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And who is at fault? September 28, 2017

Posted by hslu in 美國, Democracy, Election, Global Affair, Islam, Muslim, Politics, Religion, Russia, Social Issues, Taiwan, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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Who is responsible for the world going to hell in a handbasket? 

Who do you think is the culprit?

There can be no doubt that Trump, his advisors and his supportors are largely responsible for the current mess in the world. So, go ahead, Trump, keeps stirring up the pot with your tweets and makes America the enemy of the world.

But, China is doing fine, thank you very much. 

The U.S. was solely responsible for the Great Recession because America, including the Wall Street bankers, the Fed, the regulators, the Congress, the banks and thousands of greedy investors, created the subprime mortgage loan crisis and the subsequent financial crisis.

Now, Trump is dividing the country up into multiple classes and makes people from different classes hate each other. 

Trump didn’t stop there. Here is a list of things Trump has done and wanted to do since 1/20/2017:

  • got out of TPP, 
  • got out of the Paris Accord,
  • weakened NATO, 
  • re-negotiated NAFTA, 
  • wanted to get rid of Iran nuclear deal, 
  • asked American allies, such as Japan, Korea, Germany, France, just to name a few, to pay for protections they have received from the U.S., 
  • threatened fire and fury on Kim Jong En and total destruction to North Korea and its people,
  • sent more U.S. troops to Afghanistan, 
  • put more sanctions on Russia and Venezuela,
  • wanted to keep muslims out of the U.S. with a travel ban,
  • wanted to build a wall to keep Mexicans and latinos from entering the America, and,
  • get rid of Dreamers. 

It is obvious that Trump is distructive, un-trustworthy and is a person no one, e.g., Mercel of Germany, can do business with.

The political mess in Washington and the stalemate on Britexit in England make one wonder that democracy is probably at the end of its usefulness. I certainly do not think democracy promoted by the U.S. is a viable option to govern. It created disfranchised classes and made national policies the hostages of special interest groups, lobbyists and wealthy donators. 

So, is Trump’s government good for American people? 

I say that it is not. 

What do you think?

Is it possible that America is starring at the onset of a culture revolution American style which is instigated by Trump and encouraged by Trump’s supportors?

You tell me.

The following is some of my thoughts on the divisiveness of Trump the person and his policies. I am trying to draw parallels between the political landscapes in the U.S. and that in Taiwan. I finished my thoughts on the U.S. and I am still working on my viewpoints on Taiwan. 

It was written in Chinese.

分裂

一個分裂的社會是一個停滯不前或著逐步落後的社會。

當政客把階級之間的矛盾作為一個競選的武器,這個矛盾的心理障礙極有可能會演變成階級鬥爭,而這個政府就會被少數的極端分子而左右。這樣的社會一定會動盪不安,人心會猜疑惶恐。這個社會的經濟就會變成投資報酬低落,人才長期外流,競爭優勢下降,經濟成長衰退,薪資不漲反退的窘境。

兩百多年以來,美國一直是一個種族分裂的社會。南北戰爭以後,黑人不再為奴。雖然馬丁路德金在20世紀中爲黑人爭取了法律上平等的地位,可是黑人仍然被白人歧視,壓迫,而白人和黑人之間的直接衝突也一直沒有間斷過。這種種族分裂已經持續兩個世紀了。 雖然美國有法律保障黑人和少數民族(拉丁美洲人和東方人)的福利,可是這只是政客的表面文章。私底下,白人還是看不起黑人和其他人種,這也是黑人和少數民族繼續被歧視的主要原因。

美國黑人長期以來被白人不停的壓迫,但是這個”階級鬥爭”在白人的主流意志統治之下並沒有對整個美國經濟有太多的負面影響。原因是白人當政,黑人(東方人)的影響力太低的緣故。

不過,美國這種白人至上的情況從 2001 年以來已經受到根本的威脅,因為除了黑白衝突以外,美國還經過許多內外夾擊的改變:

