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American dirty politics October 19, 2017

Posted by hslu in 美國, Democracy, Liberal Media, Military, Politics, Trump, 川普.
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All out in the open for everyone to see. 

Conservatives: The Fox News

It’s intetesting to see two completely different view points spun by conservatives and liberals.

The liberal: The New York Times.

Trump said he had proof. White House later said that there was no tape.

Let it rip and see where the chip falls. This is democracy Americans are proud of.

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美國的民主政治 vs 中國的集權統治 October 18, 2017

Posted by hslu in China, 美國, Democracy, Election, Global Affair, Globlization, Health Insurance, Islam, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Obama, Obamacare, Putin, Racial Bias, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, 川普, 民主.
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大學好友寄來一篇有關美國民主政治和大陸集權統治的文章。看完後,想到臺灣最近坎坷的民主政治和困苦的經濟環境,忍不住感慨萬分。

中國數千年,朝代變遷,不論什麼政治體系,甚至包括一人獨裁的專制體系,那一個不是順民者昌,逆民者亡的?我時常說,能夠爲人民着想的政府,爲人民創造幸福的未來,讓人民安居樂業,社會安定的政府就是一個好的政府。

這篇文章是復旦大學中國研究研究員宋魯鄭在中國十九大開會前夕寫的。文章刊登在BBC News 中文網站上。值得一看。

Source: BBC News 中文版

http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/chinese-news-41645713

Source: BBC News 中文版

 

 

爲了給其他同學提供一些背景資料,我把美國近20年的政治變化簡短的摘要下來給他們參考。以下是我寫的摘要:

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

謝謝高教授轉來的文章。

作者對“民主政治”的優,缺點分析的十分中肯,對一意孤行的川普和逐漸被世界排斥的美國也有明確的說明。在此,我斗膽把美國二十年來在外交和內政的變化簡短的跟大家報告一下,希望對你看這一篇文章有點幫助。

 

Clinton開始,美國就跟全世界說,伊拉克的 Saddam Hussein 擁有WMD。Bush Jr. 上臺8個月後發生911事件。美國以國家安全爲理由在2011年10月入侵阿富汗,在2013年3月入侵伊拉克。(Saddam Hussein 在 2000年10月堅持以歐元,不用美元,交換伊拉克的石油可能是美國攻打伊拉克的原因之一。)Bush Jr.爲了保護美國人民和本土,把美國的外交政策推向極右派好戰的陣營。2007年3月,美國次貸危機和 2008年9月的金融危機把全世界推向經濟蕭條的深淵。美國經濟衰退,欠債累累,失業率激增。這些事在2008年11月把Obama 推上了美國總統的寶座。

 

Obama 在他執政的八年中把美國的外交和內政推向極左派的自由主義陣營裏。對外,放棄美國霸權拒絕做全球警察,從伊拉克撤軍使得ISIS崛起,對阿富汗增兵然後撤軍,打擊以色列,討好阿拉伯回教國家,對中國採取“亞太再平衡”的圍堵政策,對蘇俄兼併克里米亞採取經濟制裁卻反而把蘇俄推向中國的懷抱。對敘利亞畫下紅線卻不採取行動,攻打ISIS不盡全力反而讓蘇俄在敘利亞建立軍事基地,簽訂伊朗核武協議,對北韓核武發展束手無策,進行TPP,TPA和TTIP談判,簽巴黎氣候協議增加美國公司負擔,影響美國勞工就業市場。最後在民主黨即將失去多數黨地位前與古巴建交。對內,他上臺後不立即更有效的用財政措施來拯救美國經濟,反而用他所有的政治資本來推動醫保全民化,簽訂 Dodd-Frank法案約束金融機構,約束石油公司,徹底打擊國內煤炭產業,濫用總統的行政權力變相的大赦非法移民,給婦女免費避孕藥,提倡社區大學兩年免費就讀,提倡同性戀婚姻合法化,支持變性人的合法地位,在軍中廢除“不問不說”政策和減弱美國人擁有槍支的權力。還有,Obama這個黑人總統和他對種族問題的迴避直接和間接的挑起了美國白人警察和黑人的武力衝突,也增加了白人對黑人的歧視和打擊黑人的決心。除此之外,金融危機帶動的量化寬鬆政策導致全世界貧富極端的不均。全球化和中國的崛起也增加美國民衆,尤其是美國南方保守派白人,對美國政府,美國前途和美國自由化現況的不滿。Obama執政八年已經無可否認的把美國變成了一個社會主義的國家了。

