民主政治”的優,缺點分析的十分中肯,對一意孤行的川普和逐漸被世界排斥的美國也有明確的說明。在此,我斗膽把美國二十年來在外交和內政的變化簡短的跟大家報告一下,希望對你看這一篇文章有點幫助。

 

Clinton開始,美國就跟全世界說,伊拉克的 Saddam Hussein 擁有WMD。Bush Jr. 上臺8個月後發生911事件。美國以國家安全爲理由在2011年10月入侵阿富汗,在2013年3月入侵伊拉克。(Saddam Hussein 在 2000年10月堅持以歐元,不用美元,交換伊拉克的石油可能是美國攻打伊拉克的原因之一。)Bush Jr.爲了保護美國人民和本土,把美國的外交政策推向極右派好戰的陣營。2007年3月,美國次貸危機和 2008年9月的金融危機把全世界推向經濟蕭條的深淵。美國經濟衰退,欠債累累,失業率激增。這些事在2008年11月把Obama 推上了美國總統的寶座。

 

Obama 在他執政的八年中把美國的外交和內政推向極左派的自由主義陣營裏。對外,放棄美國霸權拒絕做全球警察,從伊拉克撤軍使得ISIS崛起,對阿富汗增兵然後撤軍,打擊以色列,討好阿拉伯回教國家,對中國採取“亞太再平衡”的圍堵政策,對蘇俄兼併克里米亞採取經濟制裁卻反而把蘇俄推向中國的懷抱。對敘利亞畫下紅線卻不採取行動,攻打ISIS不盡全力反而讓蘇俄在敘利亞建立軍事基地,簽訂伊朗核武協議,對北韓核武發展束手無策,進行TPP,TPA和TTIP談判,簽巴黎氣候協議增加美國公司負擔,影響美國勞工就業市場。最後在民主黨即將失去多數黨地位前與古巴建交。對內,他上臺後不立即更有效的用財政措施來拯救美國經濟,反而用他所有的政治資本來推動醫保全民化,簽訂 Dodd-Frank法案約束金融機構,約束石油公司,徹底打擊國內煤炭產業,濫用總統的行政權力變相的大赦非法移民,給婦女免費避孕藥,提倡社區大學兩年免費就讀,提倡同性戀婚姻合法化,支持變性人的合法地位,在軍中廢除“不問不說”政策和減弱美國人擁有槍支的權力。還有,Obama這個黑人總統和他對種族問題的迴避直接和間接的挑起了美國白人警察和黑人的武力衝突,也增加了白人對黑人的歧視和打擊黑人的決心。除此之外,金融危機帶動的量化寬鬆政策導致全世界貧富極端的不均。全球化和中國的崛起也增加美國民衆,尤其是美國南方保守派白人,對美國政府,美國前途和美國自由化現況的不滿。Obama執政八年已經無可否認的把美國變成了一個社會主義的國家了。

 

這些外在的因素和希拉蕊競選的失敗把川普推入了白宮。美國民主政治,四年河東,四年河西,動盪不安。我們現在看到的亂象都是歷史了。

 

謝謝。

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Both are lying about the ‘friends’ part October 16, 2017

Posted by hslu in Congress, 美國, Politics, Trump, US Government, 川普.
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As for passing the tax reform bill before the end of the year, we’ll see about that in about 75 days.

Source: CNBC

Party of Lincoln in turmoil October 15, 2017

Posted by hslu in Congress, 美國, Democracy, Election, Politics, Trump, US Government, 川普, 民主.
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Trump is the president of the United States and is considered to be the leader of the Republican Party. However, he is actively making enemies both inside and outside of the Republican Oarty. He isn’t on good terms with Russia’s Putin, E.U.’s Merkel and Macron, Iran, North Korea, Mexico, Cuba, Philippine and Australia. 

Furthermore, many voters who pushed Trump into the White House are now sorry that they chose the wrong man.

Mitch McConnell is the majority leader of the Senate and is facing calls from members of his own party, yes, the Republican Party, to step down. It isn’t very encouraging for McConnell because he is also being scolded by Trump for being weak, ineffective and not doing his job.

