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I know a few of them August 10, 2017

Posted by hslu in China, Computer, Global Affair, Science, Technology.
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What are the technologies from China that lead the world? 

by Gustavo Brown 

https://www.quora.com/What-are-the-technologies-from-China-that-lead-the-world/answer/Gustavo-Brown?share=4b96492b&srid=eBtU

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Weapons of math destruction December 21, 2016

Posted by hslu in Computer, Knowledge, math, Racial Bias, Social Issues.
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http://thewireless.co.nz/articles/weapons-of-math-destruction-the-problem-with-algorithms

If you like big data, you need to read this paper.

想一想,你害怕了嗎? December 11, 2016

Posted by hslu in Computer, Economics, jobs, Knowledge, Travel, US Government.
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​以下是以前大學同學寄來的。我的想法在後面。

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第四次產業革命

如何迎接一個摧毀性的創業時代 (1)

1998年時, Kodak公司 有170,000 員工 ,銷售(洗)全球85%的照片,到2001年,公司就破產了。其實,數位照相機早在1975就發明了,但是積體電路、IC卻要等到2001年才能配合數位相機的速度需求。

現在因為人工智能(AI)的發展,配合更高速度的積體電路,科技正在加快速度的進展。據悉,在很短的5 -10年後,健保、自駕汽車、教育、服務業都將面臨被淘汰的危機。

1. Uber 是一家軟體公司,它沒有擁用汽車,卻能夠讓你「隨叫隨到」有汽車坐,現在,它已是全球最大的Taxi公司了。

2. Airbnb 也是一家軟體公司,它沒有擁有任何旅館,但它的軟體讓你能夠住進世界各地願出租的房間,現在,它已是全球最大的旅館業了。

3. 今年5月,Google的電腦打敗全球最厲害的南韓圍棋高手,因為它開發出有人工智能(AI)的電腦,使用能夠「自己學習」的軟體,所以它的AI能夠加速度的進步,達到比專家原先預期的、提前10年的,成就。

4. 在美國,使用IBM 的Watson電腦軟體,你能夠在幾秒內,就有90%的準確性的法律顧問,比較起只有70% 準確性的人為律師,既便捷又便宜。所以,你如果還有家人親友在讀大學的法律系,建議他們停學省錢,因為市場已大幅的縮減了,未來的世界,只需要現在10%的專業律師就夠了。

5. Watson 也已經能夠幫病人檢驗癌症,而且比醫生正確4 倍。

6. 臉書也有一套AI的軟體可以比人類更準確的鑒察(辨識)人臉,而且無所不在。

7. 到了2030年,AI的電腦會比世界上任何的專家學者還要聰明。 

8. 2017年起,會自動駕駛的汽車就可以在公眾場所使用。約在2020年,整個汽車工業就會遭遇到全面性的改變,你再不需要擁用汽車。你可以用手機叫自動駕駛的車,來帶你到你想去的目的地。

9. 未來的世界,你再也不必擁有車,或花時間加油、停車、排隊去考駕照、交保險費,尤其是城市,將會很安靜,走路很安全,因為90%的汽車都不見了,以前的停車場,將會變成公園。

10. 現在,平均每10萬公里就有一次車禍,造成每年全球有約120萬人的死亡。以後有AI電腦控制的自動駕駛汽車,平均每1000萬公里才有一次車禍,約減少一百萬人死亡。因為保險費和需要保險的人極少,保險公司會面臨更多的倒閉風潮。

11. 大部份的傳統汽車公司會面臨倒閉。Tesla、 Apple、及 Google 的革命性軟體,將會用在每一部汽車上。據悉,Volkswagen 和 Audi 的工程師非常擔心Tesla革命性的電池和人工智能軟體技術。