 

這些外在的因素和希拉蕊競選的失敗把川普推入了白宮。美國民主政治,四年河東,四年河西,動盪不安。我們現在看到的亂象都是歷史了。

 

謝謝。

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

 

可笑:美國白人罵美國白人 October 11, 2017

Posted by hslu in Congress, 美國, Liberal Media, Military, Politics, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, US Government, 川普, 民主.
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現任美國總統,美國前副總統和美國參議員都算是美國上流社會和政府中的佼佼者。這些人的言行,談吐,為人,處事和治理國事的手腕都是美國人和外國人關注的。他們的行為和道德修養也應該是美國年輕人和學生的榜樣。

近來,美國總統川普不付負責任的言行和耍無賴的作風引起社會大眾和外國政府強烈的反響。川普用他的 tweets 治國,用他的 tweets 執行外交政策,更變本加厲的用他的tweetsv對反對他的人做人身攻擊。

川普的行為就像一個村子裏的無賴。仗著他有幾個臭錢,仗著他有一幫打手,他就到處挑釁;欺負弱小,打擊他看不順眼的人,用霸道,威脅的手段壓迫他的敵人就範。川普的幾個臭錢就是美國龐大的經濟實力,華爾街的金融體系,美元的地位和美國政府對世界財經制度的控制手腕。他的打手就是美國的十個航空母艦戰鬥群,無數的飛機,精準的飛彈和無所不在的武裝無人飛機。

不論在國內或是國外,川普到處樹立敵人,違反國際規則,他信口開河,沒有原則,前後矛盾,強詞奪理。他內不避親,外不避嫌,挑撥離間,歧視黑人。川普完全沒有一國總統應該有的教養和風度。

美國前副總統在一個公開的演講中說美國總統川普的行為和做法已經威脅到美國的利益,也威脅到美國人民的安全。言外之意,他覺得川普不負責任,不夠資格做美國的總統。

最近,川普還直接指名道姓的挑戰美國的一個參議員,Corker,尖酸刻薄的罵他,還給他取名字,調笑他的身高,叫他 “Liddle”。這怎麼可能從美國總統的說口中出來呢?這簡直是下三濫的打法。實在是令人啼笑皆非。看來,川普是耍賴慣了,也不在乎丟臉,可能也不覺得這是丟臉的事。川普現在差的就是還沒有把美國的國罵端到檯面上來了。不過 我可以保證,在私底下,美國的四字經早就說爛了。

這是美國政治全新的一章。以前我們在電視和媒體上看到的,是美國政壇斯斯文文的一面。總覺得美國是一個文明,有教養 有風度的國家。比台灣立法院打架,丟椅子要斯文多了。川普把這個形象徹底的打翻了。

開了眼界囉!

This was what Biden said in a speech at Center for International Study:

Source: Flipboard.

Biden is a democrat and a former vice president. He critizes the current Republican president isn’t completely out of the line. But, what’s strange is that a Republican Senator from Tennessee, Corker, also engaged into name calling with Trump:

He 

等着吧!天天有川普的好戲上演。每天的戲碼都不同,主角也不一樣。不過,領銜主演的絕對是現任美國總統。

Mr. Tillerson, you can’t quit now. October 4, 2017

Posted by hslu in Cold War, 美國, Global Affair, Japan, Military, Russia, Trump.
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Mr. Tillerson was ExxonMobil’s CEO before taking the job of Secretary of State for Trump.

For the past eight and half months, Mr. Tillerson tried very, very hard, like Trump would say, to do his job but was roundly undercut by his boss every step of the way from the very beginning. 

Most recently, Mr. Tillerson opened a direct communication channel with North Korea so that the situation on Korean Peninsula can be resolved diplomatically.

