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Will China invade Taiwan? October 26, 2019

Posted by hslu in China, 美國, 習近平, 蘇俄, Military, Taiwan, 台灣, 中國.
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Could China Really Invade and Take Over Taiwan by Force?

https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/could-china-really-invade-and-take-over-taiwan-force-90646
Imagining this:
 
Some time after the unlikely event of a DPP’s win of the upcoming presidential election in early 2020, be it one month, one year or two years, China announces that it has taken over the islands of Jinmeng (金門) and Mazhu (馬祖) after a bloodless invasion overnight. Penghu (澎湖) is the next target. Plans for a full-scale invasion of the island of Taiwan have long been drawn up but the invasion isn’t on the table just yet.
 
China also announces that “Operation Cutting the Head of;斬首行動” has begun. In the same announcement, China says that this is an internal affair and it warns other country to staying clear of seas surrounding the island. In other words, an areal and a sea blockades are in effect immediately.
 
What will the U.S. do?More sanctions against China? Propose to sell more defensive weapons to Taiwan? Send in an additional aircraft carriers to the Eastern Pacific Ocean? In other words, possibly not much different from Obama’s responses against Russia after invasion of Crimea.
 
What will Taiwan’s official response be? Declare independence and activate military reserves? Ask the U.S.to send in more marines to Taipei?
 
What willTsai Yingwen and DPP top officers’ next move be?Fly to Japan, hide in Japan’s official office in Taipei or send Mayingjiu to Beijing to negotiate a surrender to PLA in secret?
 
Will Taiwan’s stock market drop 65% overnight? Maybe it is 75% instead.
 
This will definitely qualify as a “black swan” for the stock markets around the world.
 
Are you prepared for it?
 
 

9 Dashed-Line and DF-21D or DF-26 July 6, 2019

Posted by hslu in China, 特朗普, 美國, 習近平, Military.
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China Likely Tested Missiles That Can Kill Aircraft Carriers in the

http://flip.it/ULrEHx

DF-21D 東風-21D range: 1,500 km

DF-26 東風-26 range: 3,000-4,000 km

Lockheed Martin F-35 Lightning II range: 2,778 km

A question:

If FD-26 has a range of somewhere between 3,000 and 4,000 km, does it render FM-35 Lighting II useless?

If FM-35s are useless, are aircraft carriers useless against China?

U.S. won’t cooperate with China and Russia. Ever. May 6, 2019

Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, Military, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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A US detente with China and Russia would boost the world economy – https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/06/detente-with-china-and-russia-would-boost-world-economy—commentary.html

The reason for that logic is very simple: China’s astonishing rise over the last three decades has rattled the U.S. policy makers and has threatened America’s hegemony.

America, an imperialist country judging by its actions in the past several decades, realized that China one day will take the throne away from America and it is doing all it can to prevent that from happening.

What can the only reason for having 100+ military bases around the world be except to maintain total supremacy over all other nations primarily Russia during the Cold War era and China now?

Robust world economy accelerates the growth of less developed countries’s GDP. That by default, is a no no for the U.S. and is inherentally not something the U.S. wants to see.

Finally China’s Navy Has Arrived March 24, 2019

Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, 美國, Military, Taiwan, U.S. Foreign Policy, 台灣, 中國.
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China’s Navy Has Arrived (And the U.S. Navy Should Be Worried)

http://flip.it/f8HBad

But, this is only the beginning. 2030 is only 11 years away.

Do you know what triggered the fast development of China’s naval strength?

Western decadence puts democracy at risk – MarketWatch February 4, 2019

Posted by hslu in Cold War, Congress, 美國, Democracy, Military, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, US Government, 川普, 中國.
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https://www.marketwatch.com/story/western-decadence-puts-democracy-at-risk-2019-02-04

I like to see more government shutdowns in the U.S.

I like to see Trump gets impeached.

I like to see Trump watching more Fox News and getting his foreign and domestic policies from talk heads.

I like to see the U.S. spending more on those 700+ military bases in other countries.

I like to see 70% tax bracket and wealth taxes for the super rich.

Why?

Government shutdown keeps the Congress and the WH butt heads. In the end, nothing gets done.

Trump impeachment will keep the U.S. further divided along the ideology line.

Watching Fox News will bring out the worst policies from Trump.

Spending on military will only get America further into debt. These investments are useless against Russia and China anyway. Will America fight an all out war against Russia or China? Most likely not. So, what’s the point of making more aircraft carriers anyway when annual deficit is over $1 trillion and the entitlement programs are facing insolvency?

Higher taxes on the rich will eventually keep their capitals away from the U.S.

I can continue.

China and U.S. relationship October 5, 2018

Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, 石油, 美國, Economics, Global Affair, Military, Xi Jinping, 一帶一路, 中國.
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The Trump administration just ‘reset’ the U.S.-China relationship

Columnist, Washington Post’ October 4 at 7:44 PM

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/global-opinions/the-trump-administration-just-reset-the-us-china-relationship/2018/10/04/c727266e-c810-11e8-b2b5-79270f9cce17_story.html?utm_term=.ddd307806a95

 

Pence said this in his speech: ” (T)he United States will newly confront Beijing’s worldwide economic and strategic aggression, oppose its internal repression and compel the Chinese government to change its behavior on both fronts.”