。2001 的 911 事件,

。阿富汗和伊拉克戰爭,

。2005 年的房地產泡沫,

。2009 年由美國引起的世界經濟財務危機,

。歐巴馬和茜拉蕊的反蘇俄,反中國外交政策,

。歐巴馬任內將美國推向極端的自由派陣營,

。川普的’美國至上’其實是’白人至上’的偽裝。

這些事件的發生使美國成為一個嚴重分裂的社會。目前,美國有好幾個尖銳的社會衝突。這些衝突在少數政客,保守派和自由派名嘴和網路政治言論的引導之下把美國社會搞得四分五裂:

1。財富不均的分裂;1% 和 99% 的對立,

2。美國白人對黑人的歧視,

3。美國白人對穆斯林教派人的歧視,

4。美國白人對墨西哥和拉丁美洲人的歧視,

5。美國白人對中國人和印度人的歧視,

6。美國保守派和自由派意識形態的分裂。

這些衝突的直接產物就是川普的當選,美國”白人至上”意志的抬頭,也是美國保守派白人的最後掙扎。美國的經濟也在這些衝突之中受到負面的影響,導致GDP成長率下降,聯邦政府入不敷出,國家債務提升,政府政策停滯不前,美金購買力下降,美國也逐漸的喪失了它在世界上的影響力和競爭力。

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And above all a bellicose and unpredictable Trump September 8, 2017

Posted by hslu in 美國, Global Affair, Islam, Japan, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Putin, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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The statement below by Jens Stoltenberg, the head of NATO, is true but Stoltenberg should have added bellicose Trump to the mix too.

But, Jens Soltenberg fogot to mention that the U.S., Russia, Israel, India, Parkistan and China, among others, have thousands of nuclear warheads pointing to each other at all times.

That’s a real perliferation of weapons of mass destruction indeed.

Tilletson to get fired soon? August 31, 2017

Posted by hslu in 美國, Global Affair, Middle East, Oil, Politics, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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The primary reason Tillerson was selected by Trump to be the Secretary of State is Tillerson’s personal tie with Putin. His dealing with oil producing countries in the Middle East is certainly a big plus too.

However, with potential Trump/Putin collusion investigated by multiple parties in the U.S., Tillerson’s usefulness to Trump diminishes by the day.

Tillerson has now openly distanced himself from Trump on Charlottesville tradegy. Is Tillerson looking for a way out? Is Tillerson a few tweets away from being fired by Trump soon?

I think it will be wise for Tillerson to step away from the Trump administration because Trump is a boss who knows very little about how government works and how foreign policy should be conducted. 

Trump wants to cut the State Department by 25% and it is up to its new boss, Tillerson, to do the chopping. It puts Tillerson in such an impossible position to conduct his business. Tillerson should have told Trump that this level of cutting can’t be done in one fell swoop. 

It is Trump who doesn’t get it. It’s not Tillerson.

16 more years or $3 trillion spent August 22, 2017

Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, 美國, Global Affair, Muslim, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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The U.S. has been fighting against some people in Afghanistan for 16 yesrs.

Trump has said that there will be no timetable to withdraw American GI’s and they will be there for as long it’s necessary.

So will America be out of Afghanistan 16 years from now?

Since time will no longer be the deciding factor to pull American troops out from Afghanistan, may be it is wise to set a dollar limit instead. America should begin pull its troops out as spending on Afghanistan reaches $1.5 trillion. The pace should increase as spending passes $2 trillion. When the cost of Afghanistan war reaches $3 trillion, all American soldier should be out of that country forever. 

However, let’s not forget that another reason America is in Afghanistan is that a military presence in that region is part of America’s “Pivot to Asia” strategy designed to contain China. Its military installation there also serves as a monitoring post on Russia as well.

