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Mr. Tillerson, you can’t quit now. October 4, 2017

Posted by hslu in Cold War, 美國, Global Affair, Japan, Military, Russia, Trump.
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Mr. Tillerson was ExxonMobil’s CEO before taking the job of Secretary of State for Trump.

For the past eight and half months, Mr. Tillerson tried very, very hard, like Trump would say, to do his job but was roundly undercut by his boss every step of the way from the very beginning. 

Most recently, Mr. Tillerson opened a direct communication channel with North Korea so that the situation on Korean Peninsula can be resolved diplomatically.

But Trump asked Tillerson to stop talking to North Korea and said that he’ll take care of the ‘little rocket man.’ 

He then fired out another tweet which went like this:

So, what did Trump mean with his second tweet? 

It was obvious to me that Trump meant taking out Kim Jong En by force.

It means war against North Korea.

With Trump’s second tweet, it seems, that there are several possible outcomes: 

1. Trump orders, with Pentagon’s support and agreements from Tillerson and security advisors, a pre-emptive attack by American forces to disable Kim Jong En’s killing machine and prevent any loss of lives of south  Korean anf Japanese people. 

2. Kim Jong En surrenders under the threat of Trump’s tweets and gives up his nuclear ambition. 

3. A nuclear war started by Kim Jong En and retaliated by Trump.

4. Trump backs down like many of his previous Twitter threats and loses his and American’s credibility again.

The first option won’t work and Trump knows it. Trump can’t neutralize North Korean’s military apparatus fast enough before millions of South Koreans, Americans and Japanese people die from Kim Jong En’s attacks. South Korean military isn’t likely to agree with this option. Japan will have doubts too because it won’t succeed.

The second option won’t happen because Kim Jong En can’t stop developing his nuclear weapons. Without the threat of nuclear weapons, Kim Jong En, like Saddam Hussein and Muammar Gaddafi before him, will die in the hands of America. Millions of North Korean people will die and America will control the entire Korean Peninsula. South Korea will be a puppet of the USA. China can’t let this happen and will step in with the troops it has at the border. Russia can stand idle either. 

If Pentagon, Tillerson and Congress agree with Trump, option 3 will be the most likely outcome. But I don’t believe Kim Jong En will start the fight first.

If Tillerson and Pentagon doesn’t agree with Trump, Trump has no option but eats his own tweets like he has already done so many times before. This is the 4th option. Congress won’t allow it to happen either. 

Do you see another option? 

There isn’t one.

So, please, Mr. Tillerson, for the sake of the humanity, hangs in there and, if necessary, beats some senses out of that dotard with a 2 by 4 if necessary. We need a few adults.in the WH because Trump is out of his mind.

Since we are talking about nuclear weapons here, did America voice any objection when India and Pakistan were developing their nuclear weapon technologies? Did America say anything about Israel’s nuclear missiles? 

North Korea will eventually have nuclear weapons and Iran will eventually have nuclear weapons. Why? For their own national interests.

And which country was the first and only one which had used a nuclear weapon on another country?

And which country has thousands of nuclear armed missiles ready to be used on its enemies for the sake of its national interests?

And which country has invaded and bombed other countries in the name of its national security?

Mr. Tillerson, I know Trump is waiting for 
you to quit so that he doesn’t have to fire you. I know Nikki Haley wants you to step down because Trump likes her and will make her your replacement. Haley is just a mouth piece for Trump. Nothing more. Nothing less. She wants your job so she talks tough to get Trump’s notice.

    So, Mr. Tillerson, you see, you can’t resign. The world peace is in your hands.

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    And above all a bellicose and unpredictable Trump September 8, 2017

    Posted by hslu in 美國, Global Affair, Islam, Japan, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Putin, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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    The statement below by Jens Stoltenberg, the head of NATO, is true but Stoltenberg should have added bellicose Trump to the mix too.

    But, Jens Soltenberg fogot to mention that the U.S., Russia, Israel, India, Parkistan and China, among others, have thousands of nuclear warheads pointing to each other at all times.