But Trump asked Tillerson to stop talking to North Korea and said that he’ll take care of the ‘little rocket man.’ 

He then fired out another tweet which went like this:

So, what did Trump mean with his second tweet? 

It was obvious to me that Trump meant taking out Kim Jong En by force.

It means war against North Korea.

With Trump’s second tweet, it seems, that there are several possible outcomes: 

1. Trump orders, with Pentagon’s support and agreements from Tillerson and security advisors, a pre-emptive attack by American forces to disable Kim Jong En’s killing machine and prevent any loss of lives of south  Korean anf Japanese people. 

2. Kim Jong En surrenders under the threat of Trump’s tweets and gives up his nuclear ambition. 

3. A nuclear war started by Kim Jong En and retaliated by Trump.

4. Trump backs down like many of his previous Twitter threats and loses his and American’s credibility again.

The first option won’t work and Trump knows it. Trump can’t neutralize North Korean’s military apparatus fast enough before millions of South Koreans, Americans and Japanese people die from Kim Jong En’s attacks. South Korean military isn’t likely to agree with this option. Japan will have doubts too because it won’t succeed.

The second option won’t happen because Kim Jong En can’t stop developing his nuclear weapons. Without the threat of nuclear weapons, Kim Jong En, like Saddam Hussein and Muammar Gaddafi before him, will die in the hands of America. Millions of North Korean people will die and America will control the entire Korean Peninsula. South Korea will be a puppet of the USA. China can’t let this happen and will step in with the troops it has at the border. Russia can stand idle either. 

If Pentagon, Tillerson and Congress agree with Trump, option 3 will be the most likely outcome. But I don’t believe Kim Jong En will start the fight first.

If Tillerson and Pentagon doesn’t agree with Trump, Trump has no option but eats his own tweets like he has already done so many times before. This is the 4th option. Congress won’t allow it to happen either. 

Do you see another option? 

There isn’t one.

So, please, Mr. Tillerson, for the sake of the humanity, hangs in there and, if necessary, beats some senses out of that dotard with a 2 by 4 if necessary. We need a few adults.in the WH because Trump is out of his mind.

Since we are talking about nuclear weapons here, did America voice any objection when India and Pakistan were developing their nuclear weapon technologies? Did America say anything about Israel’s nuclear missiles? 

North Korea will eventually have nuclear weapons and Iran will eventually have nuclear weapons. Why? For their own national interests.

And which country was the first and only one which had used a nuclear weapon on another country?

And which country has thousands of nuclear armed missiles ready to be used on its enemies for the sake of its national interests?

And which country has invaded and bombed other countries in the name of its national security?

Mr. Tillerson, I know Trump is waiting for 
you to quit so that he doesn’t have to fire you. I know Nikki Haley wants you to step down because Trump likes her and will make her your replacement. Haley is just a mouth piece for Trump. Nothing more. Nothing less. She wants your job so she talks tough to get Trump’s notice.

    So, Mr. Tillerson, you see, you can’t resign. The world peace is in your hands.

    Conservatives are seriously f%&¥#* by Trump September 13, 2017

    Posted by hslu in Congress, 美國, Democracy, Economics, Election, Health Insurance, Military, Obamacare, Politics, Trump, US Government.
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    Trump pushed Mitch and Paul under the Chuck-Nancy bus and, with a sneer on his face, folded his arms and declared that he was the boss whether they liked it or not.

    All the sudden, thanks to Trump’s betrayal, Republicans was royally f%&¥#* from behind, couldn’t utter a word of rejection and lost all chips on the table to deal with the Democrats.

    Trump ran as a Republican not because he was one but because it was convenient for him. He couldn’t run as a Democrat against Hillary because she was favored to win the election before the electiin got started. Don’t forget Trump gave Schumer a lot of money over the years too.
    As for tax reform, Democrats will push for no tax breaks for the top 10% and any tax cut has to be revenue neutral. Corporate tax reform (e.g., decrease corporate tax rate to 15% level) will face an uphill battle too because the current personal tax rate is higher than the proposed corporate tax rate. If the new corporate tax rate is indeed lower after the reform, people will form corporates and report their incomes as a corporate instead of a person.

