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A $116 billion hole for Portugal May 4, 2011

Posted by hslu in China, Economics, Global Affair, Politics.
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In the midst of euphoria of Osama’s death “possibly” in the hand of  US navy seals, a story about Portugal $116 billion bailout didn’t get any attention on the main street media.

Countries like Portugal, Greece, Ireland and Italy, they owed so much money that they have no way of paying it back. And the solution to the problem: lend them more money.

Yes, they get more money from many sources with the knowledge that they may never be able to pay the original debt back , let alone the new lending they just got.

They had to borrow money from other EU countries simply because they can’t print Euro themselves.

Well, The United States isn’t doing any better but the United States has something these other countries didn’t have: America has four or five mints with printing presses operating at full speed: every day, every evening and every night.

You know that you know what will hit the fan when US dollar loses its reserve currency status.

Well, that won’t happen for a while but IMF is doing something in the background and one of these days it will happen.

In the mean time, let the good time roll and enjoy.

The hole which America is digging for itself is bigger than all the other holes combine.

The structural change in US economy and the prolonged depressing state of the housing market will make the situation even worse.

Do not believe Bernanke and his public statement because he has let the cat out of the bag and has stubbornly ignored the increasingly worsening inflation problem in the US and all over the world.He has consistently denied that inflation is happening until his first public news conference.

He was trying to set up America people for his mistakes, i.e., the extremely loose monetary policy.

The inflation cycle has just begun and it will not end easily. Bernanke has more than $2 trillion on his balance sheet and more than $2 trillion-dollar in the economy. He is waiting for a chance to sell what he has on his book but it will increase interest rate and hurt the economy that is still trying to find its footing.  When he finally starts to sell them, look for interest rate to pick up which will need more of our tax money to pay for the interests on the national debt.

In the mean time, China, India, Singapore, Australia, South Korea, Vietnam, Thailand, EU, England, Switzerland, and Brazil have raised their key interest rates in order to fight inflation caused by the loose monetary policy of the US Fed, i.e., Bernanke.

Even Nigeria, a country which relies oil export for almost 90% of its GDP, has raised its interest rate because of economic forces beyond its border..

It is no secret that Bill Gross, the $1.2 trillion PIMCO Bond fund had dumped all his US treasury holdings because he is very negative on US dollar. He went one step further and has shorted US treasuries because he sees the US dollar will be less valuable in the near future.

When Bill Gross stops buying US treasuries in the tune of a couple of hundred of billions, investors will demand higher interest rates.

Buckle up, Americans, the road of inflation will be very bumpy. We are going downhill fast!

And the view isn’t going to be pretty at all.

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