Paul Ryan is the Speaker of the House and the leader of the Republican Party in the House. He is being questioned by members of his own party and Trump because he failed to repeal and replace Obamacare.

The tax reform proposal, currently being worked on in the Republican Party without any input from the Democrats, faces backlash because it disporpotionally benefits the wealthy, such as Trump. It also has problem making the tax reform policy revenue neutral.

Last but not the least, a trove of Republican senator and representatives are not seeking another term in the 2018 mid-term election. At current count, nine Republican represenratives and one senator have announced that they won’t seek re-election next year.

It appears that the Republican Party is facing a huge enemy who happens to be the oresident of the United States.

We’ll see whether Republican Party will be toppled over from inside and lose the majority in the Senate and possibly in the Representative too.

Trump is not the leader of the Republican Party. He is the enemy.

Democrats are laughing.

名嘴和美國政治 October 15, 2017

Posted by hslu in Congress, 美國, Democracy, Election, Globlization, Islam, Liberal Media, Middle East, Muslim, Politics, Racial Bias, Russia, Taxes, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, US Government, 川普.
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臺灣的政治,社會的輿論,人民的想法和朝代(中央和地方)的變遷被電視上的名嘴操縱,掌控。這些人爲他們的政治理念在電視臺的節目中大放厥詞,打擊政府,攻擊個人,企圖左右地方和中央選舉的結果。無知的百姓很容易被這些人影響,而政府的政策就被這些人綁架了。

美國一樣也有名嘴:無線電臺保守派政治論壇節目主持人(在過去,自由派的政治論壇節目幾乎沒辦法生存),電視臺新聞節目主持人,週末和夜晚新聞節目的主持人和網路上保守派,激進派和自由派的護衛者。

Steve Bannon (班農) 就是一個典型的例子。

他說話頭頭是道,口無遮攔,極會罵人。他對美國在世界上的霸權有無比堅定的信念。他堅絕反對貿易全球化,反伊朗,反蘇俄,反北韓,反中國,反歐盟,反美國的盟友用美國錢。他主張在邊界築圍牆把中南美洲的違法移民擋在牆外。他反對有些穆斯林國家的阿拉伯人來美國,厭惡共和黨中反對川普的參議員和眾議員,反對現有的共和黨體系,也強烈的反民主黨的政治立場。

他在川普的小圈圈裏位高權重,深得川普長久的信任。可是在川普進白宮以後,他跟川普的女兒,女婿和其他顧問,部長不和,最後不得以被川普解僱。可是他在無官一身輕的情況之下,威脅共和黨參,眾議員,打擊在明年美期中要競選連任的議員。

其實,他威脅現任參議院首領 McMconnell,和即將退休的參議員 Corker 的真正目的,是恐嚇其他共和黨參議員,要他們三緘其口,不可以公開批評或反對川普,要這些人爲共和黨和川普推行的稅改政策投下贊成的一票。

現在,共和黨的52個參議員中只有三,四個參議員敢對川普和共和黨的稅改提案有任何異議。他們也極有可能會投反對票。除了 Corker 和生癌症的 McCain  以外,川普還需要擔心緬因州的 Collins 和阿拉斯加的 Murkowski 參議員很可能會反對共和黨和稅改政策。

川普知道這個道理。班農當然也知道這個道理。所以,班農的責任就是儘量打擊 McConnell 和 Corker,殺一儆百,告訴其他的共和黨參議員,你們最好乖乖的通過共和黨提出來的稅改政策,不然下一個目標就是反對稅改政策的共和黨參議員了。

共和黨在美國的眾議院有壓倒的多數,許多眾議員也不敢公開反對川普,因為川普的鐵票可能高達 30%,甚至 35% 的選民。如果眾議員公開反對川普,那他們競選得連任的機會就不大了。

這是美國民主政治黑暗的一面。許多中國人,尤其是年輕的中國人,包括臺灣的年輕人在內,以為美國的民主政治是世界上至高無上,最純潔,最公平的治國標準。沒人一票多麼神聖阿! 他們那裏知道美國的民主政治實際上早就被有錢人和有特殊要求的團體綁架了。

It is the law, stupid. October 12, 2017

Posted by hslu in Culture, 美國, Democracy, Do you know?, Politics, Trump, US Government, 川普.
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What’s great about the United States is that all U.S. citizens are protected by the law equally; to a certain degree unfortunately. 