    That’s a real perliferation of weapons of mass destruction indeed.

    Trump vs Kim: A pictorial primer August 3, 2017

    Posted by hslu in Global Affair, Japan, Military, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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    First of all, take your pick to put the contest into context.

    1. 30 somthing vs. Grandpa.
    2. Happy face vs. sad face.
    3. 80後 vs. 歐吉桑

    ================================

    Trump to Kim: 

    We’ll take you out by force. 

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Trump to Graham: 

    Tell Kim that I an dead serious about what I intend to do to Kim.

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Kim to Trump: Take this and shove it.

    Self explanatory. No further explanation is needed.

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Trump to China:

    It’s China’s fault because you are not doing your job and I, the president of the most powerful nation in the milky way galaxy and the leader of the world won’t allow it. Go talk to Kim and tell him to behave.

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    China to Trump: 

    It’s not my problem. You started it and it’s up to you to solve it. 

    Btw, China has a saying about you: 解鈴還需系鈴人. Use Google translation to figure out what we mean. You might learn something.

    Well, China declares that North Korea is not a Chinese problem. It is a U.S. problem. China also points out that it was Trump who started the conflict in the first place. Trump can solve the North Korea problem himself and China will step aside and watch with amusement.
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Trump to Tillerson

    Damn it, Rex. It appears our show of force isn’t working. Tillerson, do something! Let’s fly you to Pyongyang to talk to Kim instead. Rex, it is up to you now. Go do your job or I’ll fire you.

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Tillerson to Kim:

    I am going to use the good cop/bad cop routine to deal with you.
    First of all, Trump was just kidding when he said that he’ll kill Kim. Actually, he didn’t mean it. He want to be friends with Kim. He said a lot of stupid things like dreaming up phone calls from Boy Scout and president of Mexico. Don’t take Trump too seriously. He has a big mouth and lousy memory. He dreams a lot too.

    Trump has a change of heart because Trump has all the fire power at his disposal but can’t fire a single shot. It’s all because of you (Kim). You doesn’t give a damn about Trump’s empty threats and keeps firing missiles to the sky. Can’t you just take a break and stop firing misdiles for a week or two. Trump needs some quiet time and peace of mind. Leaders around the world see him as a joke. Just ask France’s pretty face. He won’t let Trump’s hand go.

    My job here is to find a ladder for Trump to climb down from without losing too much face? Can you just do that for old Rex. We can talk about having ExxomMobil do some work for you in private after dust settles. You know I have great 關係 at XOM.

     ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    So what now, Trump? 

    What are you going to do with Carl Vinson, Ronald Reagon and 20+ warships currently carrying out drills around Korean Peninsula? Was it 60+ warships instead of 20+? Isn’t there is a third aircraft carrier coming to Korean water to form an “armada”? 

    What will happen to your “ironclad commitment” to protect South Korea and Japan since North Korea keeps sending missiles into the sky? You know that “IC” phrase is very catchy. It has that powerful ring to it when you say it so forcefully.

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Trump:

    Wait for my tweets. That’s when I tell the truth. I have a country to run.

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Kim

    Busy working on another ICBM test.

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    China

    Working on 一帶一路

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    Russia

    Hacking into U.S. 2018 election headquarters and dig more dirt on Hillary and Bill. They deserve to go to jail. Chinese call this: 吃幾天牢飯。

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    2nd Korean war July 31, 2017

    Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, 美國, Global Affair, Japan, Military, Putin, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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    Source: BBC News

    Is it a S. Korean problem?

    No doubt about it. 

    Instead of raining cats and dogs, DMZ, Seoul and a big chunk of S. Korea will see bombs of all sorts raining down from the sky before the U.S. can surgically nuetralize threats from N. Korea missile sites. There might be nuclear, bio and chemical varieties.

    S. Koreans won’t like Trump’s call for actions either because millions of S. Koreans have relatives in the north. They don’t want to see them die from American bombs. 
    Will S. Korea invade the North without U. S. participation? 

    No.

