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美國的民主政治 vs 中國的集權統治 October 18, 2017

Posted by hslu in China, 美國, Democracy, Election, Global Affair, Globlization, Health Insurance, Islam, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Obama, Obamacare, Putin, Racial Bias, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, 川普, 民主.
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大學好友寄來一篇有關美國民主政治和大陸集權統治的文章。看完後,想到臺灣最近坎坷的民主政治和困苦的經濟環境,忍不住感慨萬分。

中國數千年,朝代變遷,不論什麼政治體系,甚至包括一人獨裁的專制體系,那一個不是順民者昌,逆民者亡的?我時常說,能夠爲人民着想的政府,爲人民創造幸福的未來,讓人民安居樂業,社會安定的政府就是一個好的政府。

這篇文章是復旦大學中國研究研究員宋魯鄭在中國十九大開會前夕寫的。文章刊登在BBC News 中文網站上。值得一看。

Source: BBC News 中文版

http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/chinese-news-41645713

Source: BBC News 中文版

 

 

爲了給其他同學提供一些背景資料,我把美國近20年的政治變化簡短的摘要下來給他們參考。以下是我寫的摘要:

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謝謝高教授轉來的文章。

作者對“民主政治”的優,缺點分析的十分中肯,對一意孤行的川普和逐漸被世界排斥的美國也有明確的說明。在此,我斗膽把美國二十年來在外交和內政的變化簡短的跟大家報告一下,希望對你看這一篇文章有點幫助。

 

Clinton開始,美國就跟全世界說,伊拉克的 Saddam Hussein 擁有WMD。Bush Jr. 上臺8個月後發生911事件。美國以國家安全爲理由在2011年10月入侵阿富汗,在2013年3月入侵伊拉克。(Saddam Hussein 在 2000年10月堅持以歐元,不用美元,交換伊拉克的石油可能是美國攻打伊拉克的原因之一。)Bush Jr.爲了保護美國人民和本土,把美國的外交政策推向極右派好戰的陣營。2007年3月,美國次貸危機和 2008年9月的金融危機把全世界推向經濟蕭條的深淵。美國經濟衰退,欠債累累,失業率激增。這些事在2008年11月把Obama 推上了美國總統的寶座。

 

Obama 在他執政的八年中把美國的外交和內政推向極左派的自由主義陣營裏。對外,放棄美國霸權拒絕做全球警察,從伊拉克撤軍使得ISIS崛起,對阿富汗增兵然後撤軍,打擊以色列,討好阿拉伯回教國家,對中國採取“亞太再平衡”的圍堵政策,對蘇俄兼併克里米亞採取經濟制裁卻反而把蘇俄推向中國的懷抱。對敘利亞畫下紅線卻不採取行動,攻打ISIS不盡全力反而讓蘇俄在敘利亞建立軍事基地,簽訂伊朗核武協議,對北韓核武發展束手無策,進行TPP,TPA和TTIP談判,簽巴黎氣候協議增加美國公司負擔,影響美國勞工就業市場。最後在民主黨即將失去多數黨地位前與古巴建交。對內,他上臺後不立即更有效的用財政措施來拯救美國經濟,反而用他所有的政治資本來推動醫保全民化,簽訂 Dodd-Frank法案約束金融機構,約束石油公司,徹底打擊國內煤炭產業,濫用總統的行政權力變相的大赦非法移民,給婦女免費避孕藥,提倡社區大學兩年免費就讀,提倡同性戀婚姻合法化,支持變性人的合法地位,在軍中廢除“不問不說”政策和減弱美國人擁有槍支的權力。還有,Obama這個黑人總統和他對種族問題的迴避直接和間接的挑起了美國白人警察和黑人的武力衝突,也增加了白人對黑人的歧視和打擊黑人的決心。除此之外,金融危機帶動的量化寬鬆政策導致全世界貧富極端的不均。全球化和中國的崛起也增加美國民衆,尤其是美國南方保守派白人,對美國政府,美國前途和美國自由化現況的不滿。Obama執政八年已經無可否認的把美國變成了一個社會主義的國家了。

