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Trump’s plan B for Iran May 25, 2018

Posted by hslu in Islam, Military, Muslim, Middle East, U.S. Foreign Policy, Trump, 美國, 川普, 石油, 特朗普, 中東.
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http://flip.it/cHuDmr

It hasn’t worked on Kim Jong En yet.

But will it work on Iran?

These are America’s demands for Iran delivered by Pompeo after Trump pulled the U.S. out of the Iran Nuclear Treaty :

The question seems to be this:

Are Americans willing to die for Israel?

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Trade war: China vs. the U.S. May 21, 2018

Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, 特朗普, 美國, Economics, Military, Trade, Trump, 川普, 中國.
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https://theconversation.com/why-china-cant-meet-trumps-200-billion-trade-demand-96888

There are ways to reduce trade deficitsif you look hard enough:

  1. America can sell these to China and reduce trade deficits very quickly: F-35s, F-22s, MQ9 Reaper Drones, Black Knights, XM2010 sniper rifles, THAAD anti-ballistic missile defense systems and Ford class aircraft carriers.
  1. Alternatively, Trump can order American people stop buying products made in China. That will change the trade deficit to a trade surplu

Actually, an trade deficit of $357 billion isn’t such a big deal, it’s only ~2% of the U.S. economy. Besides, if it won’t for the deflation China exports to the U.S., American people will be a lot poorer than they are now.

On the other hand, with daily products more expensive to buy, American people may learn to live within their means and cut up a few credit cards in their purses or wallets.

That may not be a bad thing if American people learn some financial discipline for a change.

Will Americans die for Taiwan’s independence? May 19, 2018

Posted by hslu in China, Middle East, Military, Taiwan, U.S. Foreign Policy, 台灣, 中國.
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This article asks a simple question:

Do Americans want to die for Israel?

To me, the simple answer is: “no.”

Among all the allies of the United States, Israel is in a league of its own. Israel has the support of the Fifth Column in America: the so-called neoconservatives. The jewish State serves as an example of democracy advocated by the U.S. It is allowed to buy the most advanced weaponry from the U.S. without telling the world what it has purchased. It has enjoyed generous financial and military aids from the U.S. for decades. And last but not the least, Israel is “allowed” by the U.S. to own nuclear weapons without signing the Treaty of Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.

With Trump moving American embassy to Jerusalem, tensions between Israel and surrounding Arab states will no doubt escalating.

What if a war breaks out between Iran and Israel, will America send U.S. soldiers to fight with the Israeli soldiers?

Most likely not.

By the same token, what if a war breaks out between China and Taiwan 10 years from now, will America send ground troops to Taiwan and shoot Chinese soldiers?

Definitely not.

以色列大開殺戒,中東和平遙遙無期 May 18, 2018

Posted by hslu in 特朗普, 石油, 美國, Economics, Global Affair, Islam, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Trump, U.S. dollar, U.S. Foreign Policy, 川普.
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以色列的 Netanyahu 有 Trump 撐腰,以色列用它從美國買來的精密武器把伊朗在敘利亞的軍事基地和巴勒斯坦的 Gaza 打的一塌糊塗。

Trump 不顧國內和國外大多數人的反對,把美國駐以色列的的大使館從 Tel Aviv 搬到 Jerusalem。不服氣的巴勒斯坦人能怎麽辦?沙烏地阿拉伯的小王子罵他們,美國的 Trump 嫌他們,以色列人想殺他們。

面對著頑強卻脆弱的敵人,以色列 Netanyahu 的鷹派政府採取一連串的軍事行動打擊伊朗和巴勒斯坦,企圖鎮壓 Gaza 示威的民眾和伊斯蘭教的激進份子。

這些巴勒斯坦人沒有飛機,短程飛彈不夠多,大炮小炮不夠準,除了只有眼睜睜的看著美國搬家,只有無可奈何的在電視上發表”打死美國人”的言論,在街上燒美國國旗。沒有槍,沒有炮的巴勒斯坦人只有示威遊行,丟石頭,燒輪胎,扔玻璃瓶子做的燃燒彈。當以色列從美國買來的子彈打過來的時候,他們除了死以外,只能躲,只能逃,只能哭,只能喊,只能罵。只能躲,還能做什麽?

誰叫這些巴勒斯坦人沒有一個有錢,有勢,有槍,有炮的老闆在後面頂著。你沒槍,沒炮,沒飛彈,沒飛機,沒坦克,怎麼跟以色列的 sniper 抵抗呢?