    Besides, revenue neutral under any scenario is almost impossible considering all the welfare obligations of the federal government. On top of that, defense spending increae sought by Trump and Republicans, Trump’s beautiful wall, hurricane relief fundings and more troops to Afghanistan are hot items on Democrat’s rejection list. The fact that Republican can’t get 60 votes on Senate for any subject spells trouble for Republican’s effort before it begins.

    No tax reform legislature this year. Repeal and replace Obamacare is almost dead after seven years. If the Republican can get tax reform early next year, look for a new speaker in the house and a new majority leader in the Senate after 2018 mid term election.

    And above all a bellicose and unpredictable Trump September 8, 2017

    Posted by hslu in 美國, Global Affair, Islam, Japan, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Putin, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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    The statement below by Jens Stoltenberg, the head of NATO, is true but Stoltenberg should have added bellicose Trump to the mix too.

    But, Jens Soltenberg fogot to mention that the U.S., Russia, Israel, India, Parkistan and China, among others, have thousands of nuclear warheads pointing to each other at all times.

    That’s a real perliferation of weapons of mass destruction indeed.

    Military options against North Korea won’t work August 31, 2017

    Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, 美國, Global Affair, Military, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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    North Korea: What are the military options? – http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-41095772

    美國保守派白人的最後掙扎 August 17, 2017

    Posted by hslu in Election, Global Affair, Globlization, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Oil, Politics, Russia, Trump.
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    I can’t stop blaming you 

    By Donald Trump

    ====================================

    (I can’t stop blaming you)

    I’ve made up my mind

    To live in memory of my stupid times

      (I can’t stop pissing you)

      I have more foolish things to say

      So I’ll just tell my lies in dreams of yesterday

      (Dreams of yesterday)

      Those obama days that we once loathed
      Tho’ long ago, they still make me fume

      They say that I broke many laws 

      But laws mean nothing since I took the dump

      (I can’t stop blaming you)

      I’ve more foolish things to say

      To live in memories of my stupid times

      (I can’t stop pissing you)

      I’ve more foolish things to say

      So I’ll just tell my lies in dreams of yesterday

      ====================================

      白人將在不久的未來成為美國的少數民族。

      在未來的二十年;也就是五次總統選舉之內,美國會產生一個有西班牙裔血統的總統嗎?如果把目標放小一點,民主黨內會不會有一個西班牙血統的總統候選人嗎?

      美國在2008年產生了第一個黑人總統。希拉里競選組織無能,把白宮的寶座送上,怪不得別人。2016年,希拉里雖然比川普多贏了三百多萬張選票,但是她輕敵,無能,又把寶座雙手奉上給她的對手:川普。同時,美國傳統的白人保守派在歐巴馬和自由派八年的砍殺下,被整的死去活來。這些人看到川普以為天上掉下來的一個救世主,結果以八萬票左右的差距在傳統的民主黨基地取得了勝利,入主白宮。

      進了白宮以後呢?

      川普除了放火燒自己的屁股,就沒有做幾件對美國有好處的事。他競選的支票沒有幾張兌現的。他兒子和蘇俄外交官與律師接頭以及川普修改他們會議的原因,遲早會帶給川普一大堆麻煩。還有 Mueller 的 grand jury 更是川普的剋星。川普就像一個火爐上鍋子裏的青蛙。水溫一點一點的增加,川普想跳也跳不出去,只有在裏面等水開了被美國最厲害的律師剝皮。

      目前共和黨擁有國會上下兩院,民主黨最多也只能叫叫,發發牢騷而已。如果2018年11月期中選舉共和黨輸了任何一個議院,那川普就頭痛了。到時候,這個聽証,那個調查,把他的家人和朋友一個個的叫到議院來宣誓再詢問,那就有好戲看了。

      川普整天忙東忙西到處放火,同時還要到處滅火,到時候,一點事都做不出來。

      不過,只要川普把美國搞的一團糟,世界上那一個國家會受利呢?

      Trump vs Kim: A pictorial primer August 3, 2017

      Posted by hslu in Global Affair, Japan, Military, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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      First of all, take your pick to put the contest into context.