As to the “nation building” business in Afghanistan, as long as greenbacks continues to flows into that country, its nation is being built by American tax dollar no matter how Trump denies it.

美國保守派白人的最後掙扎 August 17, 2017

Posted by hslu in Election, Global Affair, Globlization, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Oil, Politics, Russia, Trump.
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I can’t stop blaming you 

By Donald Trump

====================================

(I can’t stop blaming you)

I’ve made up my mind

To live in memory of my stupid times

    (I can’t stop pissing you)

    I have more foolish things to say

    So I’ll just tell my lies in dreams of yesterday

    (Dreams of yesterday)

    Those obama days that we once loathed
    Tho’ long ago, they still make me fume

    They say that I broke many laws 

    But laws mean nothing since I took the dump

    (I can’t stop blaming you)

    I’ve more foolish things to say

    To live in memories of my stupid times

    (I can’t stop pissing you)

    I’ve more foolish things to say

    So I’ll just tell my lies in dreams of yesterday

    ====================================

    白人將在不久的未來成為美國的少數民族。

    在未來的二十年;也就是五次總統選舉之內,美國會產生一個有西班牙裔血統的總統嗎?如果把目標放小一點,民主黨內會不會有一個西班牙血統的總統候選人嗎?

    美國在2008年產生了第一個黑人總統。希拉里競選組織無能,把白宮的寶座送上,怪不得別人。2016年,希拉里雖然比川普多贏了三百多萬張選票,但是她輕敵,無能,又把寶座雙手奉上給她的對手:川普。同時,美國傳統的白人保守派在歐巴馬和自由派八年的砍殺下,被整的死去活來。這些人看到川普以為天上掉下來的一個救世主,結果以八萬票左右的差距在傳統的民主黨基地取得了勝利,入主白宮。

    進了白宮以後呢?

    川普除了放火燒自己的屁股,就沒有做幾件對美國有好處的事。他競選的支票沒有幾張兌現的。他兒子和蘇俄外交官與律師接頭以及川普修改他們會議的原因,遲早會帶給川普一大堆麻煩。還有 Mueller 的 grand jury 更是川普的剋星。川普就像一個火爐上鍋子裏的青蛙。水溫一點一點的增加,川普想跳也跳不出去,只有在裏面等水開了被美國最厲害的律師剝皮。

    目前共和黨擁有國會上下兩院,民主黨最多也只能叫叫,發發牢騷而已。如果2018年11月期中選舉共和黨輸了任何一個議院,那川普就頭痛了。到時候,這個聽証,那個調查,把他的家人和朋友一個個的叫到議院來宣誓再詢問,那就有好戲看了。

    川普整天忙東忙西到處放火,同時還要到處滅火,到時候,一點事都做不出來。

    不過,只要川普把美國搞的一團糟,世界上那一個國家會受利呢?

    Mueller and Grand Jury August 2, 2017

    Posted by hslu in Congress, 美國, Election, Liberal Media, Politics, Russia, Trump.
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    It takes many lies to cover up the first lie.

    We all knew how it got started; an innocent email promising dirt on Hillary:

    This was how the first lie got started from the very top:

    Then there was the 2nd lie to cover the first one:

    Then the third:

    There will be more lies later. Just wait and see. Some lies have already said behind closed doors but we don’t know what they were. More lies from Trumps will come and the situation isn’t pretty for Trump or the Jr.

    We all know they lied. Trumps all know that we know they lied. Mueller knows that Trumps lied. Trump and Junior are betting that the Mueller can’t proof anything.

    If he can, Trump has to step down and Jr. may have to spend some quality time behind bars.

    Trump and Jr. are scared because they have too many skeletons behind closed doors and some Republican Senators are doing their best to protect Sessions from being axed by Trump.

    Don’t believe for a moment that there won’t be any more leaks from the WH despite Kelly’s appointment.

