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美國的民主政治 vs 中國的集權統治 October 18, 2017

Posted by hslu in China, 美國, Democracy, Election, Global Affair, Globlization, Health Insurance, Islam, Middle East, Military, Muslim, Obama, Obamacare, Putin, Racial Bias, Russia, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, 川普, 民主.
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大學好友寄來一篇有關美國民主政治和大陸集權統治的文章。看完後,想到臺灣最近坎坷的民主政治和困苦的經濟環境,忍不住感慨萬分。

中國數千年,朝代變遷,不論什麼政治體系,甚至包括一人獨裁的專制體系,那一個不是順民者昌,逆民者亡的?我時常說,能夠爲人民着想的政府,爲人民創造幸福的未來,讓人民安居樂業,社會安定的政府就是一個好的政府。

這篇文章是復旦大學中國研究研究員宋魯鄭在中國十九大開會前夕寫的。文章刊登在BBC News 中文網站上。值得一看。

Source: BBC News 中文版

http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/chinese-news-41645713

Source: BBC News 中文版

 

 

爲了給其他同學提供一些背景資料,我把美國近20年的政治變化簡短的摘要下來給他們參考。以下是我寫的摘要:

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謝謝高教授轉來的文章。

作者對“民主政治”的優,缺點分析的十分中肯,對一意孤行的川普和逐漸被世界排斥的美國也有明確的說明。在此,我斗膽把美國二十年來在外交和內政的變化簡短的跟大家報告一下,希望對你看這一篇文章有點幫助。

 

Clinton開始,美國就跟全世界說,伊拉克的 Saddam Hussein 擁有WMD。Bush Jr. 上臺8個月後發生911事件。美國以國家安全爲理由在2011年10月入侵阿富汗,在2013年3月入侵伊拉克。(Saddam Hussein 在 2000年10月堅持以歐元,不用美元,交換伊拉克的石油可能是美國攻打伊拉克的原因之一。)Bush Jr.爲了保護美國人民和本土,把美國的外交政策推向極右派好戰的陣營。2007年3月,美國次貸危機和 2008年9月的金融危機把全世界推向經濟蕭條的深淵。美國經濟衰退,欠債累累,失業率激增。這些事在2008年11月把Obama 推上了美國總統的寶座。

 

Obama 在他執政的八年中把美國的外交和內政推向極左派的自由主義陣營裏。對外,放棄美國霸權拒絕做全球警察,從伊拉克撤軍使得ISIS崛起,對阿富汗增兵然後撤軍,打擊以色列,討好阿拉伯回教國家,對中國採取“亞太再平衡”的圍堵政策,對蘇俄兼併克里米亞採取經濟制裁卻反而把蘇俄推向中國的懷抱。對敘利亞畫下紅線卻不採取行動,攻打ISIS不盡全力反而讓蘇俄在敘利亞建立軍事基地,簽訂伊朗核武協議,對北韓核武發展束手無策,進行TPP,TPA和TTIP談判,簽巴黎氣候協議增加美國公司負擔,影響美國勞工就業市場。最後在民主黨即將失去多數黨地位前與古巴建交。對內,他上臺後不立即更有效的用財政措施來拯救美國經濟,反而用他所有的政治資本來推動醫保全民化,簽訂 Dodd-Frank法案約束金融機構,約束石油公司,徹底打擊國內煤炭產業,濫用總統的行政權力變相的大赦非法移民,給婦女免費避孕藥,提倡社區大學兩年免費就讀,提倡同性戀婚姻合法化,支持變性人的合法地位,在軍中廢除“不問不說”政策和減弱美國人擁有槍支的權力。還有,Obama這個黑人總統和他對種族問題的迴避直接和間接的挑起了美國白人警察和黑人的武力衝突,也增加了白人對黑人的歧視和打擊黑人的決心。除此之外,金融危機帶動的量化寬鬆政策導致全世界貧富極端的不均。全球化和中國的崛起也增加美國民衆,尤其是美國南方保守派白人,對美國政府,美國前途和美國自由化現況的不滿。Obama執政八年已經無可否認的把美國變成了一個社會主義的國家了。

 

這些外在的因素和希拉蕊競選的失敗把川普推入了白宮。美國民主政治,四年河東,四年河西,動盪不安。我們現在看到的亂象都是歷史了。

 

謝謝。

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Party of Lincoln in turmoil October 15, 2017

Posted by hslu in Congress, 美國, Democracy, Election, Politics, Trump, US Government, 川普, 民主.
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Trump is the president of the United States and is considered to be the leader of the Republican Party. However, he is actively making enemies both inside and outside of the Republican Oarty. He isn’t on good terms with Russia’s Putin, E.U.’s Merkel and Macron, Iran, North Korea, Mexico, Cuba, Philippine and Australia. 