Source: BBC News

Source: BBC News

Source: BBC News

這個世界就是這麽不公平。中東亂了一千多年,信仰伊斯蘭教的 muslims 被信仰基督教的歐洲人打敗了。中東被歐美各國劃分成不同的國家,還硬把以色列插在中間。這也造成過去七十年中東動盪不安的形式。身爲 muslim 的 Obama 想盡了辦法將以色列邊緣化,跟伊朗訂了核子條約,解除了對伊朗的經濟制裁,給伊朗一點生機。沒想到 Trump 一上臺,就極力的挺以色列,交好沙烏地阿拉伯的年輕繼承人,打擊伊朗,企圖推翻敘利亞的政府。你看看美國做的好事,把中東搞得亂七八糟,一塌糊塗。

如今世界和平遙遙無期,美國在世界各地撩起經濟制裁和貿易大戰,油價上漲,通貨膨脹即將到來,美國的利息一節一節的上升,逼迫世界其他各國的利息一起上漲。美金轉強,發展中國家的貨幣飽受威脅,匯率下跌,另一個經濟蕭條就在眼前了。

2009 年美國一手造成的世界財務危機和相繼而來的 Great Recession 使得過去八,九年的利息大幅下降。許多國家在這幾年借了許多美金,如今美金上漲,這些國家慘了。

一次又一次,美國的聯邦銀行用利息的升降來控制資本主義分配不均和週期循環的缺點把世界搞得一塌糊塗。新的一個週期已經來了。

可憐的巴勒斯坦人那有時間管這個呢?他們能夠躲開以色列 sniper.的子彈就夠幸運了。

America the yoyo nation April 30, 2018

Posted by hslu in 特朗普, 美國, Democracy, Islam, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Obama, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, 川普, 民主.
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Left or right, make up your mind

Every four years, America elects a president and this guy for better or for worse determines which direction the country goes for the next four years. If he is re-elected, he has four more years to lead the country further down the same direction.

Obama, being black and one of the most liberal senators in the U.S. took America to the extreme left like no other president has ever done: gave away America’s leadership position in the world, adopted a leading from behind foreign policy, apologized for America’s past aggressions, downsized America’s military, pulled American troops from Afghanistan and Iraq, yielded to Iran, drew a red line in the sand and promptly humiliated himself, trashed Israel and Netanyahu, boosted America’s national debt, gave American’s auto companies billions of tax payers’s money, provided de facto amenesty for illegal immigrants, gave free birth control pills to women, promoted LBGT’s agendas and tried his hand on single payer health insurance policy.

Obama’s successes in accomplishing all these liberal agendas did exactly one thing for the United States: they paved the road for the rise of extreme conservatism and gave the White House to Trump.

Trump, with the support of his mostly blue-collar white followers, turned the left leaning liberal America completely upside down and dragged the country to the extreme right whether Americans liked it or not.

Trump, with less than 500 days in the office, wanted to build a wall to keep Mexicans and other illegal immigrants away, tried to stop Muslims from several countries from entering the U.S., boosted the budgets for the military, tried to repeal the Obamacare, cut taxes, bombed the hell out of Syria and a few other countries, started a trade war with many countries, wanted to get out of Iran deal, moved U.S. embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, got out of Paris agreement, discarded TPP, alienated every American allies, and threatened North Korea with a bigger nuke button.

America was a yoyo nation bouncing from extreme left to extreme right simply because a different person occupies that house in DC.

What crimes have American people committed on November 8, 2016 to deserve this kind of punishment?

And the worst of all this yoyoing in the name of democracy was that American people can’t stop this WH person from doing damages to the nation and they have no recourse for at least 2 years.

And what are looming from the dark alleys of Amerivan liberals now?

What else?

Move the yoyo nation to the extreme left of course.

Hello, people of the yoyo nation, do you feel dizzy, nausea and sick?

Do you want to puke? I have a bag for you.

The untold war between Israel and Syria April 29, 2018

Posted by hslu in 特朗普, 石油, 美國, Global Affair, Islam, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Russia, U.S. Foreign Policy, 一帶一路.
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http://flip.it/8NEEDv

Very few people in the U.S. know about the role played by Israel in the ongoing conflict between Russia and the United States in the Middle East theater.

Make no mistake: it is a proxy war between Russia and the US but fought by Assad’s Syria on one side and anti-government forces on the other.

Assad’s Syria is supported by Iran and Russia. The rebels are supported by the U.S. and Israel.

Dead on the killing field everyday are mostly Syrians but weapons and missiles come from Russia, Iran, Israel and the US.

Why is Israel so eager to join the fight and is it legal for Israel to bomb another nation?

Why do we have this war in the first place? Who started this war anyway? Is it another “nation building” project by the United States requested by one or more nations in the region? Will the new Saudi crown prince who was empowered by Trump join the conflict to exert his influence on the region?

Will the Syria war morph into a regional war and is it a prelude of an all out war in the entire Middle East?

