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Is the day of reckoning just around the corner? September 11, 2018

Posted by hslu in Congress, Economics, Election, Globlization, Japan, Middle East, Oil, Russia, Stocks, Trade, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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Why America’s Sub-4% Unemployment Rate Means A Recession Is Not Far Off

http://flip.it/wP8omv

Signs of danger are abound everywhere you look. Here are ten of them:

1. 4% Unemployment rate,

Source: Forbes

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2. Inverted yield curve,

Source: Forbes

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3. High stock market capitalization to GDP ratio,

Source: Forbes

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4. Rising federal funds rate,

Source: Forbes

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5. Reduced liquidity: The Feds has changed from QE to QT and almost all central banks around the world are pulling funds from the economies,

6. Trump’s trade wars against the world. China has vowed to fight back and Japan is Trump’s next target,

7. Turmoils in just about every corners of the world many of them instigated by Trump’s foreign policy,

8. Potential of House flipping back to the Democrats and the endless inquiries and investigations against Trump and his policies,

9. Higher oil price due to increasing demands and U.S. sanction against Iran,

10. Passive investments in ETFs poses a danger to the market when herd metality prompts investors to sell their holdings in droves on the first sign of market instability.

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不怕一萬,只怕萬一 August 19, 2018

Posted by hslu in Islam, Middle East, Muslim, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, 川普.
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http://flip.it/8Un0p1

Is that a warning or is that a statement of something inevitable?

一萬次對抵不過一次錯。

美國情報局再怎麼厲害,可是美國人天真,無知,沒有警覺性。而且美國國內目標太多,敵明我暗,終究是防不勝防:DC,NYC,LAX,SFC,矽谷,電網,千百個購物中心,千百個學校,等等。

加上 Trump 一張大嘴,胡言胡語,無事生非,到處挑釁,實在是愚蠢至極,自找苦吃。等到事情發生,他想要後悔也來不及了。

財大則氣粗 August 18, 2018

Posted by hslu in Economics, Middle East, Oil.
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沙烏地阿拉伯的大財從石油來;沙烏地王子的粗氣從 Trump 來。財大則氣粗;氣粗則自以為是。

Source: Flipboard

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有了財就目空一切。有了氣則自以為了不起。Trump 如此,沙烏地阿拉伯的王子也如此。可是,沒有 Trump 撐腰,沙烏地阿拉伯的粗氣是來不了的。這就是 bully 鼓勵 bully,一丘之貉的道理。

以前,人權問題一直都是美國手中的一根沒什麽用的棒子。美國沒事就把這根棒子祭出來到處打繫他的敵人,用它來干預其他國家內政的武器。可是美國從來不敢用這根棒子打沙烏地阿拉伯,因為美國需要沙烏地阿拉伯的石油。1973 年石油危機,美國加油站大排長龍時如此;2018 年,美國油頁岩石油產量激增時也是如此。

雖然美國跟沙烏地同流合污,加拿大的年輕總理忍不住就批評沙烏地對女人的歧視。沙烏地氣粗的王子一聽就火冒三丈,倒打加拿大一耙,把沙烏地國家資金擁有的加拿大的投資一股腦,全都賣了。

沙烏地王子這個幼稚的行動無形之中給加拿大和其它的國家一個警告:你給我閉嘴,別批評我。我有的是錢,我有用不完的石油。我才不稀罕你的錢呢。

可是他有沒有想到,在政治掛帥的環境下,其它國家會來沙烏地阿拉伯投資嗎?

應該是不會的。

進一步來說,沙烏地境內的錢會留下來嗎?

大概也不會的。

What if Qarta was invaded by Saudi with Trump’s approval? August 2, 2018

Posted by hslu in 石油, 美國, Energy, Global Affair, Middle East, Muslim, Oil, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, 川普.
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http://flip.it/TiGlbm

Remember what had happened after Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait in August 1990? It led to Desert Storm, collaspe of Iraqi rm forces, Saddam’s capture by the U.S. troops and his death by hanging in the hands of a new Iraqi government.

Average oil price shoot up more than 100% 2 months after the invasion and the spiking oil price led to the recession in the early 1990’s.