Furthermore, many voters who pushed Trump into the White House are now sorry that they chose the wrong man.

Mitch McConnell is the majority leader of the Senate and is facing calls from members of his own party, yes, the Republican Party, to step down. It isn’t very encouraging for McConnell because he is also being scolded by Trump for being weak, ineffective and not doing his job.

Paul Ryan is the Speaker of the House and the leader of the Republican Party in the House. He is being questioned by members of his own party and Trump because he failed to repeal and replace Obamacare.

The tax reform proposal, currently being worked on in the Republican Party without any input from the Democrats, faces backlash because it disporpotionally benefits the wealthy, such as Trump. It also has problem making the tax reform policy revenue neutral.

Last but not the least, a trove of Republican senator and representatives are not seeking another term in the 2018 mid-term election. At current count, nine Republican represenratives and one senator have announced that they won’t seek re-election next year.

It appears that the Republican Party is facing a huge enemy who happens to be the oresident of the United States.

We’ll see whether Republican Party will be toppled over from inside and lose the majority in the Senate and possibly in the Representative too.

Trump is not the leader of the Republican Party. He is the enemy.

Democrats are laughing.

名嘴和美國政治 October 15, 2017

Posted by hslu in Congress, 美國, Democracy, Election, Globlization, Islam, Liberal Media, Middle East, Muslim, Politics, Racial Bias, Russia, Taxes, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy, US Government, 川普.
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臺灣的政治,社會的輿論,人民的想法和朝代(中央和地方)的變遷被電視上的名嘴操縱,掌控。這些人爲他們的政治理念在電視臺的節目中大放厥詞,打擊政府,攻擊個人,企圖左右地方和中央選舉的結果。無知的百姓很容易被這些人影響,而政府的政策就被這些人綁架了。

美國一樣也有名嘴:無線電臺保守派政治論壇節目主持人(在過去,自由派的政治論壇節目幾乎沒辦法生存),電視臺新聞節目主持人,週末和夜晚新聞節目的主持人和網路上保守派,激進派和自由派的護衛者。

Steve Bannon (班農) 就是一個典型的例子。

他說話頭頭是道,口無遮攔,極會罵人。他對美國在世界上的霸權有無比堅定的信念。他堅絕反對貿易全球化,反伊朗,反蘇俄,反北韓,反中國,反歐盟,反美國的盟友用美國錢。他主張在邊界築圍牆把中南美洲的違法移民擋在牆外。他反對有些穆斯林國家的阿拉伯人來美國,厭惡共和黨中反對川普的參議員和眾議員,反對現有的共和黨體系,也強烈的反民主黨的政治立場。

他在川普的小圈圈裏位高權重,深得川普長久的信任。可是在川普進白宮以後,他跟川普的女兒,女婿和其他顧問,部長不和,最後不得以被川普解僱。可是他在無官一身輕的情況之下,威脅共和黨參,眾議員,打擊在明年美期中要競選連任的議員。

其實,他威脅現任參議院首領 McMconnell,和即將退休的參議員 Corker 的真正目的,是恐嚇其他共和黨參議員,要他們三緘其口,不可以公開批評或反對川普,要這些人爲共和黨和川普推行的稅改政策投下贊成的一票。

現在,共和黨的52個參議員中只有三,四個參議員敢對川普和共和黨的稅改提案有任何異議。他們也極有可能會投反對票。除了 Corker 和生癌症的 McCain  以外,川普還需要擔心緬因州的 Collins 和阿拉斯加的 Murkowski 參議員很可能會反對共和黨和稅改政策。

川普知道這個道理。班農當然也知道這個道理。所以,班農的責任就是儘量打擊 McConnell 和 Corker,殺一儆百,告訴其他的共和黨參議員,你們最好乖乖的通過共和黨提出來的稅改政策,不然下一個目標就是反對稅改政策的共和黨參議員了。

共和黨在美國的眾議院有壓倒的多數,許多眾議員也不敢公開反對川普,因為川普的鐵票可能高達 30%,甚至 35% 的選民。如果眾議員公開反對川普,那他們競選得連任的機會就不大了。