    Will S. Korean soldiers kill N. Korean soldiers and vice versa?

    No, if they have a say. They are all Koreans after all.

    So, let me get this straight:

    After Trump tweets out the order to bomb the hell out of N. Korea, it is the Koreans who will suffer the most and it is the Koreas which will endure the most damages. 

    It isn’t a good picture and it doesn’t make any sense for Mr. Moon at all.

    Is it a problem for Japan?

    Definitely. Japan had twice occupied Korea in the past, slaughtered many Koreans and ruled Korean people for centuries. For that, Koreans hate Japan and that’s why N. Korea wants nothing less than total revenge against Japan if a war breaks out between the U.S. and N. Korea. 

    Then there is the issue of Japan denying the roles of comfort women during WWII. 

    Once war breaks out, N. Korea will try to do all it can to inflict damages to Japan and its people one way or the other. 

    Is it a problen for Russia?

    Nope. There might be nuclear fall outs in Russia if nukes start to fly. Russia will contunue to supply all the weapons N. Korea wants and provide intelligence data which N. Korea needs to fight the war.

    Putin should benefit the most from the war between the U.S.A. and N. Korea.

    Is it a problem for China?

    To some degree. China may see thousands of N. Korean migrants crossing over the Yalu River if Trump decides to bomb N. Korea. Nuclear fall outs in China can’t be dismissed either. 

    But, N. Korea will not invade China and it will not send missiles to the direction of China either. It is annoying to China because of all the tweets from Trump but the war isn’t a problem for China per se.

    In the end, China will stand behind N. Korea in spirit but will not fight for the country like it did in the first Korean war. If N. Korea requests weapons, China will provide them so that Kim’s regime can defend itself.

    After the war, China will offer N. Korea interest free loans and help N. Korea re-build. China’s excess capacity gets new orders and N. Korea gets new factories, new roads and new railroads. It’s a win win situation.

    Is it a problem for the U.S.?

    Yes. 50+K American soldiers in DMZ and Camp Humphreys will be in harms way. Nukes, bio and chemical bombs could come down on them. Andrews AFB will become a busy place. Body bag makers will see a rush of new orders. Bomb makers will work overtime to re-stock the pile. U.S. economy gets a small boost. 

    American ship and carriers in the vicinity of Korea and Japan and other regions in the Pacific Ocean may face threats from N. Korean subs even though these subs are old and out dated. 

    American soil will be spared just like all world wars in the past. But, N. Korean spies will try to cause damages to American assets in the world. 

    Can America do a surgical attack on N. Korean targets just to give Kim a warning?

    No. 

    The U.S. won’t. It has to do a “shock and awe” job in the beginning to eliminate major threats from the N. Korea. 

    To do that, America has to amass a large number of fighter planes before bombing starts. If America wants to invade N. Korea either with S. Korean troops (preferred by America, of course,) or American soldiers, they need to move soldiers to the DMZ. That will give N. Korea ample chance to strike the first blow to American soldiers and South Korean urban centers. It can get pretty ugly very fast.
    Is it a problem for North Korea?

    Certainly. Millions of N. Korean soldiers and civilians will die if the 2nd Korean War drags on. Infrastructure in N. Korea will for sure be damaged.

    Will Kim die? Probably not. He’ll be hidding in the bunker which can stand direct hits from Mother of all bombs. 

    Will Kim be captured? Not likely unless America sends in foot soldiers into Pyongyang to mop up the floor clean after devastating N. Korea.

    Whose war is it anyway?

    So, is Kim more of a problem for S. Korean people or is it a problem for Trump and America?

    The answer is clearly the latter. Koreans don’t want a war. Moon want a dialog with Kim and it is Trump and American generals who are more eager to start a war between two Koreas. 

    So, why is Trump so eager to stir up the pot? Because Trump is in trouble at home with low voters approval ratings and Mueller. The real reason for Trump’s N. Korea tweets is that by kicking the N. Korea conflict up a notch it might divert media’s attention away from Russian investigation. 