      1. 30 somthing vs. Grandpa.
      2. Happy face vs. sad face.
      3. 80後 vs. 歐吉桑

      ================================

      Trump to Kim: 

      We’ll take you out by force. 

      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

      Trump to Graham: 

      Tell Kim that I an dead serious about what I intend to do to Kim.

      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

      Kim to Trump: Take this and shove it.

      Self explanatory. No further explanation is needed.

      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

      Trump to China:

      It’s China’s fault because you are not doing your job and I, the president of the most powerful nation in the milky way galaxy and the leader of the world won’t allow it. Go talk to Kim and tell him to behave.

      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

      China to Trump: 

      It’s not my problem. You started it and it’s up to you to solve it. 

      Btw, China has a saying about you: 解鈴還需系鈴人. Use Google translation to figure out what we mean. You might learn something.

      Well, China declares that North Korea is not a Chinese problem. It is a U.S. problem. China also points out that it was Trump who started the conflict in the first place. Trump can solve the North Korea problem himself and China will step aside and watch with amusement.
      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Trump to Tillerson

      Damn it, Rex. It appears our show of force isn’t working. Tillerson, do something! Let’s fly you to Pyongyang to talk to Kim instead. Rex, it is up to you now. Go do your job or I’ll fire you.

      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Tillerson to Kim:

      I am going to use the good cop/bad cop routine to deal with you.
      First of all, Trump was just kidding when he said that he’ll kill Kim. Actually, he didn’t mean it. He want to be friends with Kim. He said a lot of stupid things like dreaming up phone calls from Boy Scout and president of Mexico. Don’t take Trump too seriously. He has a big mouth and lousy memory. He dreams a lot too.

      Trump has a change of heart because Trump has all the fire power at his disposal but can’t fire a single shot. It’s all because of you (Kim). You doesn’t give a damn about Trump’s empty threats and keeps firing missiles to the sky. Can’t you just take a break and stop firing misdiles for a week or two. Trump needs some quiet time and peace of mind. Leaders around the world see him as a joke. Just ask France’s pretty face. He won’t let Trump’s hand go.

      My job here is to find a ladder for Trump to climb down from without losing too much face? Can you just do that for old Rex. We can talk about having ExxomMobil do some work for you in private after dust settles. You know I have great 關係 at XOM.

       ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

      So what now, Trump? 

      What are you going to do with Carl Vinson, Ronald Reagon and 20+ warships currently carrying out drills around Korean Peninsula? Was it 60+ warships instead of 20+? Isn’t there is a third aircraft carrier coming to Korean water to form an “armada”? 

      What will happen to your “ironclad commitment” to protect South Korea and Japan since North Korea keeps sending missiles into the sky? You know that “IC” phrase is very catchy. It has that powerful ring to it when you say it so forcefully.

      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

      Trump:

      Wait for my tweets. That’s when I tell the truth. I have a country to run.

      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

      Kim

      Busy working on another ICBM test.

      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
      China

      Working on 一帶一路

      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
      Russia

      Hacking into U.S. 2018 election headquarters and dig more dirt on Hillary and Bill. They deserve to go to jail. Chinese call this: 吃幾天牢飯。

      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

      2nd Korean war July 31, 2017

      Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, 美國, Global Affair, Japan, Military, Putin, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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      Source: BBC News

      Is it a S. Korean problem?

      No doubt about it. 

      Instead of raining cats and dogs, DMZ, Seoul and a big chunk of S. Korea will see bombs of all sorts raining down from the sky before the U.S. can surgically nuetralize threats from N. Korea missile sites. There might be nuclear, bio and chemical varieties.

      S. Koreans won’t like Trump’s call for actions either because millions of S. Koreans have relatives in the north. They don’t want to see them die from American bombs. 
      Will S. Korea invade the North without U. S. participation? 

      No.

      Will S. Korean soldiers kill N. Korean soldiers and vice versa?

      No, if they have a say. They are all Koreans after all.

      So, let me get this straight:

      After Trump tweets out the order to bomb the hell out of N. Korea, it is the Koreans who will suffer the most and it is the Koreas which will endure the most damages. 

      It isn’t a good picture and it doesn’t make any sense for Mr. Moon at all.