If Tillerson didn’t succeed in his efforts to thaw the invasion of Qarta by Saudi’s crown prince, we’ll be seeing $100+ per barrel in Brent, collasping of XOM stock because XOM has significant investment in Qarta, recession in the U.S.and many oil importing countries, an occupied Qarta and a very happy MBS.

Will Trump sended in Marines to get rid of Saudi Arabia’s forces from Qarta because it was the right thing to do?

Probably not because the prince from the U.S. was so in the pock

How high will oil shoot up to? July 20, 2018

Posted by hslu in Middle East, Military, Muslim, Oil, 川普.
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$200 USD per barrel perhaps if a war breaks out between Iran and Israel.

And how much higher will oil company stocks be traded for if anything remotely close to an Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities happens?

Finally, what will happen to Israel if Israeli Army doesn’t clean up Iran’s nuclear facilities in the first strike?

Games Israel played to influence Trump June 16, 2018

Posted by hslu in Congress, 特朗普, 美國, Democracy, education, Global Affair, Middle East, Muslim, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, US Government, 川普.
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Source: Flipboard/The New Yorker

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http://flip.it/KktGRQ

It took me more than an hour to finish this very, verylong article by Adam Entous of the New Yorker. If you have time to read it like I did, you’ll find out how really BIG MONEY influenced America’s presidential election, how money bought influences and access at the highest level of the American government, how Trump agreed to move American embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem for Adelson’s checks and how Trump’s New Middle East order was crafted by neo-conservative Jews in the U.S. and Netanyahu, the PM of Israel.

You will know how Jews and other people like Kushner, M.B.Z., Dermer, Netanyahu, standing-on-his-wallet Adelson, Bannon, Trump, M.B.S., Emirates and Saudis, who got together before and after the 2016 presidential election to help elect Trump to be the president of the U.S. and to lay the foundations of Trump’s Middle Each policy. These people dispised the Palestinians, sold them out to please the Israelis and turn a blind eye on Netanyahu’s settlement projects in the West Bank.

They demanded Trump to dismantle the Iran nuclear deal, agreed to an alliance between Saudi Arabia and Israel, blockaded and isolated Quata and countered the advancement of Iran and Russia in the Middle East.

Have you been faithfully voting in the American presidential elections believing your precious vote can make a difference in American government?

Have you been sending your $25 to your preferred candidates believing he or she will change the political landscape according to your preference?

After all these years, have you had the sinking feeling that you have been had by the democracy and the deep-rooted political system in the America?

Do you know why?

Because the Supreme Court of the United States allows American corporations and labor unions to contribute as much money as they want to any candidate they choose.

Do you think that Trump pays more attention to you or to what the billionaire Adelson have to say? Do you think your $25 check can force Trump to move America’s Israeli Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem?

This is America’s democracy. This is the swamp Trump said he’ll drain once elected to the president of the United States.

Now, you know the rest of the story.

Trump’s plan B for Iran May 25, 2018

Posted by hslu in 特朗普, 石油, 美國, Islam, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, 川普, 中東.
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http://flip.it/cHuDmr

It hasn’t worked on Kim Jong En yet.

But will it work on Iran?

These are America’s demands for Iran delivered by Pompeo after Trump pulled the U.S. out of the Iran Nuclear Treaty :

The question seems to be this:

Are Americans willing to die for Israel?

WOW! May 25, 2018

Posted by hslu in Islam, Middle East, Muslim, 中東.
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Is Saudi Arabia’s 32-Year-Old Crown Prince Dead?

http://flip.it/nG2su3

As of today, Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman has not been seen in public for 44 long days.

It’s a bit unusual for him.

He does have many enemies.

Will Americans die for Taiwan’s independence? May 19, 2018

Posted by hslu in China, Middle East, Military, Taiwan, U.S. Foreign Policy, 台灣, 中國.
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This article asks a simple question:

Do Americans want to die for Israel?

To me, the simple answer is: “no.”