    A bigger question

    Shouldn’t S. Koreans have more to say about a war between the two Koreas instead of Trump?

    Moon should make it very clear to Trump on this important point unless Trump is sending American soldiers into the North too.

    A Black Swam from the Korean peninsula?

    So, is the 2nd Korean war a “black swan” event for the world financial markets to worry about?

    Not by the action of three major indices. All three are either at or near all time highs. 

    The only logical conclusion one can make is that despite all the tweets from Trump, the 2nd Korean war won’t happen.

    不懂 April 22, 2017

    Posted by hslu in Culture, Economics, education, Food, Japan, Life, Taiwan.
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    我的大學同學寄給同班同學的一個短信,它確定了我膚淺的觀察,也加深了我心理的困惑。

    ……………………………………………………

    一位台大人的留言回應,直戳愚癡!    

                
    全世界被強權殖民過的國家有96個,而台灣是全世界唯一歌頌殖民統治的國家。

    日本歷史承認統治台灣50年期間,殺害超過40萬台灣人,日本殖民韓國35年,殺害韓國人16萬人,韓國人恨之入骨,戰後凡有關日本人的銅像,全部摧毀,任何有關日本的圖騰,建築物都夷為平地,日本人對慰安婦事件道歉超過十次,仍得不到韓國人的諒解,反觀台灣,對慰安婦事件,為日本人塗脂抹粉,還說”是自願的”,美國哈佛的一位教授聽聞台灣的回應,以”無法理解”來表示。

    漢人在台灣籌建的水利工程有七個,奠立了台灣水利工程的基礎,民進黨視若未睹,視而不見,而日本人建立了一個圳就視同”恩同再造”,感激涕零,最諷刺的是,日本人建的那個圳灌溉出來的稻米都運回日本供”上等日本人”吃,而下等人種台灣人當苦力,卻吃不到該圳帶來的任何好處。現在台灣人對曾奴化台灣,殺害台灣人的日本人卑躬屈膝,磕頭喊”皇恩浩盪”,卻對祖先所留下來的功績,隻字不提,台灣人的是非顛倒,舉世無雙,令韓國人吃驚,令國際傻眼,令人浩瀚! 是誰愚弄台灣把臺灣人教育成如此的愚痴? 

    台灣在日本311地震捐了57億台幣給日本,超過另外92個國家的總和(含美國,歐盟,G7工業國,…),讓日本人受寵若驚,台南大地震時,日本人卻只捐了5000萬台幣來”回敬”台灣人的功德(台南是全台最綠最感恩日本的地方),連百分之一都不到 ! 現在菲律賓和中國友好,菲律賓人到黃岩島去捕魚,中國也不驅趕,裝沒看見,台日要是友好的話,台灣人到沖之鳥礁的國際海域(公海)去捕魚,日本人為何用軍艦來驅趕?這是日本人”感恩”台灣人的方式? 台灣人還沒看清日本人的嘴臉嗎?

    韓國人強悍,所以日本人怕韓國人! 台灣人諂媚,所以日本人瞧不起台灣人! 這也是這十幾年來,台灣韓國競爭力反轉的最大原因——-在1997,台灣的GDP幾乎是南韓的2倍,過了8年,2005年,韓國GDP就超過台灣,現在更遠遠將台灣拋在後面,韓國人早就沒把台灣看在眼裡,跟日本人一樣,鄙視台灣,悲哉!

    ……………………………………………………

    它,並沒有告訴我為什麼台灣人有這種心態。為什麼大街小巷都是統治者的影子?為什麼台灣的語言,文字,食物,建築,擺飾,文化,店面,商場,大樓,outlet,汽車,高鐵都受到統治者的影響呢?

    是中國的封閉?是人性的弱點?是慣性的懶惰?是無知的認同?是愚蠢的服從?是盲目的追隨?是政府的政策?是奸商的貪婪?是高官的鼓勵?還是井底之蛙,自以為是?要不然就是北方來的小確幸文化墮落和侵蝕了人心?