 

這些外在的因素和希拉蕊競選的失敗把川普推入了白宮。美國民主政治,四年河東,四年河西,動盪不安。我們現在看到的亂象都是歷史了。

 

謝謝。

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名嘴和美國政治 October 15, 2017

Posted by hslu in Congress, 美國, Democracy, Election, Globlization, Islam, Liberal Media, Middle East, Muslim, Politics, Racial Bias, Russia, Taxes, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, US Government, 川普.
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臺灣的政治,社會的輿論,人民的想法和朝代(中央和地方)的變遷被電視上的名嘴操縱,掌控。這些人爲他們的政治理念在電視臺的節目中大放厥詞,打擊政府,攻擊個人,企圖左右地方和中央選舉的結果。無知的百姓很容易被這些人影響,而政府的政策就被這些人綁架了。

美國一樣也有名嘴:無線電臺保守派政治論壇節目主持人(在過去,自由派的政治論壇節目幾乎沒辦法生存),電視臺新聞節目主持人,週末和夜晚新聞節目的主持人和網路上保守派,激進派和自由派的護衛者。

Steve Bannon (班農) 就是一個典型的例子。

他說話頭頭是道,口無遮攔,極會罵人。他對美國在世界上的霸權有無比堅定的信念。他堅絕反對貿易全球化,反伊朗,反蘇俄,反北韓,反中國,反歐盟,反美國的盟友用美國錢。他主張在邊界築圍牆把中南美洲的違法移民擋在牆外。他反對有些穆斯林國家的阿拉伯人來美國,厭惡共和黨中反對川普的參議員和眾議員,反對現有的共和黨體系,也強烈的反民主黨的政治立場。

他在川普的小圈圈裏位高權重,深得川普長久的信任。可是在川普進白宮以後,他跟川普的女兒,女婿和其他顧問,部長不和,最後不得以被川普解僱。可是他在無官一身輕的情況之下,威脅共和黨參,眾議員,打擊在明年美期中要競選連任的議員。

其實,他威脅現任參議院首領 McMconnell,和即將退休的參議員 Corker 的真正目的,是恐嚇其他共和黨參議員,要他們三緘其口,不可以公開批評或反對川普,要這些人爲共和黨和川普推行的稅改政策投下贊成的一票。

現在,共和黨的52個參議員中只有三,四個參議員敢對川普和共和黨的稅改提案有任何異議。他們也極有可能會投反對票。除了 Corker 和生癌症的 McCain  以外,川普還需要擔心緬因州的 Collins 和阿拉斯加的 Murkowski 參議員很可能會反對共和黨和稅改政策。

川普知道這個道理。班農當然也知道這個道理。所以,班農的責任就是儘量打擊 McConnell 和 Corker,殺一儆百,告訴其他的共和黨參議員,你們最好乖乖的通過共和黨提出來的稅改政策,不然下一個目標就是反對稅改政策的共和黨參議員了。

共和黨在美國的眾議院有壓倒的多數,許多眾議員也不敢公開反對川普,因為川普的鐵票可能高達 30%,甚至 35% 的選民。如果眾議員公開反對川普,那他們競選得連任的機會就不大了。

這是美國民主政治黑暗的一面。許多中國人,尤其是年輕的中國人,包括臺灣的年輕人在內,以為美國的民主政治是世界上至高無上,最純潔,最公平的治國標準。沒人一票多麼神聖阿! 他們那裏知道美國的民主政治實際上早就被有錢人和有特殊要求的團體綁架了。

And above all a bellicose and unpredictable Trump September 8, 2017

Posted by hslu in 美國, Global Affair, Islam, Japan, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Putin, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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The statement below by Jens Stoltenberg, the head of NATO, is true but Stoltenberg should have added bellicose Trump to the mix too.

But, Jens Soltenberg fogot to mention that the U.S., Russia, Israel, India, Parkistan and China, among others, have thousands of nuclear warheads pointing to each other at all times.