      Is it a problem for Japan?

      Definitely. Japan had twice occupied Korea in the past, slaughtered many Koreans and ruled Korean people for centuries. For that, Koreans hate Japan and that’s why N. Korea wants nothing less than total revenge against Japan if a war breaks out between the U.S. and N. Korea. 

      Then there is the issue of Japan denying the roles of comfort women during WWII. 

      Once war breaks out, N. Korea will try to do all it can to inflict damages to Japan and its people one way or the other. 

      Is it a problen for Russia?

      Nope. There might be nuclear fall outs in Russia if nukes start to fly. Russia will contunue to supply all the weapons N. Korea wants and provide intelligence data which N. Korea needs to fight the war.

      Putin should benefit the most from the war between the U.S.A. and N. Korea.

      Is it a problem for China?

      To some degree. China may see thousands of N. Korean migrants crossing over the Yalu River if Trump decides to bomb N. Korea. Nuclear fall outs in China can’t be dismissed either. 

      But, N. Korea will not invade China and it will not send missiles to the direction of China either. It is annoying to China because of all the tweets from Trump but the war isn’t a problem for China per se.

      In the end, China will stand behind N. Korea in spirit but will not fight for the country like it did in the first Korean war. If N. Korea requests weapons, China will provide them so that Kim’s regime can defend itself.

      After the war, China will offer N. Korea interest free loans and help N. Korea re-build. China’s excess capacity gets new orders and N. Korea gets new factories, new roads and new railroads. It’s a win win situation.

      Is it a problem for the U.S.?

      Yes. 50+K American soldiers in DMZ and Camp Humphreys will be in harms way. Nukes, bio and chemical bombs could come down on them. Andrews AFB will become a busy place. Body bag makers will see a rush of new orders. Bomb makers will work overtime to re-stock the pile. U.S. economy gets a small boost. 

      American ship and carriers in the vicinity of Korea and Japan and other regions in the Pacific Ocean may face threats from N. Korean subs even though these subs are old and out dated. 

      American soil will be spared just like all world wars in the past. But, N. Korean spies will try to cause damages to American assets in the world. 

      Can America do a surgical attack on N. Korean targets just to give Kim a warning?

      No. 

      The U.S. won’t. It has to do a “shock and awe” job in the beginning to eliminate major threats from the N. Korea. 

      To do that, America has to amass a large number of fighter planes before bombing starts. If America wants to invade N. Korea either with S. Korean troops (preferred by America, of course,) or American soldiers, they need to move soldiers to the DMZ. That will give N. Korea ample chance to strike the first blow to American soldiers and South Korean urban centers. It can get pretty ugly very fast.
      Is it a problem for North Korea?

      Certainly. Millions of N. Korean soldiers and civilians will die if the 2nd Korean War drags on. Infrastructure in N. Korea will for sure be damaged.

      Will Kim die? Probably not. He’ll be hidding in the bunker which can stand direct hits from Mother of all bombs. 

      Will Kim be captured? Not likely unless America sends in foot soldiers into Pyongyang to mop up the floor clean after devastating N. Korea.

      Whose war is it anyway?

      So, is Kim more of a problem for S. Korean people or is it a problem for Trump and America?

      The answer is clearly the latter. Koreans don’t want a war. Moon want a dialog with Kim and it is Trump and American generals who are more eager to start a war between two Koreas. 

      So, why is Trump so eager to stir up the pot? Because Trump is in trouble at home with low voters approval ratings and Mueller. The real reason for Trump’s N. Korea tweets is that by kicking the N. Korea conflict up a notch it might divert media’s attention away from Russian investigation. 

      A bigger question

      Shouldn’t S. Koreans have more to say about a war between the two Koreas instead of Trump?

      Moon should make it very clear to Trump on this important point unless Trump is sending American soldiers into the North too.

      A Black Swam from the Korean peninsula?

      So, is the 2nd Korean war a “black swan” event for the world financial markets to worry about?

      Not by the action of three major indices. All three are either at or near all time highs. 

      The only logical conclusion one can make is that despite all the tweets from Trump, the 2nd Korean war won’t happen.

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