這是美國民主政治黑暗的一面。許多中國人,尤其是年輕的中國人,包括臺灣的年輕人在內,以為美國的民主政治是世界上至高無上,最純潔,最公平的治國標準。沒人一票多麼神聖阿! 他們那裏知道美國的民主政治實際上早就被有錢人和有特殊要求的團體綁架了。

It’s still the same old swamp in Washington DC October 9, 2017

Posted by hslu in 美國, Election, Politics, Trump, US Government.
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The Fish Still Stink in Trump’s Washington Swamp 

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-10-08/the-fish-still-stink-in-trump-s-washington-swamp

川普在競選前說他要把華盛頓這個骯髒而又齷齪的沼澤裏的髒水抽乾淨。天真的美國人相信他,選他做美國總統,認為他這個政治外人會把I-495這一條環城公路裏面的人渣清理乾淨。

Bloomberg 的文章明白的告訴大家,川普,川普的家人和川普帶來的人跟美國聯邦政府的人渣差不多。

“中飽私囊”是政客的一貫伎倆。美國的月亮真的比較亮嗎?

In the U.S., money moves politics October 5, 2017

Posted by hslu in Congress, 美國, Democracy, Election, Politics.
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If you want something done in the U.S., big or small, give money to politicians.

When you want to achieve something really big, like moving American Embassy in Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, you donate big money to the presidential candidate who’s said that he’d do it once he’s in the WH. 

Source: Flipboard

Others used money to move legislatures and put his or her candidates into key offices.

This is how American politics is being played. This is democracy because Congress passed laws to make this kind of contributions legal so that presidents,  senators and congresspersons can take money legally.

階級鬥爭,分裂社會 September 30, 2017

Posted by hslu in 美國, Economics, education, Election, Racial Bias, Trump.
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這就是川普搞出來的美國式階級鬥爭:沒完沒了的白人歧視黑人。

我相信,川普一定會打電話給 NFL 球隊的老闆 (大部分是白人),要求他們壓迫這些黑人就範:減薪,罰款,不上場打球等等方法。這些 NFL 球隊的老闆怕 NFL 的電視收視率降低,也會給這些黑人球員施加壓力。不過這個單膝跪地的運動並不會就此結束。後續的發展還有的看的。

川普讓美國從骨子裏亂起。加上美國各地警察和黑人的衝突,把積在黑人心中50年的仇恨一起激發出來了。

至於白人和黑人的仇視有多厲害,你可以看一個救火隊員的話就知道了:

這就是美國白人對黑人真正的面目。

其實,黃種人在美國也好不到那裏去。一般來說,黑人受的教育比較差,住的地方也沒有好的學校,加上這個種族也不是非常努力,加上種族歧視使得他們低收入,導致家庭破裂,使得他們在社會難以立足。但是,亞洲人肯吃苦,肯耐勞,寧願自己犧牲也要讓自己的子女和孫輩進好的學校,接受好的教育,給自己的下一代一個出人頭地的機會。白人歧視亞洲人,可是亞洲人知道上進,會唸書,肯做事,所以亞洲人在社會上的表現就是比大多數的白人要好。白人除了嫉妒亞洲人的成就,也只能接受了。

至於另外一種住在美國的黃種人:西班牙裔的黃種人,就比較可憐了。他們一般來說教育程度不夠,雖然他們肯吃苦,可是他們大多數都從事比較低級的勞力工作,賺的錢比較少,他們的住家環境不好,學校也比較差,小孩的上進心也比較不夠。他們在社會上的地位還需要兩,三個世代才能改善的。所以,一般來說,西班牙裔的黃種人會一直會被美國白人歧視的。雖然他們人數比黑人還多,可是他們的日子還沒有到。再等20年吧!

你等著瞧吧!只要川普在位一天,黑人就不會有什麼好日子過的。

And who is at fault? September 28, 2017

Posted by hslu in 美國, Democracy, Election, Global Affair, Islam, Muslim, Politics, Religion, Russia, Social Issues, Taiwan, Trump, U.S. Foreign Policy.
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Who is responsible for the world going to hell in a handbasket? 

Who do you think is the culprit?

There can be no doubt that Trump, his advisors and his supportors are largely responsible for the current mess in the world. So, go ahead, Trump, keeps stirring up the pot with your tweets and makes America the enemy of the world.