12. 房地產公司會遭遇極大的變化。因為你可以在車程中工作,距離將不是選住房屋的主要條件之一。市民會選擇住在較遠、但是較空曠且環境優美的鄉村。

13. 電動汽車很安靜,會在2020變成主流。所以城市會很變成安靜,而且空氣乾淨。

14. 太陽能在過去30年也有快速的進展。 去年,全球太陽能的增產超過石油的增產。預計,到2025年時,太陽能的價格(低廉)會使煤礦業大量的破產。因為電費非常的便宜,淨化水及海水淡化的費用大減,人類將能解決人口增加的需水問題。

15. 健保:今年醫療設備商會供應如同「星球大戰」電影中的 Tricorder,讓你的手機做眼睛的掃瞄,呼吸氣體及血液的化學檢驗:用54個「生物指標」,就可檢驗出你是否有任何疾病的徵兆。因為費用低,幾年後,全球人類都可以有世界級的疾病預防服務。

16. 立體列印(3D printing):預計10 年內,3D列印設備會由近20000美元減到400美元,而速度增加100倍快。所有的「個人化」設計鞋子,將開始用這種設備生產,其他如大型的機場,其零件也能使用這種設備供應,至於人類太空船,也會使用這種設備。

17. 今年底,你的手機就會有3D掃瞄的功能,你可以測量你的腳送去做「個人化」鞋子。據悉,在中國,他們已經用這種設備製造了一棟6 層樓辦公室,預計到2027年時, 10% 的產品會用3D的列印設備製造。

18.  產業機會:

a. 工作:20年內,70-80% 的工作會消失,即使有很多新的工作機會,但是不足以彌補被智能機械所取代的原有工作。

b. 農業:將有 $100 機械人耕作,不必吃飯、不用住宅、及支付薪水,只要便宜的電池即可。在開發國家的農夫,將變成機械人的經理。溫室建築物可以有少量的水。到2018年,肉可以從實驗室生產,不必養豬、雞或牛。30%用在畜牧的土地,會變成其他用途的土地。很多初創公司會供給高蛋白質的昆蟲當成食品。

c. 到2020年時 ,你的手機會從你的表情看出,與你說話的人是不是說「假話」? 是否騙人的? 政治人物(如總統候選人)若說假話,馬上會被當場揭發。

d. 數位時代的錢,將是Bitcoin ,是在智能電腦中的「數據」。

e. 教育:最便宜的智能手機在非州是$10美元一隻。

f. 到2020年時,全球70%的人類會有自己的手機,所以能夠上網接受世界級的教育,但大部份的老師會被智能電腦取代。所有的「小學生」都要會寫 Code,你如果不會,你就是像住在Amazon森林中的原住民,無法在社會上做什麼。你的國家,你的孩子準備好了嗎?

參考一下;這也是矽谷 VC, Innovators,Entrepreneurs … 談的資料。

******************************

我的想法如下:

wow!

以後上餐館不用waiter,去銀行不用 teller,買東西不用 cashier,坐公車和高鐵不用 driver,坐飛機不用 pilot,去醫院不用看 doctor,去養老院不用看 nurse,開車不用加油,吃飯不用付小費,買房子不用 agent,牛肉麪不用人煮,sushi 不用人包,旅館會消失,汽車會不見,煤礦沒有人開採,石油沒有人生產,許多公司會倒閉,醫生失業,律師討飯,卡車司機沒飯吃,那人做什麽?

總不能大家都給 Uber,Airbnb,Google,Tesla,Apple 和聯邦政府做事吧。

如果大部分的人没有事做,誰有錢住Airbnb,誰能叫的起 Uber的車,誰買得起 iPhone25?誰有錢去看 Watson的孫子呢?

如果大家都身體健康,病了就在家用3D打個肝臟或直腸,早上去街角的 8-12 找個笑瞇瞇的robot 開個刀,下午就可以回家吃飯了。空氣好,到處是樹木花草,每個人都不生病,個個都長命百歲,世界上這麽多人,大家都吃什麽?說不定連殯儀館都要關門大吉了。

Article: 21 technology tipping points we will reach by 2030 December 1, 2016

Posted by hslu in Computer, Knowledge, Technology.
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We will be watching and counting.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

21 technology tipping points we will reach by 2030

http://flip.it/eKZzCs

What happen to Dell? May 21, 2016

Posted by hslu in Computer.
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I am a loyal Dell customer for decades. Desktop, laptop or whatever has been around my house and my office since the late 80’s. I like their computers and I like the efficiency it dealt with orders from their customers.