That’s a real perliferation of weapons of mass destruction indeed.

Tilletson to get fired soon? August 31, 2017

Posted by hslu in 美國, Global Affair, Middle East, Oil, Politics, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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The primary reason Tillerson was selected by Trump to be the Secretary of State is Tillerson’s personal tie with Putin. His dealing with oil producing countries in the Middle East is certainly a big plus too.

However, with potential Trump/Putin collusion investigated by multiple parties in the U.S., Tillerson’s usefulness to Trump diminishes by the day.

Tillerson has now openly distanced himself from Trump on Charlottesville tradegy. Is Tillerson looking for a way out? Is Tillerson a few tweets away from being fired by Trump soon?

I think it will be wise for Tillerson to step away from the Trump administration because Trump is a boss who knows very little about how government works and how foreign policy should be conducted. 

Trump wants to cut the State Department by 25% and it is up to its new boss, Tillerson, to do the chopping. It puts Tillerson in such an impossible position to conduct his business. Tillerson should have told Trump that this level of cutting can’t be done in one fell swoop. 

It is Trump who doesn’t get it. It’s not Tillerson.

美國保守派白人的最後掙扎 August 17, 2017

Posted by hslu in Election, Global Affair, Globlization, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Oil, Politics, Russia, Trump.
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I can’t stop blaming you 

By Donald Trump

====================================

(I can’t stop blaming you)

I’ve made up my mind

To live in memory of my stupid times

    (I can’t stop pissing you)

    I have more foolish things to say

    So I’ll just tell my lies in dreams of yesterday

    (Dreams of yesterday)

    Those obama days that we once loathed
    Tho’ long ago, they still make me fume

    They say that I broke many laws 

    But laws mean nothing since I took the dump

    (I can’t stop blaming you)

    I’ve more foolish things to say

    To live in memories of my stupid times

    (I can’t stop pissing you)

    I’ve more foolish things to say

    So I’ll just tell my lies in dreams of yesterday

    ====================================

    白人將在不久的未來成為美國的少數民族。

    在未來的二十年;也就是五次總統選舉之內,美國會產生一個有西班牙裔血統的總統嗎?如果把目標放小一點,民主黨內會不會有一個西班牙血統的總統候選人嗎?

    美國在2008年產生了第一個黑人總統。希拉里競選組織無能,把白宮的寶座送上,怪不得別人。2016年,希拉里雖然比川普多贏了三百多萬張選票,但是她輕敵,無能,又把寶座雙手奉上給她的對手:川普。同時,美國傳統的白人保守派在歐巴馬和自由派八年的砍殺下,被整的死去活來。這些人看到川普以為天上掉下來的一個救世主,結果以八萬票左右的差距在傳統的民主黨基地取得了勝利,入主白宮。

    進了白宮以後呢?

    川普除了放火燒自己的屁股,就沒有做幾件對美國有好處的事。他競選的支票沒有幾張兌現的。他兒子和蘇俄外交官與律師接頭以及川普修改他們會議的原因,遲早會帶給川普一大堆麻煩。還有 Mueller 的 grand jury 更是川普的剋星。川普就像一個火爐上鍋子裏的青蛙。水溫一點一點的增加,川普想跳也跳不出去,只有在裏面等水開了被美國最厲害的律師剝皮。

    目前共和黨擁有國會上下兩院,民主黨最多也只能叫叫,發發牢騷而已。如果2018年11月期中選舉共和黨輸了任何一個議院,那川普就頭痛了。到時候,這個聽証,那個調查,把他的家人和朋友一個個的叫到議院來宣誓再詢問,那就有好戲看了。

    川普整天忙東忙西到處放火,同時還要到處滅火,到時候,一點事都做不出來。

    不過,只要川普把美國搞的一團糟,世界上那一個國家會受利呢?

    “Managing Iran” meant regime change in 1953 July 29, 2017

    Posted by hslu in China, Global Affair, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Politics, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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    How the CIA toppled Iranian democracy

    http://flip.it/HHR_P8

    Source: Businesd Insider

    Here is an example of America messing around a foreign country’s government with disastrous outcome. 