America has a sound legal system and the law is carried out to the fullest in many cases. Of course, rich people have a leg up in front of the prosecutor, juror or judge because their money can buy the brightest and the sharpest lawyers to defend them. Lowlifers get public defender fresh out of the law school if they are lucky.

Well, I have been told many times that all Americans have the right to freely express themselves. 

So, is “taking a knee” protected by the constitution? 

Source: The Denver Post

Here is the definitive answer from judge Andrew Napolitano. Take a few minutes and get the answer yourself.

The next questions are: 

  1. Can Jerry Jones of Dallas Cowboys compell his players who have “taken a knee” to stand?
  2. If these players defy Jerry Jones’s order to stand, can they be sidelined or penalized financially?

http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2017/10/12/judge-andrew-napolitano-is-taking-knee-protected-speech.html

FYI, here is Supreme Court’s opinion on freedom of speech:

Source: Fox News

可笑:美國白人罵美國白人 October 11, 2017

Posted by hslu in Congress, 美國, Liberal Media, Military, Politics, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, US Government, 川普, 民主.
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現任美國總統,美國前副總統和美國參議員都算是美國上流社會和政府中的佼佼者。這些人的言行,談吐,為人,處事和治理國事的手腕都是美國人和外國人關注的。他們的行為和道德修養也應該是美國年輕人和學生的榜樣。

近來,美國總統川普不付負責任的言行和耍無賴的作風引起社會大眾和外國政府強烈的反響。川普用他的 tweets 治國,用他的 tweets 執行外交政策,更變本加厲的用他的tweetsv對反對他的人做人身攻擊。

川普的行為就像一個村子裏的無賴。仗著他有幾個臭錢,仗著他有一幫打手,他就到處挑釁;欺負弱小,打擊他看不順眼的人,用霸道,威脅的手段壓迫他的敵人就範。川普的幾個臭錢就是美國龐大的經濟實力,華爾街的金融體系,美元的地位和美國政府對世界財經制度的控制手腕。他的打手就是美國的十個航空母艦戰鬥群,無數的飛機,精準的飛彈和無所不在的武裝無人飛機。

不論在國內或是國外,川普到處樹立敵人,違反國際規則,他信口開河,沒有原則,前後矛盾,強詞奪理。他內不避親,外不避嫌,挑撥離間,歧視黑人。川普完全沒有一國總統應該有的教養和風度。

美國前副總統在一個公開的演講中說美國總統川普的行為和做法已經威脅到美國的利益,也威脅到美國人民的安全。言外之意,他覺得川普不負責任,不夠資格做美國的總統。

最近,川普還直接指名道姓的挑戰美國的一個參議員,Corker,尖酸刻薄的罵他,還給他取名字,調笑他的身高,叫他 “Liddle”。這怎麼可能從美國總統的說口中出來呢?這簡直是下三濫的打法。實在是令人啼笑皆非。看來,川普是耍賴慣了,也不在乎丟臉,可能也不覺得這是丟臉的事。川普現在差的就是還沒有把美國的國罵端到檯面上來了。不過 我可以保證,在私底下,美國的四字經早就說爛了。

這是美國政治全新的一章。以前我們在電視和媒體上看到的,是美國政壇斯斯文文的一面。總覺得美國是一個文明,有教養 有風度的國家。比台灣立法院打架,丟椅子要斯文多了。川普把這個形象徹底的打翻了。

開了眼界囉!

This was what Biden said in a speech at Center for International Study:

Source: Flipboard.