What a mess.

Cold wars Déjà vu April 20, 2018

Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, 美國, Military, Russia, U.S. Foreign Policy, 中國.
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Look familiar?

Source: GlobalMail

Panicked Pentagon pushes through development of hypersonic missiles http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-5634997/US-Air-Force-awards-nearly-1-bn-hypersonic-missile.html via http://dailym.ai/android

This is exactly what cold war is like: arm races in every aspect of military conflicts.

It used to be the U.S. against Soviet Union. Now, we have China and Russia on one side vs. the United States on the other.

It is not only a race on the development of advance weapons but also a race on economic prowess of each nation. The end results are mounting national debts, economic ruins and/or financial disasters for the countries involved.

Think about this for a moment:

A missile in a silo is kind like a bridge to no where: they do not generate any economic benefit to a country except the initial funding to produce the missile. A missile deployed in the name of protecting a country’s national security interests causes damage to enemy’s infrastructure and makes people hate you more.

America’s hegemony is being threatened by Xi Jinping’s OBOR Initiative, China’s hidden intention to modify the existing world order and Putin’s agressive stance to make Russia a prominent player in the world again. The unintened consequence of geopolitical posturing is the second cold war in front of our eyes.

Who will come out of this war smiling? I don’t know. I will only point out one thing for you to consider:

The national debt of the United States is $21.2 trillion or about 106% of its GDP. On the other hand, China’s national debt is about $5.1 trillion or about 45% of its GDP.

Even I saw that coming April 16, 2018

Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, 特朗普, 美國, Economics, Global Affair, Military, Putin, Russia, Taiwan, Trump, 台灣, 川普, 中國.
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I wrote about the new cold war long time ago between China and the U.S.

The cold war between Russia and the U.S. has intensified after Trump was investigated by Mueller and the situation shows no sign of improving at all after America-led air strike on Syria this past weekend.

While China and the U.S. is now engaging in a give and take on the trading front, two more worrisome developments have cast a shadow on the China-U.S. relationship:

  • The prospect of elevating the status of Taiwan on the part of the U.S. to start a new run of diplomatic confrontation.

  • Trump has talked about re-joining the TPP trade pact as a strategic development to further isolate China in the Pacific and Southeast Asia region.

Both developments could push China and the U.S. into a more explosive and prolonged cold war. The situation probably won’t get any relief until Trump is either impeached or forced to resign from the office from the ongoing special counsel investigation.

A slap on Trump’s face March 24, 2018

Posted by hslu in China, Congress, 特朗普, 美國, Democracy, Economics, Global Warming, Globlization, Military, Politics, Trump, 川普.
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Question: Who dare to do this to the president of the United States of America?

Answer: Ryan and McConnell with help fron Schumer and Pelosi.

How: Forced Trump to sign the Omnibus Spending Bill passed by the Republican-controlled Congress.

What’s so special about this bill:

  • It’s 2,200-page long and no one in Congress has bothered to read it.
  • The WH had said Trump would sign it, then said he might veto it, then said he’s not happy about it and then said he would sign it.

  • Schumer got funding for a tunnel from NJ to NYC. Planned Parenthood got $500 million. JFK Center awarded $40 million. EPA budget at all time high.

  • The USA is good for six more months.
  • Defense funding up by $80 bn: a lot of borrowing for a bankrupted country: the USA.
  • It doesn’t address the fate of Dreamers.
  • It doesn’t fund Trump’s wall. The $1.6bn approved by the Congress is for repairing existing wall and building a new 33 mile long fencing or levees. No money for Trump’s concrete wall.
  • It was clearly a defeat for Trump no matter how Trump spin it. But he said that he’ll never sign another one like this again.

  • Bottom line: Beltway swamp won. Trump lost. Fisical Conservative lost.

You probably have no idea March 20, 2018

Posted by hslu in 特朗普, 美國, Military, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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Do you know how many wars that the United States of America is fighting now?

Seven, according to an official report from the White House to the U.S. Congress.

Yes, Seven wars. America is fighting seven wars

Afghanistan

Iraq

Libya

Niger

Somalia

Syria, and

Yemen.

Actually, America is also fighting several proxy wars as of now:

According to wikipedia, America is currently fighting eight proxy wars in the worl:

  • Allied Democratic Forces insurgency since 1995,
  • War in Darfur since 2003,
  • Paraguayan People’s Army insurgency since 2005,
  • Yemeni Crisis (part of Iran-Saudi Arabia proxy conflicts) since 2011,
  • Syrian Civil War since 2011,
  • Syrian Civil War spillover in Lebanon since 2011,
  • Ukrainian crisis since 2013,
  • 2nd Libyan Civil War since 2014.
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