    Source: Business Insider

    Source: Business Insider

    Source: Encyclopædia Britannica

    Unfortunately, the U.S. is still paying a hefty price for that transgression more than half a century later.

    America’s unlawful conducts are still going on in other parts of the world probably in the name of national security. 

    I guess the international bully just never learned.

    BBC News: The end of the Anglo-American order? July 6, 2017

    Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, Economics, Energy, Global Affair, Globlization, Middle East, Oil, Shanghai, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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    I saw this on the BBC and thought you should see it:

    The end of the Anglo-American order? – http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-40227270

    With China being the largest crude oil importer in the world, with Renminbi being accepted by central banks as a reserve currency and with Saudi Arabia and some OPEC countries don’t like what America is doing in the Middle East, is it likely that we will soon see crude oil being traded at Renminbi instead of the U.S. dollar? 

    Of course I am not talking about all oil trades will be settled on Renminbi but what about bi-lateral oil trades between Saudi and China and Nigeria and China. You know which side Rusdia stands on this. 

    The Renminbi bilateral swap lines between China and 33 (wiki data) other countries will be replaced with a new trading platform next year. In the past, these swaps were cleared by SWIFT which is under America’s influence. The new platform will be under China’s control and will be located in Shanghai away from SWIFT.

    The world order is fast changing in front of our eyes if you care to look.

    A new world order is emerging June 11, 2017

    Posted by hslu in 美國, Global Affair, Globlization, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Obama, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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    A matter of fact discussion of shifting of the balance of power in the world is clearly stated in the following article. 

    The end of the Anglo-American order? – http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-40227270

    American exceptionism is fading because Trump has been building a wall to isolate the U.S. from its former allies while digging a hole to bury the America alive. Of course, we can not forget Obama’s ‘appeasing’ foreign policy and the wars the U.S. have been and still are wagging against Muslim countries.

    The American century will not be seen again and a new world order has already taken shape without Trump and the U.S.. 

    Some highlights from the article are here:

    America the hyprocrite June 5, 2017

    Posted by hslu in 美國, Global Affair, Islam, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Obama, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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    It’s about time that America stops being a hypricote and a snob of the world.

    The reason is simple: America hasn’t followed the ‘America value’ when dealing with its own citizens and other nations in the world.

    Let’s face it, America for years has violated human rights at home and at many areas in the world. It has never earned the respect from other nations for being the holder of the standard of justice. But America continues to claim moral highground and self-rightousness while criticize other nations, almost 200 nations in 2013, for human rights violations without uttering a word of its own transgressions.

    Over the years America was pround of itself for having laws and hiring quotas to prevent social injustice against minorities. But what actaully happens in everyday life in the United States tells a vastly different story. Racial discriminations and mis-treatments against blacks, Latinos, Muslims and Asians at work and in public in the U.S. are everyday occurances. Police brutalities against blacks are sometimes deliberate, always troublesome and widely seen on TV by millions of people around the world. 

    Source: BBC News

    Source: BBC News

    When appearing in front of a mic or a video camera, many white American politicians (and talk show hosts and entertainers) are die hard human right defenders. In private, they often show their true colors as racists and look down on other races. 
    Remembered what B. Clinton said to T. Kennedy and what H. Reid said in private about Obama? If you don’t or choose to ignor them, let me remind you for the sake of human rights in America. Their comments sadly illustrate ‘white supremacy’ mentality ingrained in the American culture. 

    First, this shows what B. Clinton said about Obama to T. Kennedy:

    Source: the Gateway Pundit

    This shows what H. Reid thought of Obama:

    To further illustrate this point, one can clearly see ‘white supremacy’ in the following picture which shows the confirmed members of Trump’s cabinets: 13 white males (72%), 4 women (22%) and one black (6%.)

    Source: Alternet.

    Other actions by the U.S. government against its own citizens and other people of the world include massive cyber survaliance on emails and cellphones of common U.S. citizens and many if not all world leaders and the use of torture at Abu Ghraib.