But, China is doing fine, thank you very much. 

The U.S. was solely responsible for the Great Recession because America, including the Wall Street bankers, the Fed, the regulators, the Congress, the banks and thousands of greedy investors, created the subprime mortgage loan crisis and the subsequent financial crisis.

Now, Trump is dividing the country up into multiple classes and makes people from different classes hate each other. 

Trump didn’t stop there. Here is a list of things Trump has done and wanted to do since 1/20/2017:

  • got out of TPP, 
  • got out of the Paris Accord,
  • weakened NATO, 
  • re-negotiated NAFTA, 
  • wanted to get rid of Iran nuclear deal, 
  • asked American allies, such as Japan, Korea, Germany, France, just to name a few, to pay for protections they have received from the U.S., 
  • threatened fire and fury on Kim Jong En and total destruction to North Korea and its people,
  • sent more U.S. troops to Afghanistan, 
  • put more sanctions on Russia and Venezuela,
  • wanted to keep muslims out of the U.S. with a travel ban,
  • wanted to build a wall to keep Mexicans and latinos from entering the America, and,
  • get rid of Dreamers. 

It is obvious that Trump is distructive, un-trustworthy and is a person no one, e.g., Mercel of Germany, can do business with.

The political mess in Washington and the stalemate on Britexit in England make one wonder that democracy is probably at the end of its usefulness. I certainly do not think democracy promoted by the U.S. is a viable option to govern. It created disfranchised classes and made national policies the hostages of special interest groups, lobbyists and wealthy donators. 

So, is Trump’s government good for American people? 

I say that it is not. 

What do you think?

Is it possible that America is starring at the onset of a culture revolution American style which is instigated by Trump and encouraged by Trump’s supportors?

You tell me.

The following is some of my thoughts on the divisiveness of Trump the person and his policies. I am trying to draw parallels between the political landscapes in the U.S. and that in Taiwan. I finished my thoughts on the U.S. and I am still working on my viewpoints on Taiwan. 

It was written in Chinese.

分裂

一個分裂的社會是一個停滯不前或著逐步落後的社會。

當政客把階級之間的矛盾作為一個競選的武器,這個矛盾的心理障礙極有可能會演變成階級鬥爭,而這個政府就會被少數的極端分子而左右。這樣的社會一定會動盪不安,人心會猜疑惶恐。這個社會的經濟就會變成投資報酬低落,人才長期外流,競爭優勢下降,經濟成長衰退,薪資不漲反退的窘境。

兩百多年以來,美國一直是一個種族分裂的社會。南北戰爭以後,黑人不再為奴。雖然馬丁路德金在20世紀中爲黑人爭取了法律上平等的地位,可是黑人仍然被白人歧視,壓迫,而白人和黑人之間的直接衝突也一直沒有間斷過。這種種族分裂已經持續兩個世紀了。 雖然美國有法律保障黑人和少數民族(拉丁美洲人和東方人)的福利,可是這只是政客的表面文章。私底下,白人還是看不起黑人和其他人種,這也是黑人和少數民族繼續被歧視的主要原因。

美國黑人長期以來被白人不停的壓迫,但是這個”階級鬥爭”在白人的主流意志統治之下並沒有對整個美國經濟有太多的負面影響。原因是白人當政,黑人(東方人)的影響力太低的緣故。

不過,美國這種白人至上的情況從 2001 年以來已經受到根本的威脅,因為除了黑白衝突以外,美國還經過許多內外夾擊的改變:

。2001 的 911 事件,

。阿富汗和伊拉克戰爭,

。2005 年的房地產泡沫,

。2009 年由美國引起的世界經濟財務危機,

。歐巴馬和茜拉蕊的反蘇俄,反中國外交政策,

。歐巴馬任內將美國推向極端的自由派陣營,

。川普的’美國至上’其實是’白人至上’的偽裝。

這些事件的發生使美國成為一個嚴重分裂的社會。目前,美國有好幾個尖銳的社會衝突。這些衝突在少數政客,保守派和自由派名嘴和網路政治言論的引導之下把美國社會搞得四分五裂:

1。財富不均的分裂;1% 和 99% 的對立,

2。美國白人對黑人的歧視,

3。美國白人對穆斯林教派人的歧視,

4。美國白人對墨西哥和拉丁美洲人的歧視,

5。美國白人對中國人和印度人的歧視,

6。美國保守派和自由派意識形態的分裂。

這些衝突的直接產物就是川普的當選,美國”白人至上”意志的抬頭,也是美國保守派白人的最後掙扎。美國的經濟也在這些衝突之中受到負面的影響,導致GDP成長率下降,聯邦政府入不敷出,國家債務提升,政府政策停滯不前,美金購買力下降,美國也逐漸的喪失了它在世界上的影響力和競爭力。

Who is that guy in cowboy hat? September 28, 2017

Posted by hslu in Congress, 美國, Democracy, Election, Muslim, Politics, Putin, Trump.
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Trump asked.