What Pence should recognize was this: Washington has spread its worldwide economic and strategic aggression, imposed internal repression and should have changed its behavior on both fronts a long time ago but hasn’t.”

Pence also “laid out a litany of ways the Chinese Communist Party spreads influence inside the United States and around the world.”

Pence forgot that: “America has imposed economic aggression, military adventurism, influence operations, authoritarian expansion and nations’ building activities around the world for decades.”

Pence also said that “We will not relent until our relationship with China is grounded in fairness, reciprocity and respect for our sovereignty,”

What Pence failed to point out was this: America has never respected other nation’s sovereignty and this should change so that other nations can begin.to respect America’s sovereignty too.

America is a threat to the world. Every nation in the world, except a few like Japan and Saudi Arabia, know that.

I like to see China’s response to America’s threats.

 

俗語說得好:“兵來將擋,水來土掩。”你美國有什麼招數儘管發出來吧。“

 

建議:先動動嘴皮子。馬上發表一篇文章把美國在過去 70 年在國際關係上做過的壞事一一的列舉出來。這個應該比較簡單。在此同時,暗地裏準備好對付美國的辦法。看美國出那一招,中國就找出他的致命傷,打他個措手不及。

其實最有效的方法就是把美國的經濟打出千瘡百孔,弄他個元氣大傷。美國人只要沒事做,除了伸手拿救濟金,他們就沒折了。一般美國人熬不了幾個禮拜的。這些美國人有新車,有電視,有很多張信用卡,有貸款,沒有積蓄,沒有準備金,沒有退休金,叫他們現在那四百塊錢出來他們都拿不出來。到時候,這些人呱唧呱唧的叫,Trump 就會下臺一鞠躬了。

 

 

How high will oil shoot up to? July 20, 2018

Posted by hslu in Middle East, Military, Muslim, Oil, 川普.
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$200 USD per barrel perhaps if a war breaks out between Iran and Israel.

And how much higher will oil company stocks be traded for if anything remotely close to an Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities happens?

Finally, what will happen to Israel if Israeli Army doesn’t clean up Iran’s nuclear facilities in the first strike?

The problem is July 8, 2018

Posted by hslu in Democracy, Economics, Globlization, Military, Trump, US Government, 川普.
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http://flip.it/XvoYkw

Ocasio-Cortez thinks America needs another Great Deal via massive deficit spending to revive the U.S. economy. She thinks that country can borrow as much as it needs because the deficit and the debt are not the problem for the U.S. The austerity is. Besides, she believes America can print as much as it wants because the U.S. dollar is the reserve currency of the world and everyone loves the green backs.

She has a degree in economy from the Boston University.

Well, there is a small problem with this line of thinking.

Actually, a few.

The structure of America’s economy,high labor costs, globalization, lousy K-12 education system, massive low skill immigrants and the non competitive nature of America’s work force will not grow U.S. economy fast enough to negate the negative effect of an uncontrolled deficit spending.

The rising interest cycle for the next three decades makes deficit spending a DOA idea.

Republicans used to be the steward of financial responsibility when it comes to government spending. Trump bullied Ryan and fellow Republicans to soak the rich, give six-pack Joes crumbs to pick on, and pile up national debt to unprecedented level in the next 7 years. Fiscal responsibility has gone out of the window and they are just like the Democrats.

Let the U.S. borrow: the Republicans borrow to build sophisticated fighter jets and $15 billion aircraft carriers. They make the rich richer.

The Democrats borrow to give the money to the low skilled and lazy Americans. They can’t compete but they know where the money comes from.

Let the binge party begin.

Trump wanted to invade Venezuela. He should invade this country too July 4, 2018

Posted by hslu in 特朗普, 石油, 美國, 蘇俄, Military, Putin, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, 川普.
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America invaded Panama and Grenada in the 1980’s because it could. Few countries objected because they didn’t know about the invasions until they were over.

Trump wanted to invade Venezuela in August, 2017 because Venezuela’s president was a corrupt dictator and a very bad guy, according to Trump’s conversations with his aids published in an AP report.

Well, Venezuela has a lot of oil just like another country which was invaded by the U.S. in 2003, Iraq. Lo and behold, Iraq was ruled by a rich and corrupt dictator: Saddam Hussein, before he was captured and later executed.

Let me see: Russia’s president, Mr. Putin, has probably amassed a lot of money. He is viewed by many as a man who ruled Russia with a strong hand. Many reports have presented evidences that Mr. Putin has ordered his guys to carry out assassinations against his political opponents both in and out of Russia.

Shall we draw the parallel one step further and point out that Russia is one of the top crude oil producers in the world with daily oil production well over ten million barrels every day.

By now, you must have noticed a pattern here: a rich male dictator who rules a country with a lot of oil in the ground.

Trump should invade Russia too.

Can someone tell me what America’s naval exercise in the Pacific Ocean is good for? July 1, 2018

Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, 美國, 蘇俄, Military, Russia, U.S. Foreign Policy, 中國.
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Other than wasting tax payers’ money.

Will the U.S. attack China or Russia one day?

No.

Will China or Russia attack America?

No.

And will the other 24 countries join the U.S. to bomb China and Russia too?

No .

So, why would the U.S. practice something that it won’t use any time soon.

吃飽飯,撐著,沒事做。

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