Biden is a democrat and a former vice president. He critizes the current Republican president isn’t completely out of the line. But, what’s strange is that a Republican Senator from Tennessee, Corker, also engaged into name calling with Trump:

He 

等着吧!天天有川普的好戲上演。每天的戲碼都不同,主角也不一樣。不過,領銜主演的絕對是現任美國總統。

It’s still the same old swamp in Washington DC October 9, 2017

Posted by hslu in 美國, Election, Politics, Trump, US Government.
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The Fish Still Stink in Trump’s Washington Swamp 

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-10-08/the-fish-still-stink-in-trump-s-washington-swamp

川普在競選前說他要把華盛頓這個骯髒而又齷齪的沼澤裏的髒水抽乾淨。天真的美國人相信他,選他做美國總統,認為他這個政治外人會把I-495這一條環城公路裏面的人渣清理乾淨。

Bloomberg 的文章明白的告訴大家,川普,川普的家人和川普帶來的人跟美國聯邦政府的人渣差不多。

“中飽私囊”是政客的一貫伎倆。美國的月亮真的比較亮嗎?

Trump, Congress and the USA October 7, 2017

Posted by hslu in Congress, 美國, Trump, US Government.
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A telltale sign of a country in trouble is the approval rating of its officials.

Trump’s approval rating is 32% based on a survey conducted by Associated Press and the NORC Centre for Public Affairs Research.

Source: Yahoo News

Trump sees himself as the Santa Claus with gifts to people of Puerto Rico ravaged by Hurricane Maria.

Source: Yahoo News

The United State’s Congress is doing even worse, as it always does, according to the same survey: only 18% approve, 81% actively disappove and 51% strongly disapprove.

So, is the United States of America heading in the right direction? The survey said: 24%.

Very very bad.

But, don’t tell Trump, he still thinks everything is peachy.

Rex Tillerson at the Breaking Point | The New Yorker October 7, 2017

Posted by hslu in 美國, Global Affair, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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It is a long, fair and detailed essay on Tillerson, as an oil man and as the Secretary of State working for Trump.

Source: Flipboard, The New Yorker

http://flip.it/0PFKMA

Exxon announced its intention to take over Mobil in early 1998 when I was working for Mobil E&P research in Dallas. I have worked with Esso people in Canada and respected their technology and their accomplishments in the field. I also admired Exxon’s vision and their corporate culture. 

Once an oil man, always an oil man. 

Of course, I am interested in what goes on in ExxonMobil and what Mr. Tillerson is doing as the Secretary of State under an unpredictable boss.

For another perspective on Mr. Tillerson, please see my other post on him.

https://hslu.wordpress.com/2017/10/04/mr-tillerson-you-cant-quit-now/

What’s the benefit to U.S? October 6, 2017

Posted by hslu in Cold War, 美國, Global Affair, Oil, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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Other than tearing apart yet another work done by Obama, “de-certify” Iran nuclear deal, known as JCPOA, Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, will not bring any discernible benefit to the U.S. 

It will make Trump the odd man out on the world stage. Again. It will make American economic sanctions less effective this time around without the backing of other five countries which signed the JCPOA. It will not bring Iran any closer to comply with the regulations of the JCPOA either. And it will further isolate America from the rest of the world.

It will, however, fulfill one of Trump’s campaign promises though. 

But, what can Trump or Congress do to prevent Iran from eventually becoming a nation with nuclear weapons?

Not much.

Inspections slowed down the progress of Iran’s nuclearization. American sanctions choked off Iran’s economic development, made Iranians suffer over the years but didn’t stop Iran from gaining necessary hardware and know-how to develop nuclear weapons since Iran’s Islamic revoluion in 1979.

So, what drives Trump do it and push the hot potato to the arms of the Congress? There are several possible reasons:

  1. Trump can wash his hands clean and check it off from the list of things he had promised to do before taking the WH? 
  2. Trump believes Iran will fall in line and negotiate a new deal with the U.S. when threatened by Trump.
  3. America wants to punish Iran because Iran has been accepting Renminbi, instead of U.S. dollar, for millions of barrels of Iranian crudes it has exported to China. This is a “big no-no” because it threatens one of the pillars of American hegemony in the world.
  4. Trump intends to take on China indirectly using Iran as a promixy. By imposing new sanctions on Iran, America can impose restrictions on Chinese banks and Chinese companies if they continue to do business with Iran thus slowing down the transformation from petro-dollar to petro-renminbi.
  5. Trump is the kind of person who “唯恐天下不亂”。He wants all the attentions in the world so that he medses up things in the world as much as he can.

What a “怪胎”!

Can you think of a better term to describe Trump the person?

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