After some research on top laptops, I bought a Dell XPS 13 9350 with a touchable screen from Dell directly like I always do.

5 days later I got a notice from Fedex saying that I needed to stay home tomorrow to sign for a package. Good job, Dell. As efficient as before.

I went through the initial setup, linked to the web and started to install Google Chrome.

Well, that’s when the shit hits the fan.

My brand new Dell XPS-13 won’t install the browser saying that some kind of technical issue prevented the installation.

I started to search for a solution online but it didn’t help. I logged on Dell website and tried my luck there.

To get Any kind of help, Dell website asked for service tag of my computer. I let the laptop to find that for me and proceed to look for an answer.

Well, Dell website said that it could not match my service tag to its records.

What the heck is going on? I just got it yesterday.

I then called Dell’s technical help and was able to get a live person with minimum wait time.

The guy at the help Desk asked for service tag. I gave it to him (from the packing list). He said that he couldn’d find my laptop in their database.

Not good. This is Dell. The best PC company in the world.

He then asked me to find the Express Service Tag number from the bottom of the laptop. I found that and gave it to him.

Same thing.

He then asked me to reboot the laptop and hit F2 repeatedly after the Dell logo. I did that and found the same Service Tag number.

I then did a F12 preboot to run the Pre-boot System Assessment which was a series of embedded diagnostics to check the performance of the system. The system was fine.

I then gave him the order number and he was able to find it in Dell’s database. But it didn’t have a Service Tag nor an Expressed Service Tag.

I asked him why but he didn’t know.

He said that he has talked to the Dell’sCustomer Service Department which is where Service Tag issue will be resolved. He said that they have the info and someone there would be able to help me.

He asked me to write down their 800 number in case my connection was dropped. I did that and he asked me to hold on.

A moment later, a recorded message said that this wasn’t their regular working hours. It asked me call back during their regular service hours.

Then my connection was dropped.

Total connection time:
48 minutes and 11 seconds.

Is Dell still the ‘best’ PC company in the world?

Hmmm…, I don’t know.

Neyla, Reston Town Center August 27, 2015

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It used to be Paolo’s which occupied this prime location (next to the Fountain) in Reston Town Center for many years. We’ve been to Paolo’s once but wasn’t very impressed by its food even though the ambiance and service were great.

We came to Reston Town Center earlier this summer and noticed the change of ownership at this location to Neyla which was a surprise to us. The town center was always crowded with people when we visited here. New office and appartment buildings and new restaurants were added on a robust pace. Additionally, the restaurants here seemed to do great business at all times. However, there were some notable failures such as Uno’s, Paolo’s and Macaroni Grill. I guess that high rent in this popular place, change of consumers’ taste, increasing food cost and failed business model forced the owners to shut their operations.

We came back to Reston TC mid-August and had a pleasant lunch at Neyla.

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The service was efficient. Our waiter was very helpful. The host was courteous. The owner (I assumed he’s the owner) stopped by and chat. The food we ordered had heavy Mediterranean influence: olive oil, lemon juice, vegetables, herbs, bread and seafood.

We had Roasted Eggplant with yogurt and raisins,

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stuffed mussels with rice, currants, pine nuts and tomato.

We also shared a pita wrap with heavily seasoned beef, roasted tomato, parsley and red onion.

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The Sauvignon Blanc from Chili was a bit on the high side but the wine was fruity, crispy and refreshing.

All in all, it was delightful and we will be back to try more dishes soon.

Windows 10 Start Menu not working August 8, 2015

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The reservation took place a while back. Then I got a notice saying that I could upgrade to Windows 10 two weeks ago. I was excited because I skipped Windows 8. The upgrade took about an hour a week ago but it was bearable because the upgrade was free and I thought I was going to get a piece of art work that would replace what I have suffered through over the past 30 or so years. You see I was one of a few people who bought PC and Microsoft to our organization in the early 1980’s.