    我不懂,我真的不懂。

    This Saturday may be the day of reckoning April 14, 2017

    Posted by hslu in Global Affair, Japan, Military, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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    Has nuclear missiles. Will use them.

    That’s bottom line.

    Source: CNBC

    North Korea has 70 submarines. Most of them are antiques but a few, according to news report, may be capable of launching missiles equipped with nuclear war heads. There is no doubt that they pose considerable threat to South Korea and Japan. Some may cruise along the west coast of the U.S. as well.

    Source: CNBC

    And the U.S. too?

    Source: CNBC

    Two bullies with no brain between them is a very, very dangeous combination.  

    I only wish cool heads prevail.

    The Most Dangerous Man in Trump World February 12, 2017

    Posted by hslu in China, Economics, Global Affair, Globlization, Islam, Japan, Muslim, Putin, Russia, Trump.
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    The Most Dangerous Man in Trump World?

    http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/02/peter-navarro-trump-trade-china-214772

    We are right to be worried for a nasty trade war between America and China. Maybe it is America vs. the world.

    Kura Sushi, Linkou Mitsui Outlet January 16, 2017

    Posted by hslu in Food, Japan, Restaurants, Taipei.
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    Everytime when we passed by this sushi joint in the basement of the Mitsui Outlet in Linkou, we saw a line of 10 to 20 people waiting to get in. One sign says $40 NTD a plate. Another sign says no Takeout and no outside food.

    The line got longer after we finish our dinner.

    Since we came here in mid November, we have not had any sushi because it isn’t our first choice on food. Well, we will make an exception today.
    Since we came earlier than the rush hour, we didn’t have to wait for too long. The young houstess asked us whether we’ve been here before. Since we haven’t, she went on to explain the rules: each plate on the conveyor belt is $40新臺幣. Some dishes cost us $80. After we finish 5 plates, we have a chance to win free price. If we want to order something off the menu, we can use the tablet to do it. Lastly, we only have one hour to finish our dinner.

    Well, so be it. We just have to eat fast.

    Some dishes offered here.

    Use this to place orders not on the belt.

    單點的麵或手卷從上面的帶子送過來。停在你的座位這。

    吃完的盤子丟到在裏面。它替你算你吃了幾個。吃了五個你可以參加抽獎。我們吃了十盤,什麼都沒有贏。

    每吃五盤,這個東西就會自己啟動,跟賭城的video slot 一樣。幾秒鐘以後就告訴你有沒有得獎。如果沒有,吃夠了兩百塊新臺幣以後再來。

    抹茶粉自己弄。生薑片自己拿。小姐不用來。

    只要兩小瓢就夠了。

    壽司不精彩。除了材料新鮮,沒有其他特別的地方。價錢也比較貴。台北火車站的壽司店只要新臺幣十塊錢一個。有些店子只要新臺幣二十塊錢,還不見得比這個難吃。

    臺灣的菜,不論是熱炒,麵和壽司,味道一般比在VA 或 MD 吃到的要淡。

    壽司一個一個的來。每個客人只有一個鍾頭的時間吃。時間一到,就要請你走人。沒意思。跟趕牛(豬)一樣。

    這一盤八十塊。兩個盤子。我們沒試。看起來跟四十塊錢的差不多。東西的成本應該是比較貴。加上我對生的scallop 並沒有什麼興趣。我寧願吃用 butter, garlic,shallot 和 white wine 煎出來的 with lemon wedge on the side. Add salt and pepper to the taste and sprinkle some parsley on the top.

    Sushi was fresh but nothing to write home about. Nothing fancy and nothing delicate. All are basic sushies which we can find at every sushi restaurant. We had 10 dishes which gave us two chances to win free sushi. We failed on both tries.
    After our meal, all I could remember was that we had a lot of rice.

    It is not likely that we will come back anytime soon.

    Will Abe Kowtou to Trump? January 8, 2017

    Posted by hslu in Economics, Election, Japan, Trump.
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    After GM and Ford, Trump turned his tweets to Japan’s Toyota.