    My follow up questions August 1, 2017

    Posted by hslu in China, Putin, Russia, Trump.
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    There are about 1200 U.S. State Department employees currently working against Russia in Russia. 755 of them got fired by Putin. Mr. Tillerson should fire them and save American tax payers by at least $500 million a year.

    Here are my follow up questions:

    How many U.S. State Department employees are working in China against China now?

    Should that numbers be cut by 63% in one fell swoop too?

    2nd Korean war July 31, 2017

    Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, 美國, Global Affair, Japan, Military, Putin, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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    Source: BBC News

    Is it a S. Korean problem?

    No doubt about it. 

    Instead of raining cats and dogs, DMZ, Seoul and a big chunk of S. Korea will see bombs of all sorts raining down from the sky before the U.S. can surgically nuetralize threats from N. Korea missile sites. There might be nuclear, bio and chemical varieties.

    S. Koreans won’t like Trump’s call for actions either because millions of S. Koreans have relatives in the north. They don’t want to see them die from American bombs. 
    Will S. Korea invade the North without U. S. participation? 

    No.

    Will S. Korean soldiers kill N. Korean soldiers and vice versa?

    No, if they have a say. They are all Koreans after all.

    So, let me get this straight:

    After Trump tweets out the order to bomb the hell out of N. Korea, it is the Koreans who will suffer the most and it is the Koreas which will endure the most damages. 

    It isn’t a good picture and it doesn’t make any sense for Mr. Moon at all.

    Is it a problem for Japan?

    Definitely. Japan had twice occupied Korea in the past, slaughtered many Koreans and ruled Korean people for centuries. For that, Koreans hate Japan and that’s why N. Korea wants nothing less than total revenge against Japan if a war breaks out between the U.S. and N. Korea. 

    Then there is the issue of Japan denying the roles of comfort women during WWII. 

    Once war breaks out, N. Korea will try to do all it can to inflict damages to Japan and its people one way or the other. 

    Is it a problen for Russia?

    Nope. There might be nuclear fall outs in Russia if nukes start to fly. Russia will contunue to supply all the weapons N. Korea wants and provide intelligence data which N. Korea needs to fight the war.

    Putin should benefit the most from the war between the U.S.A. and N. Korea.

    Is it a problem for China?

    To some degree. China may see thousands of N. Korean migrants crossing over the Yalu River if Trump decides to bomb N. Korea. Nuclear fall outs in China can’t be dismissed either. 

    But, N. Korea will not invade China and it will not send missiles to the direction of China either. It is annoying to China because of all the tweets from Trump but the war isn’t a problem for China per se.

    In the end, China will stand behind N. Korea in spirit but will not fight for the country like it did in the first Korean war. If N. Korea requests weapons, China will provide them so that Kim’s regime can defend itself.

    After the war, China will offer N. Korea interest free loans and help N. Korea re-build. China’s excess capacity gets new orders and N. Korea gets new factories, new roads and new railroads. It’s a win win situation.

    Is it a problem for the U.S.?

    Yes. 50+K American soldiers in DMZ and Camp Humphreys will be in harms way. Nukes, bio and chemical bombs could come down on them. Andrews AFB will become a busy place. Body bag makers will see a rush of new orders. Bomb makers will work overtime to re-stock the pile. U.S. economy gets a small boost. 

    American ship and carriers in the vicinity of Korea and Japan and other regions in the Pacific Ocean may face threats from N. Korean subs even though these subs are old and out dated. 

    American soil will be spared just like all world wars in the past. But, N. Korean spies will try to cause damages to American assets in the world. 

    Can America do a surgical attack on N. Korean targets just to give Kim a warning?

    No. 

    The U.S. won’t. It has to do a “shock and awe” job in the beginning to eliminate major threats from the N. Korea. 

    To do that, America has to amass a large number of fighter planes before bombing starts. If America wants to invade N. Korea either with S. Korean troops (preferred by America, of course,) or American soldiers, they need to move soldiers to the DMZ. That will give N. Korea ample chance to strike the first blow to American soldiers and South Korean urban centers. It can get pretty ugly very fast.
    Is it a problem for North Korea?