Is he from Texas?

No.

Is he from Wyoming?

No.

Is he a movie star from an old western movie?

No.

Is he…….

Stop guessing, please.

Okay. 

Well, he’s Roy Moore from Alabama. And he could become a U.S. senator if you, Mr. Trump, decides to campaign for him in a special November election. 

But, wait. Didn’t you, Trumpm support this guy’s opponent, Luther Strange, in a run off election with powerful tweets and personal appearance right before the vote? 

Yes. We all know how powerful Trump’s tweets can be, don’t we? Personal apperance means 100% gauranteed.

Yeah, Luther will never let you down! Great line. Trump really has ways with powerful words.

Shooting up in polls. Of course. With my tweets, loser has no where to go but up.

So, what’d happened on the election day? Did Trump’s tweets put loser, sorry, Luther, over the top?

Let’s see what Trump had to say the day after the special election:

Did Trump actually back a loser? Yes, he sure did.

Unbelievable!

But, what kind of guy Roy is? Where does Roy stand on social issues? Here are just some of Roy’s convictionsare are:

Yeah! Hallelujah! Praise the lord!

Did science make a mistake? Obviously accirding to Roy of Alamaba.

I am sure he is 100% for the travel ban.

Whose god? Shall I ask?

Roy has to take off his shirt first. Whete is the horse? A AK-47 would help.

Trump said that too.

So, what now?

These ill-informed tweets (it wasn’t me, goddam it, blame McConnell for that) are misleading. They should be destroyed.

Now that Luther is packing, we’ll get Roy does his magic in November. We need all the votes in the Senate for that great tax bill ever later this yearbecause we can’t count on that pseudo hero from Arizona. Maine and Alaska aren’t safe either. There are a few tea party nuts which we have to deal with too.

I’ll get my tweet storm cooking.

窩裏反 September 26, 2017

Posted by hslu in Congress, 美國, Democracy, Election, Politics, Trump, US Government.
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Source: Flipboard.

天翻地覆共和黨,搬弄是非有班農,

糊里糊塗是川普,期中選後見真章。

Conservatives are seriously f%&¥#* by Trump September 13, 2017

Posted by hslu in Congress, 美國, Democracy, Economics, Election, Health Insurance, Military, Obamacare, Politics, Trump, US Government.
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Trump pushed Mitch and Paul under the Chuck-Nancy bus and, with a sneer on his face, folded his arms and declared that he was the boss whether they liked it or not.

All the sudden, thanks to Trump’s betrayal, Republicans was royally f%&¥#* from behind, couldn’t utter a word of rejection and lost all chips on the table to deal with the Democrats.

Trump ran as a Republican not because he was one but because it was convenient for him. He couldn’t run as a Democrat against Hillary because she was favored to win the election before the electiin got started. Don’t forget Trump gave Schumer a lot of money over the years too.
As for tax reform, Democrats will push for no tax breaks for the top 10% and any tax cut has to be revenue neutral. Corporate tax reform (e.g., decrease corporate tax rate to 15% level) will face an uphill battle too because the current personal tax rate is higher than the proposed corporate tax rate. If the new corporate tax rate is indeed lower after the reform, people will form corporates and report their incomes as a corporate instead of a person.

Besides, revenue neutral under any scenario is almost impossible considering all the welfare obligations of the federal government. On top of that, defense spending increae sought by Trump and Republicans, Trump’s beautiful wall, hurricane relief fundings and more troops to Afghanistan are hot items on Democrat’s rejection list. The fact that Republican can’t get 60 votes on Senate for any subject spells trouble for Republican’s effort before it begins.

No tax reform legislature this year. Repeal and replace Obamacare is almost dead after seven years. If the Republican can get tax reform early next year, look for a new speaker in the house and a new majority leader in the Senate after 2018 mid term election.

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