    Source: Fox News

    In essence, Trump tells Abe that you better watch out because I am in charge now. 

    You might remember that a week after Trump was elected the next U.S. president, Abe rushed to NYC to meet Trump at Trump Tower. After the meeting, Abe praised Trump as a “trustworthy leader.” Abe also said that Japan and the U.S. can build a “relationship of trust.”

    In return, Trump called meeting with Abe a “pleasure” and expected a great friendship with Abe.

    Didn’t Trump just slap Abe’s face with the tweet? I wonder what kind of leader Abe thinks Trump is after the Toyota tweet. Will Abe continue to trust Trump? Are Trump and Abe still on the same wavelength?

    It is your move, Abe.

    合掌,港匯恆隆廣場,徐家匯 September 4, 2016

    Posted by hslu in China, Food, Japan, Restaurants, Shanghai, Travel.
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    我第一次吃納豆是十幾年前和太太一起去日本關東旅行的時候。我們本來要去曼谷,可是曼谷有暴動,反對政府的人去街上遊行示威,曼谷機場罷工,我們前一個禮拜換行程,兩個人跟著旅行團去日本東京,熱海和其他幾個地方。一路上的飲食非常好,大部分是日本菜,納豆就是其中一道前食。我對納豆非常好奇,有的納豆還有發酵桿菌在上面。吃起來還得接到,免得一絲絲的黏絲掉在桌子上。味道比我想象的要淡,沒有很重發黴的味道,也不鹹,下酒很不錯。

    今天下午我們去浦西徐家匯的太平洋數碼商場買Thunderbolt to HDMU adapter.。買完以後就在這附近找飯館吃飯。太平洋數碼和羅美城都沒有我們喜歡,而又像樣的餐館,於是我們走到對面的港匯恆隆廣場。


    港匯恆隆廣場是徐家匯最新,最大的廣場。上次我們來的時候,它還沒有完全蓋好。這次來,它的人氣旺,店子多又新,餐館多,個個生意好。我們走了一圈,選了合掌因為它有麵,有飯,有清酒,還有納豆和其他下酒菜。它也有壽司,可是我們決定吃熱菜,免得對我的肚子不好。

    我們叫了好幾樣菜:

    炸豆腐


    豆腐裏面嫩,外面酥,加上柴魚和略帶甜味的醬汁,很好吃。


    香酥芋


    裏面是黑糖年糕,外面是芋頭絲。外面脆又香,裏面甜又黏黏的。不同的 texture ,吃在嘴裏有意思,配的好。


    半生牛肉


    下酒好菜。牛肉沒有一點筋,本身味道清淡,稍稍有一點黑胡椒和鹽,配上調過味,再在鍋中爆炒的蔥花,嫩姜末和,蒜片,以及記不起名字,有一個特殊味道的綠葉子,再沾著特別配搭的汁一起吃,回味無窮啊。

    海鮮納豆


    它們也有沒有海鮮的納豆,便宜一點點。海鮮嘛就是幾粒小小的魚塊,稍微伴點芥末和少許鹽。配上納豆,好吃。


    豬扒蓋飯


    叫的太多,只吃了幾口飯。豬扒沒吃。吃不完的打包,加點青菜明天的中飯。


    大蝦天婦羅


    這也是下酒菜。蝦子吃不完打包了。其他的並沒有什麼特別。跟美國吃的也是差不多。


    海鮮拉麪


    因為這道菜先來,我們三下兩下就把它分了,連湯帶麵吃個精光。可能是肚子餓了吧。湯濃而又鮮美,麵細還稍稍有一點嚼勁。海鮮還不少,不過都是切成小個的。裏面有魚,小蝦,魷魚和章魚。用的料並不是很高級,不過人民幣50元一碗也算可以了。

    清酒


    冰鎮的。稍稍有一點酒意。兩人不多久就喝完了。聊勝於無吧。近來肚子不好,也只有少喝。邊上還有一個把關的。

    港匯恆隆廣場是一個比較高級的商場。餐館林立,有許多看起來不錯的餐館。下次再來吧!

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