Well, based on Microsoft’s promotions on the web, this time I had high hope for a new MS OS. After all, the company has a market cap of $375 billion, annual revenue of $93 billion a year and an EBITDA of $34 billion. It also has $96 billion cash on hand. It should be able to do magic on a piece of software.

Well, it worked as promised but many tiles on the Start menu were commercials. I promptly got rid of them as fast as I could. Sucks.

Then something went wrong: Windows button quit working. New user account won’t work. Search didn’t search. Tried many options to bring back Windows button based on suggestions found on the web but none of them worked. I even has the latest Microsoft updates but nothing worked.

I think I will give up trying and do something else like: uninstall Windows 10 and go back to Windows 7; disable Bing, download a third-party start menu or something else.

Frustrating.

陸版台積電:What will Taiwan do? August 26, 2014

Posted by hslu in China, Computer, Economics, Shanghai, Taiwan.
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對我來說,陸版台積電只是遲早的事。

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I knew something like this will happen and it’s happening in 浦東 張江 now. It may take a few years for China to catch up but the questions for Taiwan now is what will Taiwan do to save this annual $2 trillion NTD industry?

China has to upgrade its economy and has to develop its own technology base. There is simply no othe way around it. The banning of Windows8 in China is a good example. The development of its own desktop software is another example. Other areas such as aerospace, deepsea research, fighter jets, aircraft carrier, and Beidou geo-positioning system are all important areas China is currently working on.

With shoe and shirt factories moving to Thailand and Vietnam, China is eyeing Taiwan’s semiconductor manufacturing as the next sector to move into.

Taiwan has enjoyed decades of  supremacy and dominance in this profitable sector. Going forward, Taiwan’s fortune is no longer guaranteed.

Taiwan’s THC has been defeated by Samsung of Korea and many smartphone manufactures in China. Taiwan’s Asus (華碩)and Acer (宏基) have lost market shares to laptops and PCs companies in China and other countries. How long can Taiwan’s semiconductor companies such as 台積電, 聯電 and 聯發科 survive?

Chinese Version of Windows August 22, 2014

Posted by hslu in China, Cold War, Computer, Economics.
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China is still way behind the US in many areas and in the information space the gap is particularly wide.

It appears that China is doing something  about it.

Foremost, it has openly admitted that the gap is too wide and the lack of domestic development in this space too important to ignore.

Recently China banned Windows8 and it probably realizes that China is too dependent on information technology from America which, in the age of cold war and development in Russia, is detrimental to China’s national security.

An article from qq.com discusdes the pending  release of China’s own version  of desktop software to replace Windows XP for business users.

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We’ll see how much progress China  can make in this area.

How much will MSFT’s profit be affected in 2 to 3 years?

http://xw.qq.com//tech/2014082207180802/TEC2014082207180802
Source: qq.com

Best jobs in the US: 此一时彼一时 April 15, 2014

Posted by hslu in Computer.
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Things are definitely different now because engineering jobs, any engineering job, are no longer considered ‘Best Jobs’ in the US anymore. I can’t believe my eyes when I went through the top ten list.

I liked my job when I was still working as a PE, Petroleun Engineer, that is. Now a guy who got a certificate from a night couse on some kind of software language call him- or herself a software ‘engineer.’

I beg your pardon!

Have you taken the Mass and Heat Transfer class? Thermodynamics? Did you pass ‘Fluid Mechanics?’ How about ‘Groundwater Hydrology.’ And how many hours of ‘Lab’ did you take?

None. Of course. And you call yourself an ‘engineer?’

In Chinese, a software engineer is called ‘軟體工程师.’

Give me a break! Please.

Call yourself whatever but not an engineer.

See for yourself whether your job is one of the top ten in the US.

http://www.careercast.com/jobs-rated/best-jobs-2014

Who says that life is fair?

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