    Trump’s executive order on travel bans to the U.S. from several muslim countries and building a physical wall along the U.S. and Mexico border were blatant violations of human rights against muslims and Latinos. The real sad truth about Trump’s action was that the same sentiments are shared by millions of Americans who helped elect Trump to become the 45th preident of the U.S. in the first place.

    And what has America done to secure its national interests in the world in the past? With its massive military machines, of course. The purpose of U.S. military in any conflict is to secure dominance in air, sea, land and space. To support this objective, America has deployed in more than 150 countries and has at least 662 overseas bases in 38 foreign countries plus many others in Iraq and Afghanistan.  

    While banishing other countries for their poor human right records, oppressed actions against their own citizens by autocratic monarchy governments in the Middle East were conviniently and unabashedly brushed aside by the U.S. government because many of these Islamic countries are strategic partners of the U.S. in the Middle East. America often criticizes its enemies for their poor records on human right violations but dismisses equally bad actions by their friends.

    Many military actions and missile and drone attacks taken by the U.S. military against other nations aren’t viewed as legitimate or morally defensible because they were carried out for American’s self interests. Most noticeable were America’s covert, but sometimes public, frequent, forceful and always deadly interventions in the Middle East over the past decades. Civilian deaths caused by American military machines have been ignored by the U.S. government because they were viewed as colleteral damages of American’s war on terror. In fact, US military forces have been responsible for thousands, possibly millions, of civilian deaths in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, Pakistan, Yemen and other regions around the world in the past decade. One might want to ask: ‘Has any of these countries invaded or attacked the United States?’

    Over the past six or seven decades, America has done enough bad things around the world. Finally, it knew that the status quo can not continue. Obama’s leading from behind and Mr. Tillerson’s comments are proofs that America has finally realized that America’s glamour of self-righteousness is fast contracting. Its aggressive military and political interventions against many under-developed nations have created enough enemies for the most powerful nation in the world. For that, America is now paying for the consequences. 

    America’s march to the bottom continues.

    Anti-Trump sentiments, THAAD and Moon May 12, 2017

    Posted by hslu in 美國, Economics, Global Affair, Middle East, Muslim, Obama, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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    Trump believes that being the president of the most powerful nation in the world entitles him to demand other nations to do whatever he wants. 

    It doesn’t work that way.

    Trump wanted South Korea to pay $1 billion for the deployment of THAAD which angered South Koreans because THAAD wasn’t really designed to protect South Korea against missiles from the North. America forces THAAD on SK because it needs to monitor China and Russia as America “pivoting to the East.” In the end, the State Department quietly announced that America tax payers will pay for the deploytment. Trump ate his own words again.

    In fact, 56.5% of South Koreans, according to a recent poll, want the deployment of THAAD suspended and leave the decision to the new government. 

    But, after SK and the U.S. agreed in July 2016 to deploy one THAAD battery in SK, U.S. sent two mobile launchers to a U.S. military base in SK in March 2017 because America wanted to speed up the installation before a new government comes into power in May 2017. 

    However, THAAD deployment has been under fire from the get-go because it was made without parliamentary approval and discussions by the public. The heavy-handed approach by the U.S. government against the will of majority of the South Korean people angered the opposition party which swept Moon Jae-in (文在寅) to the office. Of course, Park’s indictment decimated her party which also helped Moon won the election.

    Trump’s bullying personality and his unorthodox foreign policy maneuvers destablized the balance of power in many countries and upset other nations’ politics because Trump’s ascent to power emboldened the populist movements worldwide.
    This isn’t good for the U.S. because the strategic alliances cultivated by the U.S. over the past five decades are in danger of breaking apart. Many new governments, e.g., Phillippine and South Korea, may adapt anti-U.S. foreign policies and several pro-America royal family rulers in the Middle East might face renewed oppositions at home. 

    None of that is good for the United States. America is threading dangerous water now. It will get worse and the end isn’t near at all.

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