Among all the allies of the United States, Israel is in a league of its own. Israel has the support of the Fifth Column in America: the so-called neoconservatives. The jewish State serves as an example of democracy advocated by the U.S. It is allowed to buy the most advanced weaponry from the U.S. without telling the world what it has purchased. It has enjoyed generous financial and military aids from the U.S. for decades. And last but not the least, Israel is “allowed” by the U.S. to own nuclear weapons without signing the Treaty of Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.

With Trump moving American embassy to Jerusalem, tensions between Israel and surrounding Arab states will no doubt escalating.

What if a war breaks out between Iran and Israel, will America send U.S. soldiers to fight with the Israeli soldiers?

Most likely not.

By the same token, what if a war breaks out between China and Taiwan 10 years from now, will America send ground troops to Taiwan and shoot Chinese soldiers?

Definitely not.

以色列大開殺戒,中東和平遙遙無期 May 18, 2018

Posted by hslu in 特朗普, 石油, 美國, Economics, Global Affair, Islam, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Trump, U.S. dollar, U.S. Foreign Policy, 川普.
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以色列的 Netanyahu 有 Trump 撐腰,以色列用它從美國買來的精密武器把伊朗在敘利亞的軍事基地和巴勒斯坦的 Gaza 打的一塌糊塗。

Trump 不顧國內和國外大多數人的反對,把美國駐以色列的的大使館從 Tel Aviv 搬到 Jerusalem。不服氣的巴勒斯坦人能怎麽辦?沙烏地阿拉伯的小王子罵他們,美國的 Trump 嫌他們,以色列人想殺他們。

面對著頑強卻脆弱的敵人,以色列 Netanyahu 的鷹派政府採取一連串的軍事行動打擊伊朗和巴勒斯坦,企圖鎮壓 Gaza 示威的民眾和伊斯蘭教的激進份子。

這些巴勒斯坦人沒有飛機,短程飛彈不夠多,大炮小炮不夠準,除了只有眼睜睜的看著美國搬家,只有無可奈何的在電視上發表”打死美國人”的言論,在街上燒美國國旗。沒有槍,沒有炮的巴勒斯坦人只有示威遊行,丟石頭,燒輪胎,扔玻璃瓶子做的燃燒彈。當以色列從美國買來的子彈打過來的時候,他們除了死以外,只能躲,只能逃,只能哭,只能喊,只能罵。只能躲,還能做什麽?

誰叫這些巴勒斯坦人沒有一個有錢,有勢,有槍,有炮的老闆在後面頂著。你沒槍,沒炮,沒飛彈,沒飛機,沒坦克,怎麼跟以色列的 sniper 抵抗呢?

Source: BBC News

Source: BBC News

Source: BBC News

這個世界就是這麽不公平。中東亂了一千多年,信仰伊斯蘭教的 muslims 被信仰基督教的歐洲人打敗了。中東被歐美各國劃分成不同的國家,還硬把以色列插在中間。這也造成過去七十年中東動盪不安的形式。身爲 muslim 的 Obama 想盡了辦法將以色列邊緣化,跟伊朗訂了核子條約,解除了對伊朗的經濟制裁,給伊朗一點生機。沒想到 Trump 一上臺,就極力的挺以色列,交好沙烏地阿拉伯的年輕繼承人,打擊伊朗,企圖推翻敘利亞的政府。你看看美國做的好事,把中東搞得亂七八糟,一塌糊塗。

如今世界和平遙遙無期,美國在世界各地撩起經濟制裁和貿易大戰,油價上漲,通貨膨脹即將到來,美國的利息一節一節的上升,逼迫世界其他各國的利息一起上漲。美金轉強,發展中國家的貨幣飽受威脅,匯率下跌,另一個經濟蕭條就在眼前了。

2009 年美國一手造成的世界財務危機和相繼而來的 Great Recession 使得過去八,九年的利息大幅下降。許多國家在這幾年借了許多美金,如今美金上漲,這些國家慘了。

一次又一次,美國的聯邦銀行用利息的升降來控制資本主義分配不均和週期循環的缺點把世界搞得一塌糊塗。新的一個週期已經來了。

可憐的巴勒斯坦人那有時間管這個呢?他們能夠躲開以色列 sniper.的子彈就夠幸運了。

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