    Certainly. Millions of N. Korean soldiers and civilians will die if the 2nd Korean War drags on. Infrastructure in N. Korea will for sure be damaged.

    Will Kim die? Probably not. He’ll be hidding in the bunker which can stand direct hits from Mother of all bombs. 

    Will Kim be captured? Not likely unless America sends in foot soldiers into Pyongyang to mop up the floor clean after devastating N. Korea.

    Whose war is it anyway?

    So, is Kim more of a problem for S. Korean people or is it a problem for Trump and America?

    The answer is clearly the latter. Koreans don’t want a war. Moon want a dialog with Kim and it is Trump and American generals who are more eager to start a war between two Koreas. 

    So, why is Trump so eager to stir up the pot? Because Trump is in trouble at home with low voters approval ratings and Mueller. The real reason for Trump’s N. Korea tweets is that by kicking the N. Korea conflict up a notch it might divert media’s attention away from Russian investigation. 

    A bigger question

    Shouldn’t S. Koreans have more to say about a war between the two Koreas instead of Trump?

    Moon should make it very clear to Trump on this important point unless Trump is sending American soldiers into the North too.

    A Black Swam from the Korean peninsula?

    So, is the 2nd Korean war a “black swan” event for the world financial markets to worry about?

    Not by the action of three major indices. All three are either at or near all time highs. 

    The only logical conclusion one can make is that despite all the tweets from Trump, the 2nd Korean war won’t happen.

    Russiagate July 15, 2017

    Posted by hslu in Election, Liberal Media, Russia, Trump.
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    Fox News anchor Shepard Smith attacks Trump administration’s ‘lies’ http://dailym.ai/2vmQJWY via http://dailym.ai/android


    Is impeachment coming? Maybe Trump will resign like what Nixon did.

    Anti-Trump sentiments, THAAD and Moon May 12, 2017

    Posted by hslu in 美國, Economics, Global Affair, Middle East, Muslim, Obama, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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    Trump believes that being the president of the most powerful nation in the world entitles him to demand other nations to do whatever he wants. 

    It doesn’t work that way.

    Trump wanted South Korea to pay $1 billion for the deployment of THAAD which angered South Koreans because THAAD wasn’t really designed to protect South Korea against missiles from the North. America forces THAAD on SK because it needs to monitor China and Russia as America “pivoting to the East.” In the end, the State Department quietly announced that America tax payers will pay for the deploytment. Trump ate his own words again.

    In fact, 56.5% of South Koreans, according to a recent poll, want the deployment of THAAD suspended and leave the decision to the new government. 

    But, after SK and the U.S. agreed in July 2016 to deploy one THAAD battery in SK, U.S. sent two mobile launchers to a U.S. military base in SK in March 2017 because America wanted to speed up the installation before a new government comes into power in May 2017. 

    However, THAAD deployment has been under fire from the get-go because it was made without parliamentary approval and discussions by the public. The heavy-handed approach by the U.S. government against the will of majority of the South Korean people angered the opposition party which swept Moon Jae-in (文在寅) to the office. Of course, Park’s indictment decimated her party which also helped Moon won the election.

    Trump’s bullying personality and his unorthodox foreign policy maneuvers destablized the balance of power in many countries and upset other nations’ politics because Trump’s ascent to power emboldened the populist movements worldwide.
    This isn’t good for the U.S. because the strategic alliances cultivated by the U.S. over the past five decades are in danger of breaking apart. Many new governments, e.g., Phillippine and South Korea, may adapt anti-U.S. foreign policies and several pro-America royal family rulers in the Middle East might face renewed oppositions at home. 

    None of that is good for the United States. America is threading dangerous water now. It will get worse and the end isn’t near at all.

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